Mediterranean Hegemony Road
Chapter 51, Position
In Paris, the French cabinet is engaged in a heated quarrel. Time flies, and the Moroccan crisis has escalated. The governments of Germany and France are not giving in to each other, and it has gradually evolved into a confrontation between the two major alliances.
Well, the French government has not been stable since the Great Revolution. It has been the sixth government since 19o6. According to this rule, the Joseph-Cayo government is about to fall, even though he was elected at the end of June this year!
Although Joseph-Cayo was born in the Radical Socialist Party, it does not mean that his political views are also very radical. On the contrary, he is very conservative in this regard. He believes that if the war between France and Germany breaks out now, it will be disastrous for France!
In order to resolve the Moroccan crisis, Joseph-Cayo advocated secret negotiations with the Germans and made concessions in other areas in exchange for the Germans' understanding.
Obviously, when there is almost no consensus in the French government, there is support and there is opposition, and quarrels have always been the theme of this country.
...
Well, while the French government was still quarreling, the Germans had already acted, and Wilhelm II decided to force the French into submission by the threat of force.
On October 26, 1911, the German government issued a war warning to the French, and the two major alliances took action.
On October 27, the French government also announced a tit-for-tat expansion of its troops by 500,000 to deal with the German military threat.
Affected by this, Ferdinand also announced an expansion of the army by 300,000. This figure is the same as that announced by the Austro-Hungarian Empire, which is regarded as supporting the French actions with practical actions.
However, it was unexpected that the Russians were cowardly in this incident. The Tsarist government advocated that the German and French governments should resolve the dispute through negotiation.
This made the French very injured, and the most important ally at the critical moment did not plan to play!
Fortunately, the British's statement rescued the French,
The London government has clearly stood on the side of the French this time, and is willing to go to war with the Germans.
Ferdinand knew that this war would not start, and neither side was ready for war, and it was time to wrestle.
The Russians' diplomatic stance has left the French at a loss. Without this European road roller, the French would not think that they would be able to compete with the Germans one-on-one!
In the eyes of the French, the British navy is very powerful, but it is a pity that the warships cannot go ashore; another ally, Bulgaria, can hold the Austro-Hungarian Empire in a horizontal position. Once the war broke out they could face both Italian and German attacks on both fronts.
The French have no bottom, so why not the Germans? The sudden intervention of the British surprised William II very much, and Germany was never ready to go to war with the British.
At least now the German government cannot afford to go to war with the British! In the face of the French, they can speak with the 6th Army, but they really can't do anything about John Bull.
Once the war breaks out, Germany will lose all its overseas colonies, and even the transportation of goods by sea will be cut off. The Germans who are not prepared now have only a few months of war potential.
During this period, once there is a change and the French are not defeated in the first time, then the Germans will be in big trouble!
Neither side wanted to fight anymore, and Ferdinand heaved a sigh of relief. Obviously, the sooner this war breaks out, the shorter it will last!
Judging from the comparison of the strengths of the two sides, as time goes by, the economic strength between the two alliances is getting closer. The main reason is that Germany's economy is still growing at a high rate, while Britain, France, and Russia are almost standing still. Bulgaria alone cannot pull back the strength changes of both sides!
What worries Ferdinand the most is the attitude of the Russians. Because of his butterfly effect, the contradictions between the Russians and the Allies are now much smaller than in history.
Simply put, the Russians have no motivation to fight! The contradiction between Russia and Austria has been weakened, and the contradiction between Russia and Turkey is not enough to make the Russians go to war desperately!
...
Your Majesty, don't worry, the Russians will never withdraw from the Entente! Metev said confidently
Why? For the Russians, the current conflict between them and the Allies is not enough to make them take risks! If the Allies are willing to pay a certain price, it would be okay for them to be neutral? Ferdinand asked in confusion.
Your Majesty, the Germans are too powerful! Metev replied without hesitation.
This reason is very powerful, and Ferdinand reacted immediately. This is because the two sides are in different positions and have different perspectives on things!
For Bulgaria, if the Germans are willing to give up Montenegro, Romania and the Ottoman Empire, then the two sides can really compromise.
Anyway, as long as Romania and the peninsula of Asia Minor can be annexed, it is enough to satisfy Ferdinand's appetite. It doesn't matter who rules the European Big 6!
But for the Russians, it's different. On this point, they agree with the British. They can't let the European students be unified!
Unless they unify themselves!
It is true that the two sides do not have enough conflict of interests, but Germany and Russia are already mortal enemies strategically. As long as Britain and France promise heavy benefits, they are not afraid that the Russians will not take the bait.
Ferdinand thought for a while and said, You're right. I think Britain and France will re-quote the Russians again. In principle, as long as the Balkans and Asia Minor are not involved, we can support all the Russians' demands!
Foreign Minister Metev was stunned for a moment, and then persuaded: Your Majesty, the strength of the Russians is already very strong. If we let them continue to grow, it will be very unfavorable for our future development!
After a moment of silence, Ferdinand opened a map of Europe and Asia, and then said indifferently: Not bad! But think about it, what will the Russians ask for this time?
Poland, Central Asia, the Far East are all possible, even these! Without hesitation, Metev blurted out
Ferdinand nodded and said: Yes, we can all think of these, and even the appetite of the Russians will be larger, such as the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, or East Prussia, these may be the targets of the Russians!
There is a possibility that the Russians will attack Romania. Of course, this possibility is very small, but it is still necessary for us to communicate with the St. Petersburg government in advance and divide our interests first, so as to avoid conflicts between the two sides in the distribution of interests. !
Your Majesty, can Britain and France agree to these conditions? You must know that once the Russian sphere of influence has entered the Central European region, it will be difficult for the Russians to check and balance after the war? Metev said incredulously.
Ferdinand smiled slightly and said, I don't know if the British will agree, but the French will certainly agree!
Now the French have no choice. Without the support of the Russians, they cannot be the opponents of the Germans anyway!
And this situation is very beneficial to us, the greater the appetite of the Russians, the more Britain and France need us!
Compared with the behemoths of the Russians, our unification of the Balkans and the annexation of Asia Minor is nothing! Maybe they would think that a strong Bulgaria would be good for the Russians?
Ferdinand has already opened his mind. If Britain and France want to recognize the expansion of Bulgaria, they must have an ambitious Russian empire and make them feel a real threat!
The current tsarist government is undoubtedly qualified. It is impossible to tie the Russians to the chariot without sufficient interests! Now Ferdinand's purpose is very clear, that is, to encourage the two sides to negotiate, and to finalize the distribution of interests after the war in advance!
In front of the Russians' big appetite, Bulgaria's appetite is nothing, and even in order to restrain the Russians, Britain and France have to help Bulgaria to become stronger!
Oh, the UK and France have already done this, otherwise the Bulgarian exhibition would not have been so smooth!
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