People Are In Tokyo, and the Peerless Raptors Are Also Afraid of Hatchets
: Extra 1 (Double Ghosts Beat the Door)
Earthquake raid.
Kansai has been plunged into a cataclysm not seen in decades.
From Kobe City, Hyogo Prefecture, Danlu Island, and cities between Kobe and Osaka, all were severely damaged.
As part of the Osaka metropolitan area, Kobe's manufacturing output value accounts for 13% of Japan's total, steel output accounts for 24%, and machinery manufacturing accounts for 19%.
But unfortunately.
Kobe is one of the core areas of the earthquake that occurred in the Kansai region.
a time.
Water and electricity were cut off, traffic was paralyzed, and many small and medium-sized houses in Kobe City collapsed; and it also affected other surrounding industrial areas and some ports, which were obviously temporarily stopped.
Plus the earthquake broke out in the early morning.
The entire Kansai region has left 6,000 dead, 30,000 injured, 300,000 homeless, and 100,000 buildings severely damaged or destroyed. The earthquake was accompanied by 148 fires that destroyed 6,513 buildings and burned an area of 624,671 square meters (0.24 square miles). Including the loss of buildings, transportation systems and other infrastructure, the total loss is about 13 to 20 trillion yen (147 billion to 200 billion US dollars).
Rescue teams moved in.
Deal with the disaster area situation in the fastest time.
The cabinet also immediately counted the damage caused by the Great Hanshin Earthquake, and mourned with grief.
But the dead are gone.
The living will continue.
After the Tibet Provincial Conference.
The financial community also held an emergency meeting to provide necessary support for the reconstruction of Hanshin.
the same day.
The Bank of Japan announced a rate cut policy.
Cut interest rates by 100 basis points to stabilize the economic turmoil caused by the Great Hanshin Earthquake and the loose monetary policy needed for economic recovery.
rice ball reading
Singapore.
Barings Bank Singapore Branch.
General Manager's Office.
Nick Leeson, known as a genius trader in the international financial world, looked at the Nikkei trend on the computer and drilled his fist tightly.
"Everyone, the Kobe earthquake is undoubtedly a good opportunity. Please hurry up and build another long position."
"Mr. Li Sen, did I hear it right? The Kobe Earthquake lost hundreds of billions in Japan, and it's time to build a long position..."
"Idiot! What is the economy? It is creation and consumption. If there is no consumption, how can it be created? The Bank of Japan has cut interest rates by 100 points, and the signal that the currency has entered into quantitative easing is already very obvious, and the reconstruction of Kobe must at least invest in the original losses. Isn't it an excellent opportunity to double the amount of money?"
Say so.
The people present suddenly realized.
Admiration appeared in his eyes.
Seeing that others agreed, Li Sen, the general manager and chief trader of Barings Bank's Singapore-based Barings Futures Company, was also relieved.
all the time.
Li Sen is known for his steadiness and boldness.
In the Nikkei 225 futures contract market, he is known as the "Invincible Li Sen".
In the second half of 1994, Li Sen believed from the recovery of Japan's per capita income, price index, and export share that Japan's economy had begun to emerge from recession and that the bubble economy had successfully landed.
With the devaluation of the yen and the strengthening of the US dollar, Japan's exports will definitely return to its peak, and the stock market will have a strong upward trend.
The basic logic is that the stock market is a barometer of the economy.
Nick Leeson bought heavily on Nikkei 225 futures contracts and call options.
at this point.
Leeson's analysis is undoubtedly correct.
But don't know why.
Japan's stock market did not rise, it fell about 2,000 points, and Li Sen lost more than a billion dollars and had to use an 88888 account to hide the loss.
And now the Kobe earthquake.
Many people have seen the economic losses caused by the earthquake, but they have overlooked a very important message.
Is waste valuable?
This is an interesting question.
But if you understand that the generation of GDP comes from constant circulation.
The answer becomes very clear.
The reason why European and American countries give aid to the useless homeless is not because the capitalists are benevolent, but out of interest.
a waste.
is also valuable.
Even if he does not produce any production, as long as he is alive, he will consume it, which is economic value.
Therefore, the shock of the Japanese economy brought about by the Kobe earthquake is not false, but the large-scale investment of the Japanese cabinet in reconstruction work is bound to bring about a recovery of the economy.
really.
As Nick Leeson expected.
the following week.
The Japanese stock market has risen, and stocks dominated by real estate and infrastructure companies have risen quite well.
Coupled with the combination of the monetary easing policy of cutting interest rates, the Nikkei rebounded by 6% in the half month after the Kobe earthquake.
At this moment.
Affiliated Hospital of Keio University Faculty of Medicine.
Naoo Nagano was leaning on the hospital bed, listening to Mito Shinichi reporting on his recent work.
