Take Off My Aviation Era

This column of Shi Jun’s article aroused great repercussions in all walks of life in Europe and the United States as soon as it was published. The reason for this effect is that, in addition to the large earthquake of magnitude 8.0 on the Richter scale that occurred in the W area in China, the most important thing is that Shi Jun’s article uses a lot of practical The data is explained.

For example, China's Ascendas Group’s aero engine output will drop by 68.7%. The reason is that its six factories are all concentrated in cotton, and the cotton is less than 500 kilometers away from the epicenter of the W area, which is one of the areas severely damaged by the earthquake. one.

For another example, his judgment on the next step of China Ascendas Group is also very accurate. The column article mentioned that China Ascendas Group's next step must be to shrink the front and reduce expenditures, so as to make room for huge losses.

As a result, less than six hours after the article was reported, China Ascendas Group issued a communiqué, suspending the development of the dual-aisle dual-engine large-scale long-distance passenger aircraft-240 passenger aircraft that benchmarked the Boeing 777 and Airbus A350. As for the reason, the communiqué did not explain it, but it is generally accepted by the outside world. It is speculated that the earthquake caused China to take off so badly that it is unable to bear such a large-scale investment.

Not only that, in the following four hours, China Ascendas issued four communiqués one after another. Except for one of which was to provide 200 million yuan and 300 million yuan worth of materials to the disaster area, the other three were all related to business.

Among them, the most important thing to the outside world is the last communiqué, which involves aviation supply chain issues. Its main content is that China Ascendas is in business adjustments, suspending the delivery of 22 220-series passenger planes expected in the first half of the year, as well as Boeing, Airbus, Bombardier, etc. Supporting parts and high-end aviation materials from related manufacturers.

Although the wording of the announcement is very subtle and guarantees that the supply will resume in the second half of the year, the announcement of this announcement is undoubtedly proof to the outside world that the boots have finally landed.

Obviously, a super earthquake broke the backbone of China's take-off. Otherwise, why would the delivery be delayed for no reason?

As a result, the market quickly reacted. First of all, the capital market. The Ascendas concept stocks plunged as soon as the market opened the next day. Among them, the more closely related companies even dropped during the intraday limit and were directly pressed on the floor with various frictions.

Secondly, there are several wait-and-see aviation industry giants, such as Rolls-Royce in the United Kingdom. At the beginning of the year, when China Ascendas and Boeing joined hands, they looked back. The guest's head was pressed into the toilet, and the Rolls-Royce Company was frightened.

But it also saw a glimmer of opportunities for rapid business expansion.

Because of this incident, China's Ascendas-220 series passenger aircraft can be regarded as a firm foothold. Although it is unable to enter the international market, the domestic market is already large enough. After more than 800 orders, Rolls-Royce finally couldn't sit still.

I hurriedly sent people to China, hoping to build a factory in China to assemble and produce the V2500 series of large bypass aero engines jointly developed by Rolls-Royce and Pratt & Whitney.

Of course, it is impossible to put such a high-end product line in the country without the conditions. That is, it is hoped that China's take-off production-220 series passenger aircraft can use the V2500 series of large bypass ratio aero engines.

This move is a win-win decision whether it is domestic or Rolls-Royce.

It goes without saying for Rolls-Royce. Since the birth of GM's CFM-56, the universal magic machine, it has opened the way to go all the way.

In addition, Rolls-Royce’s first foresight into the three-axis aircraft engine caused serious overruns on the RB-211 model. Not to mention, the cycle was even longer, and it almost didn’t get the whole company out of it. After rushing to the street, his vitality was severely injured, and he was even weaker to contend with GM.

In desperation, they could only cooperate with Pratt & Whitney to develop the V2500 series of large bypass aero engines to compete with GM. As a result, their side has not yet blossomed. However, GM and France's Safran have cooperated with the LEAP series of aviation engines to enter the market. .

Not only is it a step ahead, but more importantly, various indicators have almost crushed Rolls-Royce's V2500 series of large bypass aero engines, which makes Rolls-Royce particularly embarrassed, and its market share has plummeted.

Fortunately, for the sake of face, Airbus and Boeing both use the V2500 series of large bypass engines as the models of choice for A320 and Boeing 737, but in the face of the LEAP series of aviation launching super dominance, except for a beautiful configuration table. Outside of the name, there are not many that have really installed the machine.

This has caused Rolls-Royce to face tremendous operating pressure.

So this time I took the initiative to come to the door and prepare to set up a factory in China. First, it is to expand the business and relieve the operating pressure caused by the poor sales of the V2500 series of large bypasses than the aero engine. Second, the most important consideration is to use China took off, the newly-born aristocrat in the aviation industry, and let itself fight a turnaround. After all, GM has ruled the world aero engines for enough time, and they should be in their early days.

For China Ascendas, Rolls-Royce setting up factories in China is also a great thing for its own development.

It should be understood that the key to the production of the 220 series is not the production capacity of the whole machine, but the aero engine. Although the aero engine production line of China Ascendas is already working overtime, it still cannot meet the huge order volume of the 220 series.

No way, China's take-off aero engine business is not only the 220 series passenger aircraft, but also many military models.

For example, for the No. 10 project that has been mass-produced, the WD-72SUV high-thrust aero engine used in it takes up a considerable amount of production capacity in China's Ascendas’ aero engine business.

That's all. Recently, the headquarters hopes to replace the Russian-made products on the Su-27 series with domestically-made aero engines, which also requires priority protection.

Of course, there is also the aero engine on the FC-23 carrier-based aircraft undertaken by China Ascendas. The priority is not only higher, but also urgent, because the Navy’s aircraft carrier No. 001 is about to be completed. uukanshu.com-related carrier aircraft training has been working overtime at a naval base. In order to keep up with the progress, the first prototype of the FC-23 carrier aircraft has been successfully tested two months ago. Now it is summarizing the Navy’s proposal. Organize personnel to make improvements.

Among them, there are more than a dozen items related to aero engines.

There are so many models in total, which will inevitably involve related production capacity, thereby reducing the production of civilian models. Therefore, China Ascendas has long wanted to transfer some of its production capacity to other related enterprises.

But the problem is that there are only a few domestic aero-engine factories, and each radish has one pit. The things produced have been fixed long ago, and it is difficult to take over new models to varying degrees.

Of course, if we make great efforts, it is not impossible to solve it. The most important thing is the lack of relevant professionals and skilled workers. This is the biggest dilemma facing China's take-off.

What should I do if there is no venue, no equipment can be built, and no talents?

It’s really hard to solve it in the short term!