"Since you are invited to come out of the mountain to personally preside over this project, it is obviously impossible to use these calculation formulas that everyone knows, but you should think about it in the long run, right?"
These words silenced the two of them.
Tan Liangzhe wanted to refute, but he opened his mouth, but he didn't know how to refute.
In fact, this project is mostly calculated by a group of graduate students.
And Zhong Zhenming, who was the leading pusher, basically did nothing.
This is actually not surprising. Most projects are like this. Professors and mentors are only guiding and supervising. Most of the real work is like this.
But Gu Xiu was right.
If it's just an ordinary financial modeling, then you can find any professor, why do you have to find a master of Dean Zhong's level?
"You mean, long-term calculations should be calculated?" Zhong Zhenming also narrowed his eyes.
"Long-term calculations must be made." Gu Xiu nodded: "Of course, I also know that calculations will be endless, but can we set a numerical value, a calculation formula for each stage of three years."
"The two years are the previous data, and the next year is the estimated data?"
"But the amount of calculation and the accuracy of the estimate may be greatly reduced." Zhong Zhenming frowned.
"The variable itself cannot be controlled by humans, but it can be controlled within a certain range." Gu Xiu replied:
"What's more, financial modeling itself cannot be 100%, but the data support of two years, deriving the variables for the next year is also a reference in itself."
"Moreover, is it possible to add new variable values in real time to the model of these variable calculations? As long as the calculation of the annual stock market data is performed, it can be added to the variable calculation at any time."
"You mean..." Zhong Zhenming's eyes suddenly brightened: "Although the budget is for the next year, by introducing the latest variables, the accuracy of the forecast can be controlled on the recent data?"
Gu Xiu nodded.
Zhong Zhenming suddenly cheered up. Before Liang Sining kept saying that Gu Xiu was a genius, he really didn't believe it.
But now, Gu Xiu's new proposal made Liang Zhenming see Gu Xiu's talent.
This may seem like a simple one-sentence suggestion.
But bring.
It is unbelievably optimized for results!
According to what Gu Xiu said, perhaps the calculation process would indeed be very troublesome.
But if once this financial model is successful.
That would be an amazing thing!
Unable to bear it, Zhong Zhenming looked at Gu Xiu and thought of what Liang Sining had said to him before.
He saw the future in this child!
……
Chapter 147 Dean Zhong Misunderstood Me
Finally, Zhong Zhenming withdrew his thoughts, looked at Gu Xiu in surprise and asked:
"Since you mentioned this, why don't you tell me, what's your calculation for Yantai Wanhua stock?"
The suggestion Gu Xiu said is only a theory at present, and a lot of calculations are still needed to verify it.
He's curious now.
As Gu Xiu said before, what is the result of Yantai Wanhua's sudden death remarks?
What made him happy was that this time Gu Xiu didn't play tricks:
"Actually, my calculations are not as clever as yours."
"Even in terms of basic data, I haven't collected as much data as you. My calculations are mainly two aspects."
"First of all, I calculated the probability from the stock market data during the period when Yantai Wanhua went public."
Probability calculation?
Zhong Zhenming was a little dumb, this method was a bit simple and rude, and the changes were actually quite large.
Sure enough, Gu Xiu had already said:
"This calculation has a big problem, and it's not even mature at all, but it made me discover a strange thing."
"Oh? What did you find?"
"I found that Yantai Wanhua had been in a tepid state at the beginning of its listing, but the sudden surge afterwards was completely unreasonable."
Zhong Zhenming couldn't help laughing: "That's because you didn't calculate other variables, and you didn't even conduct a detailed data survey on Yantai Wanhua."
"Yes, I also found that I didn't conduct a detailed investigation, but I don't have the ability to investigate so much data." Gu Xiu nodded, with a calm face:
"So I started looking elsewhere, and I started to investigate what the reason for the sudden surge in this stock was."
"The results of it?"
"As a result, I found out that the reason for Yantai Wanhua's skyrocketing price is that they were hyping the concept of a MID. The hype of this stock belongs to the concept hype."
"Well, this kind of concept speculation is new in the stock market. Many listed companies use this method to boost their stock prices."
"Yes, so I began to understand the hype of this concept in detail. It is indeed rarely used in China, but it is actually not uncommon overseas." Gu Xiu nodded: "The first thing I thought of was the Internet. stock."
"This..." Zhong Zhenming narrowed his eyes: "Import calculations of the same type?"
"Yes." Gu Xiu nodded.
"However, in this way, the reference significance is not great, and the deviation of the results will be very large."
