New Shun 1730

The strategic considerations at this time were different from the wars of extinction in later generations. It was still easy to judge the strategic goals of various countries.

Louis XV certainly did not have such a strategic vision. If France really had a strategic master, it would not have been possible to play like this from the great advantage of the Louis XIV era.

In Liu Yu's view, the only reason why France is so strong in Europe is that its effective population is the largest in Europe. Before the thunder of 1993, French farmers did not need to consider the problem of class slippage. In addition to the Catholic tradition, the desire to have children is still very strong. With a large population, power can be centralized, and war can be won.

Today, the population advantage is still so great, and the situation in France has not yet opened up. The strategic sense is really too ordinary.

Although he had a fooling mentality, it was still quite amazing to Louis XV.

It's not that Liu Yu's level is so high, but France has been a little wishful since the beginning of the war, thinking that Prussia will abide by the covenant of "not making a separate peace."

Other countries are fine, but France has broken alliances many times in history. During the religious wars, the eldest daughter of the Catholic Church also stood on the side of the Protestants. It is really strange that they can pin all their hopes on Prussia's compliance with its promises.

France does not have no strategy, but the cornerstone of the strategy is wishful thinking.

The current situation is a bit far from the wishful thinking, so there is no strategy at all, and it is in a completely confused state, completely led by the situation.

Let alone whether what Liu Yu said is really similar to the Longzhong Plan, but at this time, as long as he can say something about the strategic direction, it is enough for Louis XV to applaud.

The more he savored this strategic concept, the more he savored it. And the key is that the time is not long, the longest is only until the autumn of 1945, just three or two years.

Some people can't keep things in their hearts. If it is a long-term strategy of ten or eight years, they will definitely not be able to hold it. They have to open their mouths and talk about it in advance. It is difficult to wait for ten or eight years. Louis XV was such a person. If he had to wait for ten or eight years to get results, he would have gone crazy.

Since it was only three or two years, it was still tolerable.

After some calculation, it seemed that this trend was indeed the most likely.

And according to this trend, in 45, the Dutch economy collapsed, Prussia took advantage again, and Louis XV himself had the Stuart family to disgust Britain. No matter how you look at it, he had already won eight points.

Even if the colonies were not going well, once Hanover was occupied, wouldn't the British still obediently exchange them for the French colonies?

Even if the territory was tied at that time, the Netherlands was destroyed in one wave, and Prussia, a potential ally, could be earned, which would be considered a victory for France.

But what Liu Yu was thinking about now was not whether France could win, but how to divide the spoils after the war so that Dashun could get enough benefits.

Nanyang was not within the scope of the spoils.

As for the Nanyang issue, Dashun would not need to negotiate with other European countries as long as they went there. Nanyang belonged to Dashun and no one could take it away.

This was not called dividing the spoils, but taking back Zheng He's legacy.

"Spoils" refer to other people's wealth, which is outside Nanyang.

"Your Majesty, I have an immature idea about the post-war issue. I hope to ask for your opinion. I hope you can correct me."

Louis XV had no idea at all. He had started the war, but what kind of result did he want? He had thought too much before, but now it seems that it may not be the case. The result he wanted in the future is now a mess.

He had just listened to Liu Yu's analysis of the strategic situation, and now he heard Liu Yu so respectfully asking him to correct him, so he politely let Liu Yu continue.

What Liu Yu wanted was a neutral Netherlands after the war, at least not a Dutch puppet of France.

This war will not last long.

Once the Netherlands collapsed in 1945, both sides could not hold on.

Britain and Spain were fighting the Jenkins Ear War, but Spain, in its twilight years, actually fought the classic "Battle of Cartagena" in Colombia. The British seemed to have won elsewhere, but in fact they lost strategically.

War is not just about the loss ratio, but whether the two sides have reached their strategic expectations. Britain's strategic expectation was to gain hegemony over the Atlantic and Caribbean Seas, but the Battle of Cartagena completely shattered Britain's strategic expectations and made them impossible to achieve.

In fact, when the war reached this point, Britain and Spain could have negotiated. The strategic expectations of the attacking side were all gone, and the defending side was completely unable to fight back. If they did not negotiate, it would just be a waste of time, and it would be a purely meaningless war. Now they can only hijack each other's ships and pit each other at sea.

France was set up by Prussia. Liu Yu said it was easy to hold on for two or three years until the opportunity for a strategic counterattack. But France's finances could only hold on for two or three years at most.

Prussia wanted to take Silesia to weaken Austria. Britain was just trying to disgust France. When it failed to disgust France and France launched a full-scale counterattack, Britain certainly did not gain any advantage. The problem was that France had no control of the sea and could not land in London. What could it achieve by continuing to fight?

Two major contradictions in Europe.

The contradiction between Britain, France and Spain in overseas colonies.

Prussia and Austria, who is Germany's contradiction.

These two major contradictions cannot be resolved in this war. When the day comes when they can no longer fight, they will take a break and cease fire, recuperate, expand their military forces and prepare for the next wave to directly resolve these two major contradictions.

