New Shun 1730
Chapter 632: Your social circle is really chaotic
"This matter is really difficult to handle. In fact, you should see some things more clearly. The Russian empress has just succeeded to the throne through a coup, and her position is not very stable. She needs a war, and a victorious war, to consolidate her position."
"Moreover, Marshal Lacy, who is now commanding the war against Sweden, was appointed by the mother of the deposed young tsar and the former regent. It is really unacceptable for those generals who are eager for military merit and promoted by the former regent to end the war at this time."
"Russia will definitely continue to fight. It is useless for you to expect me to mediate."
"Although the Celestial Empire is powerful, it cannot reach Northern Europe. Instead of expecting me to mediate, it is better to seriously consider how to surrender decently, get a more decent result, and minimize Sweden's losses as much as possible."
Liu Yu did not beat around the bush and directly pointed out that this matter could not be mediated, and he could not come forward to mediate.
The position of the person who came to power through a coup is not stable enough. At this time, recalling the army that won a great victory on the front line is purely looking for trouble. Especially when the generals on the front line were still appointed by the old faction before the coup.
Moreover, Sweden is pro-French and has deep trade cooperation with China.
The coup was hosted by the ambassadors of China and France, and this is known to the world. Because of this, the Swedish incident forced Elizabeth to stand firm and it was impossible to accept mediation.
This angle is based on the experience of Dashun or China's thousands of years of court struggle.
After considering it, the Swedish ambassador also felt that it was true. The question is how big is Russia's appetite? Or will Russia accept surrender?
In fact, the current situation is not bad.
Historically, Marquis Lachetadi had long pulled in the Swedish ambassador. Before the coup, he promised that with his relationship with Elizabeth and the backing of French mediation, as long as Sweden supported Elizabeth to come to power, Elizabeth would return all the land north of St. Petersburg.
This is indeed naive. How charming is France or Marquis Lachetadi to think that this is possible?
What the Russians have eaten, expect them to spit it out?
Fortunately, the Swedes had no chance to participate in the coup this time, and they did not receive any promises in advance, but they had more room for maneuver.
Otherwise, even if this was a rumor, Elizabeth would definitely be extremely harsh on Sweden in order to clear the rumor, to prove that she was not the kind of person who sold out Russian interests to come to power for a coup.
The Swedish ambassador thought about it and still felt that it was difficult to find a breakthrough to solve the problem. How could he surrender in a decent manner?
"What conditions do you think we should provide, Marquis? Or, where should we start?"
Liu Yu slowly stretched out two fingers.
"Russia cannot occupy Sweden. Doing so will inevitably trigger an anti-Russian alliance in the Great North."
"So, Russia is seeking only two results."
"Take away all of Finland."
"Or, replace a pro-Russian heir, at least on the surface, to solve the dilemma in the north in a similar way to a tributary state. Push the border line a distance towards Finland to protect the safety of St. Petersburg."
"You have to consider that the current crown prince is the nephew of the empress and the grandson of Peter the Great. If the empress herself does not give birth, in order to consolidate the rule of Peter's bloodline, it is very likely that her nephew will come back to be the heir of Russia."
"I think you should try your best to replace an heir that the empress can accept in exchange for Russia not taking away all of Finland."
"Even if France can help mediate, you have to come up with a plan that the empress can accept, right?"
This is indeed something that the Swedish ambassador did not think of for a while.
Yes, the empress is already 32 years old, and it is basically impossible for her to get married. Her fiancé died before the marriage. Although the empress has many lovers, it is basically unlikely that she will have another one.
The most likely "crown prince" of Russia mentioned by Liu Yu was later Peter III, but now he is the crown prince of Sweden.
These days, the royal families of European countries are basically relatives.
If you look at the inheritance rights in the genealogy, there are often all kinds of weird combinations. And the key is that as long as you trace back to the ancestors, you can find "legitimacy".