"But it also has a certain reference value, doesn't it?" Gu Xiu asked back:
"To put it bluntly, concept stocks are investors, their recognition of this concept, and the degree of advancement of this concept."
"This is the same as the previous Internet. People are optimistic, and the stock price will naturally rise. But if this concept is still just a concept, it will naturally collapse one day."
This time, Zhong Zhenming was speechless.
Seeing that Gu Xiu has already continued:
"Since it is a horizontal comparison using the Internet, I am naturally not optimistic about this concept stock from the beginning, which makes me want to know more about it."
"As a result, I found that Yantai Wanhua's profit and debt situation is not too optimistic. If that's the case, I don't think this stock is not good enough."
"However, recently, Yantai Wanhua's stock has seen a big rise, which obviously violates my calculation results, so I started a new investigation."
"As a result, I found that their concept has always been in concept for such a long time, but the stock price has been pulled up several times due to market changes."
"There's clearly a problem with that."
"So you made a new calculation?" Zhong Zhenming became excited.
"Yes." Gu Xiu nodded: "I calculated the calculation results without including this increase in the stock price, and then added the calculation results after adding this variable."
"Two settings are calculated!" Zhong Zhenming's breath was rapid: "Go on!"
"As a result, I found that the two calculation results were very different."
"This difference confuses me, so I started to calculate the difference between the two results again, and I found that the difference is surprisingly similar to the previous Internet difference!"
Whoa!
When he heard this, Zhong Zhenming stood up excitedly.
He found.
He seriously underestimated this child!
He started pacing back and forth, looking impatient, and then even took out a small notebook that he carried with him, and just started counting.
Facing this scene, Comrade Gu Jianjun was full of confusion. He didn't understand anything, but he was too embarrassed to ask.
After thinking about it, he asked Tan Liangzhe in a low voice, "Young man, what my son said... isn't it very powerful?"
"This..." Tan Liangzhe was speechless for a moment, looked at Gu Xiu, his eyes were already full of horror, he pondered for a moment and nodded:
"I don't know the result, but... what he said is really powerful!"
"Hahaha, that's good, that's good!" Gu Jianjun suddenly felt relieved.
Whether you can hear it or not.
The main thing is that his son Niubi will do.
When it came to Gu Xiu, he breathed a sigh of relief at this moment. In fact, there are many loopholes in what he said.
After all, he hadn't actually calculated anything.
Even these formulas were discovered after reading Tan Liangzhe's previous calculation documents, saying that they had been calculated extensively.
It's all bullshit!
But in fact, he is still very confident in making these words out of his mouth, after all, he is deriving the process from the result.
This thing is the same as an open-book exam, a simple batch.
And it turns out that he was right.
"Your calculation method has brought me a lot of inspiration!"
Zhong Zhenming, who had calculated for a period of time, suddenly stopped and looked at the results in the small notebook in his hand, with undisguised horror in his eyes:
"But there is a problem."
"How can you be sure that this stock will die suddenly within three days?"
Uh……
Gu Xiu was dumbfounded. His calculation result could indeed predict the sudden death of Yantai Wanhua.
But in terms of time, it is obviously impossible to be so precise.
You can't say that you are a reborn person, right?
Fortunately, before Gu Xiu could answer, Tan Liangzhe on the side had already spoken:
"Recent reports!"
"There have been too many reports about this stock recently, which has led to a false boom. A large influx of investors will accelerate the rise of this stock."
"But it will also speed up the exposure decay of this stock!"
"Gu Xiu must have referred to this index!"
"Ah, yes, yes, yes!" Gu Xiu nodded again and again, wishing to give Tan Liangzhe a thumbs up, and by the way, hang a sign of great wisdom on him.
Savior!
"This idea is very interesting, and it brings a lot of ideas to our project." Zhong Zhenming said with emotion, and then looked at the computer:
"Can I have another look at your stock?"
"Dean Zhong wants to see the previous rise data of this stock, so just look at it." Gu Xiu nodded.
Zhong Zhenming didn't hesitate any longer, and started to operate with the mouse.
But unexpectedly.
After all, he is getting old and not so flexible with computer operations, so by accident, Zhong Zhenming clicked on Gu Xiu's transaction records.
In an instant, a large series of transaction records appeared.
And the transaction amount.
It is presented as a terrifying data.
2.7 billion!
Account! ! !
Zhong Zhenming:! ! !
Tan Liangzhe:! ! !
Gu Xiu: It's over, Barbie Q is over! ! !
Dean Zhong misunderstood me!
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