New Shun 1730

Chapter 1161: Many Forks in the Road, Where Are We Now (Sixteen)

Hundreds of years of East-West trade, hundreds of millions of gold and silver flowed into India, which was the basis for Dupleix's idea of ​​collecting taxes and profits, and also the basis for the Dashun Emperor to accept the idea of ​​seizing India.

Hundreds of years of East-West trade, hundreds of millions of gold and silver flowed into India, which was the basis for Liu Yu's idea of ​​selling industrial products to expand the market, and also the basis for stimulating the rapid development of Dashun's industrial capital.

Both are about making money, but the ideas on both sides are completely different.

Even, to a certain extent, they are completely contradictory.

One is industrial thinking.

The other is business thinking.

Take the money directly.

And produce the goods first, go there to exchange money, and then ship it back.

It seems that the latter is taking off pants to fart.

But this action of taking off pants is very meaningful, which is related to how many people Dashun can allow to participate in industrialization.

Otherwise, if you don't take off your pants and get it done in one step, there is no difference from those salt merchants before Dashun's salt reform, and it will not help Dashun's future.

The most difficult part here is to destroy India's traditional small peasant economy, which cannot be destroyed simply by collecting taxes.

There is actually a way to pull India into the economic system of Dashun.

And this method itself is closely related to Dashun's conquest and invasion of India.

In other words, it is closely related to the fact that Dashun has been coveting India and has great advantages, but has not taken action until now.

Dashun longs for India.

But it has been waiting for the next war in Europe that Liu Yu mentioned with its strong strategic determination.

The emperor is just a trust similar to path dependence.

In fact, why we have to wait is due to how to pull India into the economic system of Dashun.

Liu Yu's reform in Songsu tried another form of capitalist buds.

That is, under the premise of maintaining the fragile framework of "men farming and women weaving", the capitalist buds of the package purchase system were adopted by the way of small technologically advanced machines such as iron wheel looms going to the countryside.

It should be said that the effect is good.

That is, the effect of capitalist buds was achieved, and tens of thousands of people were pulled into the capitalist economic system.

And to the minimum extent, the crisis of transformation was alleviated.

In name, it is still a small peasant economy.

Actually, it is not.

First, the main business has become a sideline, and the sideline has become the main business.

Second, every family involved in weaving is closely related to world trade and the capitalist market of the entire world.

Third, self-sufficiency has essentially been disintegrated.

Weavers need to spend money to buy cloth.

This is a world of difference from weavers wearing the cloth themselves and selling the rest.

This method seems to be breaking the crisis, but in fact it is purely because they think that the thunder will explode in advance and the sound is too small, and they are heading for a great revolution that will destroy the world and turn the world upside down.

Because once the capitalist economic crisis breaks out, everyone who seems to be still in the small peasant economy will be pulled in.

If this is not done, if Songsu breaks out a capitalist economic crisis, the impact will actually be very small.

However, if this is done, a large number of people will be tied to it, making it impossible for anyone to be immune at that time, because it is closely related to everyone's interests.

Therefore, this is not a solution to the crisis of Dashun.

It just postpones the crisis and makes it more intense.

This idea can actually be used in India.

And to use it in India, Dashun must wait until Europe starts to do something before it can stop, in order to control the European market.

Let's take the cotton textile industry as an example.

India grows cotton.

India spins yarn.

Indian yarn is imported to Songjiang.

Songsu weaves cloth, and even spreads the scope of weaving along the Yangtze River and the canal network.

Cotton cloth is sold.

Especially after the end of World War I, Europe will be very profitable because of the price revolution.

Silver flows back to Songjiang and is then distributed to Dashun weavers, Indian spinners, or cotton planting investments.

That is, through the forced division of labor based on regions, the economic ties between Dashun and India are forcibly strengthened.

Using the European market to catalyze India's transformation to professional spinning.

This is a variant of the forced division of labor in the "Guan Zi" light and heavy art.

It can also be regarded as a variant of the so-called high-end and low-end division of labor and industrial transfer in the free economy of later generations.

The benefit of this is that it can allow a large number of Indian people to give up the self-sufficiency of men farming and women weaving.

Instead, it changed from the original men farming and women weaving to men farming and women spinning. Dashun acquired yarn and gave them the motivation and financial resources to buy cotton cloth products.