The situation is pretty bad.
Because the earthquake occurred in the Kansai region, which is the base of Sanwa, many companies within the consortium suffered heavy losses.
Especially the two groups of Hanshin and Hankyu.
Because the railway was overturned and stopped for half a month, whether it is reconstruction or direct loss, it is an astronomical figure.
But after hearing the news.
Naoto Nagano couldn't help but laugh.
Hankyu has always been indirectly controlled by Ikeda Sakurako, and there is no chance to integrate Hanshin.
Now this is a great opportunity for integration.
"At this critical moment, Mito-kun must take down Hanshin. Only by integrating Hanshin and Hankyu can we reshape the economy in the shortest time possible."
"Roms!"
the same day.
The all-around insurance fund of Youlian Group swept the stock of Hanshin.
In just one day, 5% of the shares were bought. According to the securities rules, this share is already a hostile takeover that raises a sign to go to war.
The head of Saka Shrine, King Ishihara, held a press conference.
He scolded Almighty Insurance, a barbarian, who didn't understand business at all. If he controlled Banshen, he would only bring disaster to Banshen.
Interesting though.
Hanshin scolded the barbarians for the invasion.
The stockholders scolded King Ishihara for being incompetent and trash.
During the years he served as the president, the stock price of Hanshin has not changed. Now someone is raising the stock price to let everyone make some money. This **** does not want everyone to make money, and his heart is punishable.
external discussions.
Naoto Nagano didn't take it seriously.
He also set his sights on the Sekisui Chemical industry.
The earthquake caused the explosion of several Sekisui Chemical plants, and the five-year oil purchase contract has expired.
There are only two options in front of Sekisui, borrow money from Sanwa Bank, or renew the contract with Naoo Nagano.
The terms of the renewal are.
Give up 30% of the shares.
However, Sanhe Bank is also in a turmoil right now. All of them have suffered heavy losses due to the earthquake. They can only watch Youlian annex Sekisui Chemicals.
However, Naoo Nagano did not die.
Taking into account the brotherhood, Toyo Credit Bank, a subsidiary of Youlian Bank, and Sanhe Bank jointly invested to establish Sanhe Youlian UFJ.
Brothers who turned against each other, suddenly became the best brothers.
February 1.
Several ministers from Japan Health Insurance came to visit.
After listening to the work report.
Naoo Nagano immediately issued an order to sell the shares of the stock held by the club fund, and to suppress all listed companies in the Kansai region.
This order, the ministers present were stunned.
But now Naoo Nagano is the real number one in the club, and no one dares to refute it at all.
almost simultaneously.
The major banking institutions also sold off their chips in an all-round way.
After half a month of the earthquake, the Nikkei suddenly plummeted, dropping by 20% in just one week.
Singapore.
Nick Lison looked at the six billion dollars lost in the account, and people were already confused.
He really couldn't understand.
Why does the Bank of Japan cut interest rates, loose money, and invest a large amount of money in Kobe's reconstruction, but the stock market will fall into such a bear-like pattern.
The poor guy never realized it.
Japan's real estate is a financial property, which is equivalent to a reservoir of monetary policy, and the stock market is the same. It is a tool of the Japanese money market to undertake a buffer zone for monetary easing.
At that time.
The yen was forced to appreciate.
Naturally, there is a need to push up housing and the stock market to prevent inflation from affecting people's lives.
But Japan has always been very clear that the foundation of the country is manufacturing. Now the US dollar is raising interest rates strongly. The purpose of Japan's interest rate reduction is to depreciate and restore export trade. Naturally, all the water must be squeezed out into the market.
As such.
The stock market doesn't go down until hell.
Faced with more than acceptable losses on the account.
Li Sen didn't even think about it, he didn't even have time to close the position on the account, and took his subordinates on the flight to escape.
Wait until Barings Bank finds out something is wrong.
$1.1 billion has been lost on the account.
This ancient bank, which has been serving the royal family for a hundred years, was lost to bankruptcy by traders in just one month.
Next.
The U.S. dollar raised interest rates by another 100 basis points.
Such a large-scale interest rate increase has begun to highlight the blood-pumping effect on global capital.
Mass inflows into the U.S. pushed the dollar up to 100 basis points.
However, Japan cut interest rates again, and the interest rate was as low as 1.5%. Large-scale funds flowed out of the market from the sleep state of the bank, causing the yen to depreciate to 1:126.
this day.
Because Sony and Samsung cooperated with semiconductor companies to start construction.
As one of the shareholders, Naoo Nagano brought his family on a trip and visited the scenic spots in South Korea by the way.
Little Japanese clothes.
You can be recognized wherever you go.
A guy looked at these little Japanese and laughed deliberately: "Dude, do you know? Japan is about to die. Now that the yen has depreciated to 126, it is estimated that it will not be able to maintain its status as the second largest economic system soon. Bar!"
