Gu Jianjun was amused, but Zhong Zhenming was more interested:
"This stock is in a hot period right now, and many parties are very optimistic about it. Basically, all financial recommenders are recommending this stock. Why do you plan to sell now instead?"
"Because this stock will plummet soon!" Gu Xiu said firmly.
"Bullshit!"
Before Zhong Zhenming could speak, Tan Liangzhe on the side immediately laughed:
"Dean Zhong has said that almost all financial recommenders are recommending this stock, which means that this stock must have some room for growth in the future. You actually said that this stock will plummet?"
But Gu Xiu pouted: "If everyone listens to the financial recommender, then why are those people still working as a financial recommender? Wouldn't it be better to just go out and speculate in stocks by themselves and realize the freedom of wealth?"
"you……"
"I'm sure that the stock Yantai Wanhua will die suddenly within three days at most!"
Chapter 145 Childishness
"At most three days, he must die suddenly!"
Gu Xiu's words were resounding, obviously a child who is only seven years old next year, but when he uttered these words, he carried a confidence that is rarely seen in adults.
As if he was determined.
"Nonsense!" Tan Liangzhe pouted, with a look of disbelief:
"To tell you the truth, our financial modeling this time, Yantai Wanhua is also in our project plan, and I have collected a lot of data about this stock, and I know a lot more than you."
To these words, Gu Xiu just shrugged.
Not at all interested in explaining.
Yantai Wanhua has already become the number one hot stock in this period of time. Whether it is newspapers, TV, or even a random search on the Internet, you can find a lot of related discussions and topics.
This information, without exception, is bullish.
but……
so what?
Not to mention Gu Xiu's premonition of vigilance before, just the fact that he is a reborn person is already certain.
Yantai Wanhua must dive into the water!
Because according to the history of the previous life, Yantai Wanhua itself will reach the highest peak tomorrow, and then they will enter a long bear market, which may even last for several years. High lock up.
This made Gu Xiu sure that Yantai Wanhua will fall!
Even if there is a butterfly effect, it can't change all this.
Because Gu Xiu knew that the butterfly effect brought about only some minor changes, and it was impossible to directly revive a stock that was bound to plummet, or even go against the reverse growth of the market.
If so.
Then on the first day after he was reborn, the world would be in chaos.
Therefore, Gu Xiu is very sure.
Yantai Wanhua.
Must fall!
Even Jesus can't save it!
"You think Yantai's thousands of flowers will fall, can you tell me your reason?" Compared with Tan Liangzhe's disdainful face, although Zhong Zhenming didn't believe Gu Xiu's words, he was more interested in where Gu Xiu came from Such thoughts.
Gu Xiu narrowed his eyes: "Dean Zhong, before answering this question, I want to ask, is there any reason for you to be bullish?"
what?
Is this considered anti-client?
Zhong Zhenming was stunned for a moment, and Tan Liangzhe sarcastically said: "Is it possible that you can't tell the truth, so you're just talking nonsense?"
Gu Xiu was calm, and spread his hands: "I'm just a primary school student, I haven't done financial modeling, and my understanding of this field is very limited, why don't you talk about it first, and then I will know the results of your financial modeling. How should I persuade you?"
"In this case, Xiao Tan, take out the information." Zhong Zhenming smiled and nodded towards Tan Liangzhe.
When the master, Dean Zhong, spoke, Tan Liangzhe took out a USB flash drive from his pocket and inserted it into the computer no matter how unhappy he was.
"Uncle, is this a USB flash drive?" Gu Xiu asked.
"That's right, this is a high-tech product. In the future, it will be able to store data directly without such a tiring thing as a mobile hard disk. This thing is rare in Jiangcheng." Tan Liangzhe showed off.
What makes him regret is that Gu Xiu just asked this question, and he didn't have any words of envy after that, which made him a little aggrieved, so he could only keep his mouth shut, and honestly began to search for the things he had collected in the 3 folders. data.
No one knows, Gu Xiu squinted his eyes at this moment, thinking in his heart whether he should invest in a company.
The U disk is still in a period of chaos, because since the appearance of the U disk, this thing has not been orthodox. Many companies are claiming that they are the inventors of the USB flash disk, which has led to the fact that the current patent for this thing is still unknown. There is no fight for the first and last.
But next year, this U disk patent war will come to an end.
And what surprised everyone in the end.
The one who won the patent was not a high-tech company overseas, but a domestic one. The little-known Netac Technology won the patent and successfully obtained the "Flash Electronic External Storage Method and Device for Data Processing System " of this patent.
But in fact, after the war ended, there were still controversies. It took another two years for Crown Technology to successfully win the basic invention patent of the flash drive officially authorized by the US National Patent Office, which completely knocked the bell off the war.
This battle can be said to have shocked the storage industry at home and abroad, and even broke the glasses of countless industry insiders.
But soon Gu Xiu shook his head again.
This thing is interesting and has some ideas, but it is too troublesome. I don’t have much money. If I want to invest, I should find some gold mines to invest in. It is simple, convenient and trouble-free.
"All right!"
At this moment, Tan Liangzhe stopped searching for information, found the data of Yantai Wanhua among the data files, and opened it immediately:
"I have integrated a lot of information here."
"Including Yantai Wanhua's income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. At the same time, we also predicted the market size of the company and the company's future performance."