For example, Catherine II, a German, insisted that she had the blood of the Rurik family, was the natural ruler of Russia by heaven.
To be honest, this Rurik bloodline may have to be traced back from her mother's Oldenburg dynasty to the father of Alexander Nevsky, who fought against the Livonian Knights and went to Karakorum to meet Guyuk Khan. They are all the same generation as Guo Jing and Tore.
This is comparable to the destiny of the Han Dynasty, and the Huns Liu Yuan insisted that he had the blood of the Han Dynasty and founded the pseudo-Han country.
The key is that there is no imperial examination system in Europe, and the bloodline system has not been destroyed, so everyone really believes this thing.
In Sweden, many weird situations have occurred.
Sweden doesn't really need a king. The parliament is powerful enough, but everyone is not used to not having a king.
When Mantou sent Swedish prisoners of war back to Gothenburg, he collected information about Sweden.
The reason why the Swedish parliament pushed the queen to power was that the queen promised the parliament more power. In fact, she is basically a figurehead.
The queen's father announced that he would establish an absolute monarchy, with divine right of kings.
The parliament said that if the queen gave up the absolute monarchy, we would support her.
The one who was competing with the queen for the throne at that time was the son of the queen's sister, that is, the queen's nephew.
According to the principle of male inheritance priority, her nephew's son is ahead of her... Although Liu Yu didn't quite understand how this inheritance law was calculated, thinking that the former king was the queen's brother, shouldn't the inheritance order be that the sister is higher than the nephew? But according to the Swedish inheritance law, the nephew of a different surname is higher than the sister, that's it.
In order to ascend to the throne, the queen agreed to the request of the parliament and finally succeeded. The parliament was in power, and although the queen conferred a lot of nobles to fight against it, she still failed.
The son of the queen's sister could not become the king of Sweden, so he had no choice but to marry the eldest daughter of Peter the Great and Catherine I, that is, the sister of the current Queen Elizabeth, and gave birth to Peter III, the brainless fan of Frederick.
The Queen of Sweden and her husband did not give birth to a baby, and although she gave the throne to her husband, there have been rumors in Sweden that the queen's husband shot the former Swedish king to death, so the queen's husband's branch has no right of inheritance.
Therefore, Peter III is the first heir to the Swedish crown prince according to the order of succession.
Peter III's father has to call the Swedish queen his aunt. From the perspective of blood relationship, there is only one male seedling.
Now that Elizabeth has succeeded in the coup, she is now over 30 years old and is basically unlikely to get married and have children. The heir candidate is most likely Peter III.
The Swedish Parliament had enacted a law that it was impossible to reach a federal co-leadership with Russia.
So once Peter III was chosen as the heir by Elizabeth, Peter III would have automatically given up his status as the heir to the Swedish throne.
To be the King of Sweden?
Or the Tsar of Russia?
Choose one of the two, generally speaking, normal people know what to choose.
As for Elizabeth's decision to establish Peter III, it is basically a done deal - even if the queen is thinking about getting married and having another child, she must first establish Peter III as the crown prince before the child is born.
Because the little Tsar Ivan VI, who was deposed by her, is not dead, but was just arrested.
In order to show that she was "ruling the country with benevolence and justice", she couldn't even kill the child, so she could only hide and raise him.
This was very dangerous. What if someone came back with a coup?
Moreover, Britain and Austria both supported Ivan VI. As long as little Ivan was alive, her position was very dangerous.
Even if little Ivan was dead, it couldn't be said that he was dead, because Elizabeth's succession was unstable. Killing the baby in the cradle right after coming to power was really a bad image, and it was also contrary to her benevolent personality that she promised not to kill political enemies before she came to power.
So she hurried to establish a prince, which was almost the first major event after ascending the throne.
If she didn't establish a prince, the deposed little tsar would always have the right of succession, and many people were watching.
