The Son of Finance of the Great Age

  Chapter 622 Fork in the road

  “It’s approaching the $10 mark, and I’m afraid it will fall below $10 per share when they announce their financial statements for the third quarter.”

  Bathed in the golden sunlight in the morning, looking at the crystal-like blue and flawless sky, Jiang Shan took a deep breath of fresh air, with a drunken expression and blurred eyes, as if immersed in this beautiful morning. It's just that what he said showed that he was still sufficiently sober and rational at this time.

  This is Yanjing, on the morning of August 24th, the day when the Olympic Games closed. After 16 days of fierce competition, the largest sports event held every four years is finally coming to an end. Because Huaxia has won the first place in the total number of gold medals in history, which has written a strong stroke for this Olympic Games, so the country of Huaxia is immersed in this kind of joy, and Zhongshi and Jiangshan are no exception.

  The two of them came to observe the closing ceremony of the Olympic Games.

  The only thing that made this Olympic Games a fly in the ointment was that on August 8, the day the Olympic Games opened, a small-scale situational war broke out between Russia and Georgia in order to compete for control of the South Ossetia region. Although the war lasted only 10 days and ended with the withdrawal of Russian troops, more than 2,000 people were killed in the war.

  The world has always been in turmoil, and it is not surprising that wars occur. But the strange thing is that this war happened on the opening day of the Olympic Games, which broke the unspoken rule that there was no war in the world during the Olympic Games, and the second weirdest thing is that this war happened on the polar bears adjacent to Europe.

  Since World War II, the biggest threat facing European countries is Russia. After the outbreak of the Cold War, Europe has been in direct confrontation with the Soviet Union for half a century. Even after the Soviet Union disintegrated and Russia entered the era of the Commonwealth of Independent States, Europe and the United States did not give up their vigilance against them. Therefore, when Russia moved its arms again, the euro immediately fluctuated sharply.

  For most ordinary people in the world, this was just a small-scale war that lasted for ten days. After the smoke cleared, they continued singing and dancing. But for Chung-shik, this is definitely no ordinary conflict. When the news of the start of the war reached him, his first reaction was that it was a conspiracy.

Soon the news began to spread in the market. Two days later, after collecting the news from all over the world, Zhong Shi finally knew the general truth of the incident: some unknown funds bought off senior officers in the Georgian army. Without authorization, the Georgian army first launched shelling on the Russian side, because the two sides had historical grievances. In this case, the Russian army fought back brazenly, and the two sides fought this war.

Now the focus of the question is on where this mysterious fund came from. Although there has been no clue, according to the principle of the greatest profit and the greatest suspicion, investors generally believe that the short euro in the foreign exchange market is the driving force behind this war . On this day, the quotation of the euro against the U.S. dollar plummeted from 1 euro to 1.5320 dollars to 1.5016 dollars, a drop of up to 1.98%.

  As of Friday, the 15th, the exchange rate of the euro against the U.S. dollar still did not improve, falling to 1.4671 U.S. dollars for 1 euro, and the fluctuation range was as high as 4.23% in just one week. This range is undoubtedly a huge shock for the foreign exchange market. If leverage is included, a profit of 50% in just one week can be easily achieved.

  Interests make people crazy and make people unscrupulous.

   "Breaking $10 is just around the corner, but it's hard to say later!"

Zhong Shi is also in a good mood. Yanjing has always been plagued by smoggy weather, and the gray sky has become the norm. However, during the Olympic Games, due to the strong environmental protection and the beauty of the sky, the sky is mostly blue during this period. The blue sky is like washing, which really makes people feel happy.

"Hard to say?"

Jiang Shan frowned suddenly, he knew that Zhong Shi was thinking about himself again, during this time Zhong Shi was always trying to think about Jiang Shan, Jiang Shan was not used to it at the beginning, but soon he got used to this way of dialogue, which can Keep his brain in a state of thinking all the time.

After thinking about it for a moment, his brows widened, "Zhong Sheng, are you thinking about what will happen after the stock price of Raymond Brothers falls below 10 dollars? After all, Bear Stearns paid 10 dollars per share at the beginning. If the stock price of Lehman Brothers fell below $10, then for the Fed, it would face an important dilemma: whether to rescue Lehman Brothers now, or watch its stock continue to fall until it is released. out of hand."

   "Yes, and neither!"

Zhong Shi glanced at Jiang Shan approvingly, and then added, "Not only the Fed, there are two paths before the market. One is to continue to choose to short Raymond Brothers, betting that it will eventually go bankrupt, or it will be less than $10. The other way is just the opposite. Based on Bear Stearns' lessons, this part of investors believes that the Federal Reserve will not let Lehman Brothers die, and will definitely rescue them. Assets like Bear Stearns Its scale and market influence can eventually be sold at a price of US$10 per share, so what price Lehman Brothers, which has an impact on the market that is several times that of Bear Stearns, will be sold depends on the judgment of the market.”

"To put it simply, because of Raymond Brothers, the market will set off a big gamble. Perhaps not only Raymond Brothers, but also Midland Securities, which is also on the cusp of the storm, their days are too good recently. Because of the intervention of Bales Deng's operation, the Federal Reserve has also been widely criticized, this time it depends on whether they can withstand the pressure of public opinion and continue to rescue such a large financial institution, or whether they are under pressure and let such an institution 'nature' Death'. No matter what the Fed does, there will be a strong anticipation in the market."

   "Perhaps this is the charm of the market!" Zhong Shi said in the end, "I am afraid that only one or a few people in this world know the answer, but they will never disclose it to the outside world before the final result is announced."