The more cotton cloth sold in Europe.

There are more Indians who grow cotton and spin yarn.

More Indians grow cotton and spin yarn, and more cotton cloth can be sold in India.

And this is the prerequisite for India's awakening and crisis transmission.

Spinning... in terms of efficiency, it is the easiest to be replaced by mechanical spinning mills.

It is true that Liu Yu said that the mule spinning machine is difficult to make.

But once it is made, the efficiency will instantly cause the manual spinning industry to collapse, which is also a fact.

Looms are relatively easy to make.

But in terms of efficiency, history has proved that mechanical weaving wants to replace Dashun's handmade cloth, especially the handmade cloth after the popularization of iron wheel looms, to achieve the level of the middle of the Second Industrial Revolution.

Therefore, this method should be the one that causes the least harm to Dashun's transformation, and it is also the one that has the greatest impact if a crisis breaks out after Dashun's industrialization.

That is, the large amount of cotton yarn from India will first kill those who spin by hand in Dashun, who are not many in number.

Moreover, a large number of housewives can easily transform from spinning and weaving by themselves to buying cotton yarn and weaving by themselves.

Of course, this requires continuous capital investment to continue to expand the scope of iron wheel looms going to the countryside, and to be fully rolled out along the canal network, the Yangtze River, etc.

Wait until all the people who spin by themselves in Dashun die, or transform into professional weaving.

The next step of industrialization in Dashun is the way that has the least impact on Dashun.

That is, mechanization of spinning.

That is, transporting cotton from India and processing it into cotton yarn in factories in Songsu area.

Does this have any impact on Dashun families?

In fact, it has no impact.

Because before this, relying on Indian cotton cloth, Dashun's spinning activities have been eliminated.

The rest are all weaving.

The replacement of Indian handmade yarn with Songsu mechanical yarn has zero impact on the thousands of weavers in Dashun.

Of course, it only seems that the impact is zero, but the fatal impact needs to be let go for a while.

Dashun's rapidly developing cotton cloth industry will directly destroy Europe's cotton textile industry after the victory of World War I.

Europe will inevitably move towards comprehensive conservatism, and countries will also breed strong self-reliance sentiments, and Colbertism will sweep Europe.

Unify the internal market, increase tariffs, develop independent industries, and fight against dumping.

Europe, where comprehensive conservatism and comprehensive Colbertism prevail, will inevitably have to fight a war.

All this is transmitted back to Dashun, which means market shrinkage.

At the same time, Dashun's comprehensive spinning mechanization will not bring a direct impact to Dashun, but it will inevitably bring a collapse impact to India.

For a deformed economy with cotton yarn production as the main industry, what kind of impact will Dashun's second step of textile industrialization bring is self-evident.

Even the turmoil in Surat that occurred because of Dashun's voyage to Southeast Asia was a preview of this situation.

Once it breaks out, it will be India's economic collapse, national uprising, turmoil, revolution, famine, and war.

It's very simple. A family originally made a living by spinning.

Life was OK. Dashun's cotton cloth sold very well, so they could also get a share of the profits.

But when Dashun's spinning industry developed like mushrooms after a spring rain - this was inevitable, because the spinning efficiency of the mule spinning machine was dozens of times that of hand-spinning, and hand-made yarn would never be as tenacious as hand-made cloth, and hand-made cloth provided an extremely large market for mechanical yarn, and capital would inevitably invest - these Indian families who could originally maintain their lives would find that they could not survive.

As long as they were unwilling to be starving.

As long as they had a certain spirit of resistance.

Then this crisis would lead to chaos in India, that is, the rapid shrinkage of Dashun's industrial product market, and Dashun Songsu area would immediately experience extreme relative overproduction.

At this time, the thunder that Liu Yu buried for Dashun would take effect - that is, those families who used iron wheel looms, pretended that they were still men farming and women weaving, but were actually completely pulled into the capitalist market - they would immediately feel the difficulties brought by the economic crisis.

Small farmers don't want to get involved in factory affairs?

Sorry, you have no choice. You think you are a small farmer, but in fact, you are not a small farmer the moment you take over the iron wheel loom.

The crisis will spread directly to the vast rural areas.

Not just the Songsu Industrial Zone with many factories.

After the crisis breaks out, how to solve it is the business of future generations.

Three ways, God knows.

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