To achieve Liu Yu's idea of ​​the next European decisive battle between "China, France, Russia, Austria, VS Britain, Denmark, Prussia, Portugal", today's secret meeting on the division of spoils is particularly important.

The basis of the Franco-Austrian alliance is that France cannot eat the Austrian Netherlands, which is the later Belgian region.

Only in this way can the Franco-Austrian contradiction be relegated to the secondary, and the contradiction between Prussia and Austria, which ate Silesia, can rise to the main contradiction.

If France does not eat Belgium, the Netherlands may be neutral and repair the Franco-Dutch relationship. By the way, let the British king's son-in-law, William of Orange and his wife, get out, stop being consuls, and replace them with a pro-French or seemingly pro-French speaker.

Inwardly, this is "for the benefit of Dashun, let France eat less."

The core is this core, how to say it, how to express it, and it is best to express it as "for the sake of France", this is the key.

Liu Yu asked the King of France three questions like the counselors in those ancient stories.

At sea, can France defeat the British fleet?

Louis XV shook his head.

On land, could Britain defeat the French army by landing on the European continent?

Louis XV still shook his head.

Can France's colonial interests be easily abandoned?

Louis XV still shook his head.

The first two are common sense.

The second one, the interests of the colonies, have become more important in recent years.

Java is in riots and uprisings, and France's Caribbean sugar has made a lot of money in recent years.

The "American ginseng, mink fur, ice cube ballast stone" trade line proposed by Liu Yu has a cash flow of one million taels every year.

The potential of France itself has been squeezed out by Louis XIV.

The fiscal hole left by Louis XIV was plugged by the gambling finance minister with the Mississippi bubble of passing the parcel, but it was just plugged. There is nothing more to be squeezed out of the potential.

Like Dashun, the pressure, risk and difficulty of internal reform are too great. We can only jump out of the internal and look for new increments outside.

The weight of the colonies is already very high, and now with the addition of the American ginseng trade, the weight is even higher. One million taels of silver is really not a small amount. 1.8 million taels of silver can bring Austria back to life, and one million taels every year is really not a small amount.

Moreover, if you eat land in Europe, it may be easy to form a European anti-French alliance.

Louis XV still firmly believes that the interests of the colonies cannot be abandoned, which is not inconsistent with Liu Yu's idea that Dashun will eat India and continue to cooperate with France.

Because India is not as important to France as one-fifth of Haiti.

The poor country that was famous for eating mud cakes in later generations is now the pearl of France. It is worth exchanging it for the whole of Canada before the ginseng trade.

India is even worse now.

France is actually unable to attack from all sides. It is not Britain. It can shrink on the island and build a navy. There are only enemies around France, and the navy has been dismembered long ago.

So after Louis XV shook his head three times in a row, Liu Yu put forward an explanation.

"Your Majesty, the reason why France can launch a strategic counterattack and has been able to do well in Europe is because France does not have an Achilles' heel."

"Britain has an Achilles' heel, and that is Hanover."

"The French navy cannot compete with Britain for the time being, so it needs to consider the possibility of its colonies being seized by Britain. Of course, Hanover will definitely not be able to be defended after 45 years. If France can take Hanover, it will hold the British Achilles' heel and can be used as an exchange."

"As long as Britain does not give up Hanover, France can hold Britain's Achilles' heel at any time. "We should make use of the weaknesses of the United States and ensure that the United States will not lose at least. If America is lost, we will exchange it with Hanover; if the Caribbean is lost, we will exchange it with Hanover; if India is lost, we will exchange it with Hanover."

"On the premise of ensuring that we will not lose, we should continue to increase our strength and increase the management of the colonies. When we can defeat Britain in the colonies, it will be the right choice to completely swallow Hanover."

"Before we have the ability to win in the colonies and the sea, Hanover is the egg of Britain. It is in your hands."

"But if it is really crushed, it will not matter. Eunuchs are not the same and live well. ? Instead, it lost the most vulnerable weakness. Men fight and are afraid of being kicked in the crotch, but eunuchs don't have to be afraid. "

"You now have two particularly good cards in your hand. One is Hanover; the other is the Stuart family. "

"Under bad circumstances, Hanover is not mentioned. The other card seems to be consumed only to strive for a favorable condition. It can't fully play its effect. "

"If I were playing cards, and I could know about the strategic counterattack in 45 years. I suggest that the other card should be kept and not consumed. When you are ready, occupy the extreme When you have a big advantage, play that card and kill it with one move. "

"If the Celestial Empire does not attack the Netherlands, I think the situation in France will become even worse. At that time, you may consume that card and attack instead of defend, but it is not cost-effective. I hope you can keep it as much as possible."

"After talking about these two cards, I would like to ask, who do you think is your most desired potential ally if you want to completely gain an advantage over Britain and invade the British Isles?"

This question continued, one after another. After hearing the last question, Louis XV almost subconsciously replied: "The Netherlands?"