"In the calculation of the return multiple, that is, X_Cal, we have used various DCF and PE Comparable models that are currently mainstream, and these are calculated using positive [-]th data."
"Similarly, we also take some other variables into consideration, including the Python implementation and backtesting of Yantai Wanhua's quantitative strategy, momentum and reversal data."
"In the end, the calculation result of our model is that the stock of Yantai Wanhua will continue to grow for at least a week before it may start to fall, but the plunge you mentioned is impossible at all. This is a very slow one. process."
Speaking of this, Tan Liangzhe glanced at Gu Xiu, and said as if showing off:
"You don't understand a lot of things. There are a lot of knowledge involved in this modeling, including AQF core courses, overall code introduction, quantitative investment, python number calculation and Jupyter notebook, global and local variables..."
"So much knowledge, can you understand one?"
Tan Liangzhe was very happy.
Because he felt that he could make this little kid understand that he was an adult, an adult who was better than him!
He hoped that Gu Xiu would show a dazed face.
But it's a pity that he was disappointed, Gu Xiu's expression didn't fluctuate, and he didn't know whether he really understood or didn't understand.
"How about it? We all rely on the data. The final conclusion is that the current modeling is not perfect, and the possible results are not too accurate, but the general direction should not change." Zhong Zhenming asked:
"Now, can you tell me your reason?"
"Haha, yes, can you tell me your reason?" Tan Liangzhe laughed, and sarcastically said to Gu Xiu: "Is there anything you don't understand about what I just said, if you don't understand, just ask, and I'll give you How about an explanation?"
But when he saw Gu Xiu, he suddenly smiled and said two words softly:
"childish!"
Chapter 146 He saw the future in this child
childish!
Gu Xiu's light two-word response brought a smile on Tan Liangzhe's face.
Completely froze.
Even Zhong Zhenming looked astonished.
But before the two could ask, Gu Xiu shook his head and said:
"I don't know much about your financial modeling algorithms, so I can't blame you, but there is one thing I want to know."
"Unless you calculate the variables, you use the data of Yantai Wanhua to calculate. The stock of Yantai Wanhua clearly has no room for improvement."
"but why."
"How did you allow this stock to get such a high evaluation in terms of the variable calculation formula?"
"Since it is financial modeling, what is your data source support?"
"What am I supposed to be talking about?" Tan Liangzhe pouted immediately:
"Variables are an extremely important data in financial modeling, and these variables include the data changes of Yantai Wanhua in the past half a year, as well as the current stock trading data."
"The various data of Yantai Wanhua do not look very good, but you must know that in the stock market, the data variable itself is an elusive thing, and it cannot be calculated entirely on the profit of a company."
"The high heat of the stock market is of course also an important indicator."
"..."
Tan Liangzhe talked eloquently, and a lot of professional vocabulary kept popping up. At least for a layman like Gu Jianjun, his face was full of bewilderment and at a loss.
But I'm too embarrassed to say it.
Look at my son, my son seems to really understand it, so how can I have the nerve to admit that I don't understand it?
At the same time, Gu Jianjun was a little emotional.
Are you really old?
But obviously, no one would care about Gu Jianjun's thoughts in this kind of academic discussion.
Tan Liangzhe was still talking, and Zhong Zhenming nodded his head from time to time to express his agreement. Obviously, the two of them were very confident in their financial modeling.
But what made the two of them a little depressed was that although Gu Xiu seemed to understand, there was still no conviction in his eyes.
Even, later on, there was sarcasm.
As if listening to a joke.
Seeing himself explaining this way, Gu Xiu still looked completely unbelievable, Tan Liangzhe finally couldn't help it:
"Now I have explained what I should explain. Don't you want to talk about your opinion?"
He was a little pissed.
He felt that the kid in front of him was just pretending to understand, or in other words, he was a bully who knew the truth and gritted his teeth.
Even Zhong Zhenming actually had a similar feeling, and looked at Gu Xiu as well:
"Gu Xiu, Xiao Tan's calculation methods are all correct. Since you have a different opinion, why don't you say it and we can discuss it?"
"Of course, you are still a primary school student after all, so it's okay even if you say something wrong. Maybe your different views can inspire us instead."
The latter sentence almost gave Gu Xiu a step ahead of time.
Although Tan Liangzhe was a little dissatisfied, he couldn't say anything.
after all.
It's impossible to be true, let yourself compare professional knowledge with a primary school student, right?
But when this idea just came up, Gu Xiu finally stopped being silent:
"Dean Zhong, your modeling calculations are fine, at least I think the previous calculation formulas are very reasonable, but I still have doubts about the latter variables."
"Since it is a variable, why is it only referring to calculations within three months and half a year?"
"In the financial market, half a year is currently the longest period of consideration. It is not easy to obtain data for earlier data variables, and there is not much reference." Zhong Zhenming explained.
"But it's impossible to invest in short-term investments that only take half a year?" Gu Xiu shook his head: "Most investors don't use short-term investments. Half a year doesn't seem like a short period of time, but many investments are long-term investments, right? "
Tan Liangzhe is not happy anymore:
"Children know how to talk nonsense and invest in the long run. Do you know how much computing power is required for calculations that last more than half a year?"
"With so many variables to consider, the formula is endless."
"But Dean Zhong, I believe that the purpose of the entrusting party asking you to make financial modeling is not simply to come up with a financial modeling framework that is available in the market for direct calculation, isn't it?" Gu Xiu shook his head:
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