Peter III couldn't be the crown prince of Sweden. If Sweden wanted to be peaceful and decent, it had to find another person who was acceptable to Elizabeth and had close relations with Russia to be the crown prince of Sweden, so it had to continue to look for him from a bunch of distant relatives.
The Swedish ambassador also understood that Liu Yu was right to think so.
Either Russia swallowed Finland and completely got enough safe land to defend St. Petersburg.
Or Sweden turned pro-Russian and supported a crown prince who was acceptable to Queen Elizabeth and had a close relationship with Russia.
The Swedish ambassador sorted out the people with the right of succession, and according to Liu Yu's "instructions", he probably had an idea in his mind.
Since he had to appeal to people's emotions, look like a pro-Russian faction, and have some relationship with the Russian empress, there was only one way.
The Swedish ambassador did not believe that Liu Yu was unable to mediate the Swedish issue. He doubted whether Liu Yu had secretly discussed it with the empress. In fact, the empress said this acceptable plan through Liu Yu's mouth.
According to this standard, the person who can be selected is Adolf, the godfather, cousin, guardian of Peter III, and the regent of Peter III's father's hereditary territory.
This person has three identities.
First, he is Peter III's guardian, cousin, and he is responsible for Peter III's education. If Peter III became the heir to the Tsar, then this guardian would be the Crown Prince of Sweden, which should be considered to be very close to Russia.
Secondly, Princess Elizabeth had an engagement, but her fiancé died when she was about to get married. Her fiancé was Adolf's eldest brother. He died in 27 years.
Historically, Catherine II was chosen as the Crown Princess of Peter III, partly because her mother was the biological sister of Adolf and the biological sister of Queen Elizabeth's fiancé.
Queen Elizabeth never got married in her life. Although her private life was more romantic, she always missed her fiancé in her youth. When she saw her fiancé's niece, she naturally tended to be emotionally inclined. Peter III and Catherine II were cousins within three generations. Peter III's grandfather and Catherine II's grandfather were the same person, a standard Bao Dai relationship.
Of course, the most critical point is that Adolf, from the perspective of bloodline, has the right of inheritance.
Adolf's mother was the granddaughter of the sister of the Swedish Queen's grandfather. This was a long way off, but according to the inheritance law, she was indeed a relatively close heir.
The key point was that these generations were all single heirs, otherwise Peter III would not have been able to become the crown prince. If no one could be found within three generations, then look for relatives from the grandfather's generation.
These days, many people feel uncomfortable without a king above their heads.
But the problem is that the throne of the Queen's grandfather, Charles X, was given up by Queen Christina, who is the one who Descartes wrote a heart-shaped equation to express his love. Queen Christina is the daughter of the Nordic lion Gustav II and the only heir.
Charles X is the Queen's cousin and the child of the Queen's aunt, which means that the "Vasa" bloodline of the current Queen of Sweden is passed down from the female line. Charles X, the ancestor of the Queen's line, is not from the Vasa family, but his mother is from the Vasa family.
If we start from the female line, the succession order on the Danish side is basically the same as that of Adolf, and the order is basically the same.
No one can grab the position of the crown prince of Peter III. He is indeed the son of the child of the eldest sister of the Queen of Sweden, the son of the nephew, and he is closer than a distant relative.
But if Peter III does not become the crown prince of Sweden and looks for Adolf, it will be a long way.
Denmark must also have requirements: if Peter III becomes the crown prince of Sweden, we have nothing to say. But since we have found such a distant relative, we are also qualified.
This matter cannot be considered with the thinking of Dashun.
In Europe, the affairs of the aristocracy are the affairs of the aristocracy; the affairs of the country are the affairs of the country; sovereignty is sovereignty, and governance is governance.
The aristocracy only looks at bloodline and the order of succession. As for which country the king is, it only looks at bloodline. As for whether it is an enemy country or whether it is harmful to the country, it is not important.
