New Shun 1730
Chapter 1447 Three Mountains in One (Part 2)
As the saying goes, the gameplay without tossing is similar; the gameplay with tossing is different.
Just talking about tossing, there are tossing in the opposite direction, tossing in the opposite direction, pretending to toss but actually not tossing, tossing in front of you so hard that you are so scared that you have to toss in the opposite direction twice, etc., etc.
But if it's not just a fool's errand, but if the most capable feudal rulers really stand up and make a fool of themselves, there aren't really many options to choose from.
To put it simply, the Saint-Simonian bank concept was in line with the reality of Dashun and was also practiced by Liu Yu, but the appearance was slightly different.
On the one hand, Dashun is in urgent need of rapid industrial development.
The purpose is to let some things fly into the homes of ordinary people and theoretically consolidate the small farmer economy.
It is also because, with the population of Dashun here, the contradiction between people and land in North China and the land per capita have reached the edge of collapse.
The UK has a total population of 6 million, and more than 2 million people are benefited. It seems that only 32,000 people are benefited every year, but it is a lot compared to the total population.
Shandong now has a population of nearly 3,000. After digging rivers and working hard to cultivate Weishan Lake and other areas, it is estimated that the land is only 100 million acres. Under the premise of maintaining high-intensity agriculture with two years and three crops, and keeping grain output unchanged, industry, commerce, resettlement, etc. must accommodate at least 10 million people.
The population growth rate is here. The population base is almost 3,000, the level of disaster relief is rising, and cowpox vaccination has begun to become popular. How many people are born in a year?
The speed is slow, or in other words, the population that industry, commerce and immigration can accommodate each year cannot keep up with the rate of natural population growth, so what is the point?
Therefore, if Dashun wants to make trouble, it must be urgent.
Including, some radicals in the Practical School and the Restoration School in the Confucian School want to engage in large-scale immigration after land equalization. This is also because of the word "urgent".
There are immigrants in Dashun normally now, and the normal immigration speed is moving there. Every year, there are millions of people who travel through Guandong, take the west entrance, travel to the Western Regions, go to Southeast Asia, and cross Fusang.
This would be terrifying in Europe. France has been struggling in North America for almost two hundred years and has only spent hundreds of thousands of dollars.
But in Dashun, one million a year...isn't that enough?
Therefore, both the Pragmatic Radicals and the Confucian Restorationists want to equalize land, and then engage in mass immigration.
Here, especially among the Confucian school of Confucianism and the radical school of practical learning, the short-term purpose of equalizing land is the tithe tax, which is for the imperial court to control hundreds of millions of taels of annual income and engage in large-scale immigration. The difference between the Pragmatic Radicals and the Confucianists was that they ended with the equalization of land, but continued to develop industry and commerce after the equalization of land and immigration alleviated conflicts.
And similarly, without considering the unachievable thing of "Juntian", "normal" - at least not considering the unrealistic normality of "Juntian" - the tossing of industrial and commercial development is definitely urgent and must be done as soon as possible. Get results.
The need for "rapid development of industry and commerce" is one reason.
Another reason is Dashun’s financial problems.
In theory, Dashun can learn from the old days and develop a government-run economy.
But in reality, Dashun does not have so much money or resources.
To put it bluntly, before Liu Yu's reforms, Dashun could only rely on rice to stabilize grain prices in the Gyeonggi region.
Even slightly higher economic control measures will not work.
The resources controlled by the imperial court are there. If you have no money and no resources, what can you accomplish?
The Tang Dynasty was able to equalize land because in the early days, the Tang Dynasty still had a lot of state-owned land in its hands.
How much state-owned land is there in Dashun?
Before reforms, before tariffs and exports were introduced, the salt tax revenue amounted to more than 20 million taels a year. How much money would be left to raise troops?
Dashun is not even worthy of playing the flat buying method, because Dashun can only guarantee the stability of food prices in the Gyeonggi region at best, and the imperial government's economic control nationwide is crap.
Government investment?
Where to match Dashun?
The government does not have many resources or assets at all, so it cannot operate a government-run economy.
Does the country of Dashun have money? In other words, is there monetized capital?
Yes, very much.
A trade surplus of several million taels or even tens of millions of taels a year.
On average, 50% of the cultivated land rent is accumulated.
A salt merchant who has accumulated hundreds of years of experience since the Ming Dynasty.
All kinds of corruption and bribery in the hands of officials. In the late years of the previous dynasty, they didn't know whether they were true or not, and they just copied tens of millions of taels casually?
Starting from the mining of gold mountains in Spain and the mining of silver mountains in Japan, the almost gluttonous black hole of silver has accumulated for hundreds of years. So far, except for the North American fur ginseng Dongzhu and the original Donglu three-piece set, there are basically no products that can absorb silver.
How could there be no money?
The problem is that the risk aversion of land, the rate of return, and the corresponding loan sharking under land binding, etc., are too high.
Money just doesn’t go to industry.
What to do?
We dare not and cannot do it to equalize the land and collect taxes.
Torturing officials, how could it be possible since today's Dashun is not a rebel.
There is no other way, then wouldn’t we just have to play the French way?
Take advantage of currency reform opportunities.
Build a big bank.
Rely on interest rates and dividends to attract money.
Currency investment industry and commerce.
Rely on fast discounts to ensure dividend returns.
Before the potential is exhausted, strive for a state where industrial output value soars every year.
To put it simply, major infrastructure projects such as building railways, setting up mines, developing metallurgy, and building canals rely on this operation to make money and pool private money.