"How can a country like Japan be the opponent of our Republic of Korea! At most ten years, Japan will decline into a developing country, and our South Korea will become the only developed country in Asia."
In order to deliberately stimulate Naoo Nagano's small Japanese.
Several Koreans spoke in English, laughing and talking.
Naoo Nagano's group looked quite strange, looked at each other, and someone said, "Are these guys idiots? Don't you understand that their end is coming?"
"South Korea's overall education is relatively low, and it is difficult to go out and see the outside world, so it is probably no different from the frog in the well!"
"Even so, working six days a week and having that confidence where the income comes from?"
this problem.
Naoo Nagano didn't know how to answer.
South Korea is still on a six-day system.
This time when I came to invest, I hoped that the Korean side would protect the rights and interests of workers, and I hoped to implement five days and eight hours of globalization.
But the gang of Koreans laughed at their own gang and didn't know what was going on in their minds.
perhaps.
There is no such stupid guy in the animal world!
Shaking his head secretly.
Standing at today's height, he has long known that with Japan's technical level, once the yen depreciates, what kind of terrifying suppression will it bring to Asia.
Then cooperate with the U.S. dollar to draw blood financial assets.
This will be the most terrifying plunder and aggression in modern times...
......
year 1996.
The dollar stopped raising interest rates, but the dollar's strong bulls have been highlighted, from 79 to a strong high of 111 points.
While the yen is still cutting interest rates, especially the downturn in the stock market and the continuous decline in real estate, a set of Tokyo-based industries has depreciated to the price of a pair of leather shoes.
What's even more extreme is the 23rd district of Tokyo, where large-scale housing listings have become garbage, and countless investors are facing overdue and bank accountability. Even if the house has been repaid for many years, it will owe a lot of debt when it is sold.
It's like the surface of the sea is being squeezed by the depths.
Capital outflows from the stock market and real estate pushed the dollar against the yen to a ratio of 1:140.
suddenly.
Koreans find themselves inexplicably unemployed.
The market was invaded by Japanese goods.
The products of the Korean factories cannot be sold. Large-scale factory layoffs and salary reductions. Many people are competing for a job, even if the salary is reduced by 20%.
Demonstrations against Japanese goods broke out.
A lot of Sony tape recorders, Canon color TVs, Panasonic air conditioners, and Toyota cars were smashed.
However, such violent acts cannot stop the dumping of high-quality and cheap Japanese products at all. The mockery of Japan a year ago caused the Korean manufacturing industry to lose completely in the face of absolute technology.
Thailand.
central bank.
With the growth of Japan's trade exports, the scale of Thailand's export trade has been declining. As early as a year ago, it has changed from a surplus to a deficit.
And long term.
Because of the fixed exchange rate, the central bank has to face the carry trade between the Japanese yen and the Thai baht.
Baofang also Baohui has become a difficult choice.
Keep the exchange rate.
Imports can also be cheaper.
But Bangkok’s housing prices are already a major component of GDP and a powerful tool for labor transformation. If you can’t keep your house, you can’t avoid a recession.
The problem is that many companies have had to lay off staff and cut wages because of poor sales.
In the long run.
The real estate may not be preserved.
suddenly.
Trader's report.
In the spot market, a large amount of Thai baht is being sold at a price of 1:25, and there are also large-scale short positions in the offshore futures market.
BOT immediately ordered a sweep of the goods, and at the cost of a loss of four billion US dollars, the market was calm and stable.
American Wall Street.
Quantum Fund.
Drakenmiller Stanley Drakenmiller looked at the forced liquidation of the Thai baht position with a hint of playfulness on the corner of his mouth.
This time, the test of the Thai baht lost 50 million US dollars.
However, judging from the current share of Thailand's trade exports, at most one year, Thailand's foreign exchange will dry up.
the other side.
With the strong power of Youlian UFJ, Hanshin was acquired 38% of the shares in just half a month.
Ikeda Sakurako directly dismissed the management headed by the head of Saka Shrine, King Ishihara, with the power of the largest shareholder~www.readwn.com~.
It took another month for Hanshin Electric Railway and Hankyu Holdings to merge to form Hanshin-Hankyu Holdings, becoming the third largest group of both Sanhe and Youlian.
Mitsui and Sumitomo suddenly found out.
Times seem to have changed.
Utilizing the power of Internet finance, Youlian Group has actually controlled one-third of the country's small loans in just a few years.
The largest business scope of small and medium-sized enterprises is Sanwa Bank. If they continue to develop, a super financial institution that cannot be confronted by the big-handed enterprise alliance will be born.
This is more terrifying than controlling business rights, because controlling all SMEs is equivalent to monopolizing the living environment at the grassroots level...
…
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