If Peter III becomes the crown prince of Russia, he cannot become the crown prince of Sweden, not because the relationship between Sweden and Russia is bad or the two countries are mortal enemies.
But because the Swedish inheritance law clearly stipulates that Russian heirs are not allowed to serve as the crown prince of Sweden. Aristocratic succession must go through legal procedures, otherwise the Holy Roman Emperor would not have exchanged so many interests and several secret agreements in exchange for the "Basic Law of Succession to the Austrian Throne".
So if Peter III does not become the crown prince of Tsarist Russia, then even if he is the grandson of Peter the Great, who is hated by the Swedes the most, he will still be the crown prince of Sweden.
The Swedish ambassador sorted out these messy blood relations and was not worried about the invasion of Denmark, but worried about...
At that time, I am afraid that Russia will use the excuse that Denmark has objections to this to send troops to Stockholm, saying that it will ensure the smooth succession of the throne, and stay in Stockholm, which will become a substantial occupation.
It is not impossible for Russia to do this.
After expressing his concerns, Liu Yu thought that other countries would be fine. But Denmark... is one of the few countries in the Celestial Empire that has some influence. I should be able to deal with it.
In fact, there are so many European countries, and Dashun is far away, so there are really not many countries whose words can really be used.
But Denmark has the East India Company, not only that, but also the cargo volume in recent years has been more than that of the British East India Company.
Whether it is tea or porcelain, the amount is huge. Of course, it must be smugglers who are selling it.
It can be said that Denmark is also an "imperialist power" with colonies in Tamil Nadu.
Moreover, during the era of the Thirteen Hongs in the Qing Dynasty, the Huangpu Island of the Huangpu Military Academy was called the Danish Island by businessmen. This is a bit like the name of Chinatown. It is not that it is a colony, but just a designated foreign settlement area.
Because they were not allowed to live in the city, sailors from various countries were active in different places. The Danes were mainly active in Huangpu Island, so it was named this way.
Denmark was also the first on the left in the earliest Thirteen Hongs trading area in history. The first on the left is also considered the C position in the Eastern cultural circle.
After all, the C position must reflect its own value, which is earned by trade volume. For a long time, Denmark's transportation volume of porcelain and tea was greater than that of Britain, and it can even be said to be far greater.
The geographical location of the Danes makes it quite convenient for smuggling to the United States and Britain, or selling to Northern Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Europe.
Even the Qing Dynasty in history had such a large trade volume with Denmark, and the trade volume between Dashun and Denmark was similar.
It will not be too much more, but it will definitely not be less.
Such a large trade volume gave him, the Dashun envoy, the confidence to mediate.
PS: Swedish history says that before the coup, Elizabeth colluded with Sweden and promised to cede all the northern land to Sweden once she came to power.
Russian history says that there was no such thing at all, and it was a rumor made up by the Swedes. But this is probably because the Russians "respected the king". The king just sold a country, which was too normal in Europe at that time.
In addition, for a few years, the trade volume between Denmark and China was indeed very high. Not only did the smuggled tea far exceed that of Britain, but even porcelain and the like exceeded that of Britain by several times. There were even a few years when the number of porcelain boxes was the highest among European countries. Swedish East India has also been rising in recent years, and the Gothenburg happened in these years.
But just like the group of sea merchants mentioned in the previous story who took over Taiwan and lifted the sea ban, and went to Ryukyu to trade with the experience of moving the border and banning the sea, and thought that they would be able to make a fortune by selling out in an instant, they were just looking for a sword in a boat.
The Swedish East India Company blindly built ships to expand trade based on the experience of the Austrian War of Succession, but it failed miserably. The Fujian and Zhejiang merchants smashed and looted Shuri Castle, and demanded that the Ryukyu King take over the goods by force. The Swedes really didn't have the ability to seize the markets of Britain, the Netherlands, Spain and France after the war, nor did they have the ability to demand the opening and closing of trade by force.
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