If you are short of money to build factories, shipbuilding, textiles, etc., you can also invest to avoid being unable to start the business due to lack of money.
When you can’t play it in the later stage, just learn the operation of Britain in 1797 and exchange gold and silver? Dream on. Just don’t exchange it. If you don’t accept it, go and smash the Bank of England and see what the iron fist of the lobster soldier is.
If you play well, you will have a world empire.
If you play badly, you will have gold yuan coupons.
If you play it shockingly and extremely skillfully, you may be able to achieve the ironic and theoretical possibility mentioned by Lao Ma - [If all the stocks of industrial companies are exchanged for its own bonds, then it will indeed become the supreme commander and owner of the entire industry, and many past owners will get a fixed income equal to the interest on the bonds like annuities]
This "extremely skillful" way of playing is the fantasy of [not considering the bankruptcy that will follow due to the above economic conditions on the road to this goal].
That is, in a utopian state, without bloodshed, without violent struggle, without considering the change of economic conditions, and other unrealistic and empty things, the utopian society's industrial development solves the problem of "relying on bloodless reform to change the anarchic production of capitalism, so as to avoid the evil of capitalism and only keep the good of industrial development".
And that's the problem.
In name, this thing is for the rapid development of industry. In theory, or in appearance, the great significance is to expand the scale of industry.
But in reality, this thing has been a "speculative" company since its inception.
What attracts the inflow of gold and silver?
Relying on high returns.
So, whether it is building railways, doing infrastructure, or developing large-scale industries, is the return rate high?
Obviously, not to mention the long cycle, the return rate cannot be so high as to buy land, hoard land, and merge.
It is impossible to have such a high return rate if you only rely on production and not speculation.
Nonsense, if you can get such a high rate of return just by production, then isn't this just taking off your pants and farting? Capital flows spontaneously to industry, why do you have to take off your pants and fart to come up with such a thing?
So, how to maintain this rate of return?
Let's go back to the question that Lao Ma said. This thing is essentially relying on bond speculation, discounts, etc. to exchange for quick income.
The skin is the beautiful Saint-Simon industrialism.
In essence, it is a financial speculation company that engages in bond speculation.
In theory, the original intention is to develop industry.
In fact, it will only work hard in the direction of manipulating stock prices, fluctuating stock prices, and speculating in bonds.
This kind of routine that goes in the opposite direction will definitely fail in the end.
And the result of the failure is that even if the feudal rulers of Dashun are the most cunning, capable, and skillful at that time, the result is nothing more than industrial feudalism, which can temporarily exist in Dashun and continue to accumulate resistance from the bottom.
What is this ideal situation, assuming that the feudal rulers can control the situation and solve it with their skills?
That is: the emperor, imperial power, nobles, and the new nobles of the practical school hold the actual control of the industry, forming an oligarchy with the royal family as the core.
Through marriage and imperial power pressure, this oligarchy, as the actual controller of Dashun, that is, imperial power plus chaebols, rests with the country.
This is basically similar to the ruling group with royal family, nobles, and good family children as the core before Dashun.
Under this oligarchy, imperial power plus chaebol group, there is a bureaucratic group composed of company managers and agents engaged in actual work, responsible for actual management.
For this, we only need to change the practical school to the imperial examination system. It is similar to the six governments in the court of Dashun in the past, and the subordinate official system.
The old shareholders get a fixed income equal to the interest on the bonds, just like annuities.
This is similar to the students under the rule of Dashun in the past, that is, in this way, the bourgeoisie and the middle class are ruled by the old routine of appeasing students.
The students relied on land, which was a privilege, and in essence, they were also given money, but they were not collected and then given, but directly not collected.
The old shareholders, the emerging classes and the middle class that were incorporated, were similar to the students in the past, relying on stocks instead of land to earn interest and fixed income, which was equivalent to "the students' privileges".
The lowest class was the increasingly expanding industrial workers and industrial workers.
Their status was similar to the tenant farmers under the rule of Dashun in the past.
This is the basic model of "industrial feudalism" mentioned by Fourier.
And precisely, this is actually the only model that the feudal rulers of Dashun can accept and think they can control, and Dashun urgently needs to develop industry and commerce.
On the one hand, the structure is very familiar, and they will not panic and don't know what to do.
On the other hand, this model is basically stable for the Confucian feudal society in East Asia.
The emperor plus the chaebols and aristocrats at the top; the bureaucrats of the practical school in the middle, and the scholars after the reform of the imperial examination system; the hundreds of thousands of emerging classes similar to the students were incorporated.
Given that Dashun actually won the war and basically destroyed the European forces east of the Cape of Good Hope, Dashun already had the size of an imperialist.
Therefore, this set of things is also "Three Mountains in One".
Emperor, capital, and feudalism, three mountains in one.
This is what Liu Yu said, under the extremely small possibility, the only way that the most cunning and capable feudal rulers can take is to continue to toss and turn, continue to develop industry and commerce, but maintain the stability of imperial power and feudal rule. The most theoretically feasible and the most fucked-up way.
That is, under the restriction of "reform" and "change of law", the only possible way for the feudal dynasty to go to the steam engine and railway era, the road of steam roller.
And once there is such a skilled feudal ruler, even if Wang Mang reforms the system and Liu Xiu comes again, he can really take this road that urgently needs skills, means, ruling skills, imperial power, and ability.
Then, Dashun will be close to complete death, and there will be no feudal remnants left, but a huge industrial heritage will be left - if it doesn't play like this, maybe there will be a resignation edict or something, and a lot of feudal scum will be left, and these scum will not be wiped out without decades of wiping.
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