"Isn't this similar to what happened when Russia defaulted on its national debt?" Jiang Shan had a thoughtful expression on his face, "Bernanke must know, and so should Paulson and the President of the United States. Maybe Dick Foud knows too. , but not necessarily. God, it is indeed impossible to get news from these people. By the way, Zhong Sheng, what kind of situation do you think will be in the end?"

   Speaking of this, Jiang Shan suddenly discovered something, the expression on his face immediately became brighter, and he looked at Zhong Shi full of playful eyes.

   "Me?" Zhong Shi touched the tip of his nose in embarrassment, and pointed to the gymnasium not far away with a smile, "We have already arrived, let's go to the gymnasium first."

  Seeing that Zhong Shi didn't accept the move, Jiang Shan angrily made a **** gesture towards Zhong Shi's back, with a look of contempt on his face.

  …

  “The boss would like to ask, what is behind the recent situation in Georgia and the decline in the euro?”

The final song and dance performance was full of jubilation and peace, a figure quietly sat beside Zhong Shi, and when the bodyguards around Zhong Shi were about to stand up, they saw Zhong Shi swaying slightly. After waving their hands, they sat down again as if nothing had happened.

Gao Dongfang obviously noticed the strange situation around him, and couldn't help but smiled wryly, "Mr. Zhong, I said that your formation is big enough. You don't even look at the occasion, even if it is a terrorist, you can guarantee They can't make a fuss here."

"Just in case!" Zhong Shi didn't care about Gao Dongfang's teasing and sarcasm, and smiled lightly, "I have a lot of enemies now, especially in Yanjing, they can do anything. "

Gao Dongfang's face suddenly became serious. After lowering his head and thinking for a while, he suggested, "Really? If you need it, I can transfer some people to you. They come out from Da Nei." He added: "I really didn't expect them to be so insane and use such despicable methods. It's really surprising. No, I must report this matter to the boss."

   "Calm down." Zhong Shi was taken aback, a master? This is not something that ordinary people can secondment, "I'm just planning for a rainy day. If there is a need, I will definitely not waste such an opportunity. So far, I have not tried the feeling of being protected by a big inner master. I think It’s nice to think I’m being treated the same as the leaders.”

   Then there was an intoxicated expression on his face, of course, this was just a joke.

  Gao Dongfang felt angry and funny, the funny thing was that the other party started to lust, and the angry thing was that after chatting for a long time, Zhong Shi still didn't answer his question directly. It seems that if you want the other party to speak, you have to work harder. He gritted his teeth and said, "To tell you the truth, the boss and several other bosses are discussing how to deal with the financial crisis. It is said that they are drawing up a huge economic stimulus plan to get rid of the financial crisis. The current sluggish external economic impact has allowed Huaxia's economy to continue to grow at a high speed."

   "Finally said something dry!" Zhong Shi thought silently in his heart.

"But because the euro has fallen, the boss urgently needs to know what will happen in Europe under this situation." Gao Dongfang still stared at the stage in the center of the stadium, and even applauded and cheered from time to time, it was impossible to see that he was talking A major event related to the national economy, "I have violated the principle of confidentiality by saying so much. Now, Mr. Zhong, can you help me analyze the current economic situation in Europe and the impact of this financial crisis, as well as the impact on China's economy?" impact?"

"Your range is really big enough." Zhong Shi was very surprised, he was indeed surprised, originally he just wanted to take advantage of the other party, who would have thought that the other party would reveal such a national secret, but for him, all of this The relationship is not very big. At present, his main battlefield is still in Europe and America. Since the other party is sincere, he will not hide it anymore, and immediately replied happily, "Europe is also facing a fork now, and Europe's problems are by no means lighter than those of the United States. I believe you have already seen some clues from the Georgia War Out."

"Yes!" Gao Dongfang nodded heavily, "Originally our think tank analyzed that this was a sabotage activity against the Olympic Games, with the purpose of discrediting the event. However, judging from various information in the past few days, this outbreak The war is not limited to this purpose, and behind it is even a conspiracy that threatens Europe even more than Russia's use of force!"

"That's right!" Zhong Shi sighed, "Just now, I didn't figure it out. But when I saw the President of the United States appear, everything became clear. The United States is causing trouble! Because the United States and Europe There have been crises, but in terms of severity alone, European financial institutions are far safer than those in the United States. Except for problems with some national bonds, the entire European financial sector is still in a relatively safe state so far, which makes the whole world The world’s funds are flocking to the continent of Europa. The U.S.’s move is too ruthless. Not only will Europe not be able to stand alone, but it will also make European leaders worry about the value of the euro in the next few years.”

"I believe that the leaders of Europe are well aware of this, so they are faced with a dilemma." Zhong Shi continued, "Whether to continue to cooperate with the United States and endure the exploitation brought about by this financial war, or to withdraw from the world Go to other places to get benefits, this is the choice they face."

  Gao Dongfang was so surprised that he couldn’t keep his mouth shut. He didn’t even hear what Zhong Shi said below, “With the arm of Europe broken and the US’s own economy in trouble, China can only rely on its own market now.”

As the singing and dancing entered a climax, the big screens in the stadium showed the leaders present one by one. At this moment, the camera caught sight of the President of the United States, who was smiling and applauding enthusiastically. The show is powerfully captivating.

   PS: Dear book friends, have you traded in stocks recently? The situation in A shares is changing, so be careful. By the way, thanks to the book friends Xiao Qi for the miracle of civilization, the wind waiting for the mooring, yuerwa, and I am a little dust to vote for the monthly ticket!

  (end of this chapter)