Material Empire

The chief's question is too big. I didn't prepare for it, and I was worried that I wouldn't be able to answer it. Qin Hai replied in embarrassment.

With Qin Hai's knowledge level, coupled with his experience in the material industry over the years, he is actually qualified to express some opinions on the country's material industry strategy. But who should tell this kind of thing, if it is a report in the School of Materials, Qin Hai will not hesitate at all, and he is also confident to convince the experts; but in front of the chief, he dare not speak casually However, if you make a mistake, it is shameful. If there are some things that are not thoughtful and mislead the chief's decision-making, his crime will be serious.

The chief saw Qin Hai's thoughts, he waved his hand lightly, and said, It's okay, if you tell me, you can tell, it doesn't matter if you make a mistake.

Qin Haidao: The main reason is that I didn't know in advance that the chief wanted me to report this issue, otherwise I would have made some preparations.

The chief smiled and said: I deliberately didn't let you be notified in advance. If you are asked to prepare in advance, I am afraid that people from all walks of life will ask you to spread the word, and I am afraid that it will be rare for me to hear the truth. Don't have any psychological burden. , we just chat casually, I heard that Mr. Ji said, when you chat with him, don't you feel relaxed?

Then...then I will venture to say something shallow. Qin Hai said. He originally wanted to say that chatting with Mr. Ji was different from being in front of the chief, but after thinking about it carefully, he couldn't seem to find any difference. Although Mr. Ji is the retired leader, he can influence decision-making after all. If he dares to speak freely in front of Mr. Ji, why should he hide it from the chief?

Thinking of this, Qin Hai prepared for a few minutes, then sat up straight and said, Since the chief is going to test me, then I will tell you my opinion. If I am wrong, I will ask the chief to criticize.

Well, tell me. The chief nodded, spread out a note paper in front of him, and took out a pencil, ready to write down some ideas at any time. The chief's secretary brought Qin Hai a cup of tea, and then sat beside him, spreading out his notebook. The detailed recording work was to be done by him.

My report is going to be divided into three parts. Qin Hai calmed down and said in a calm tone: First, the status of the material industry; second, the characteristics of the development of the material industry; third, my country's development of the material industry policy orientation. Can you read these contents?

Very good. The Chief replied with a smile, Just say what you think, there is no right or wrong here.

First of all, I would like to briefly introduce the status of the material industry in the national economy...

Qin Hai began to talk eloquently. At the beginning, he was somewhat nervous, but as he talked, he got into the mood and completely forgot about the status of the audience in front of him. He was not originally a member of the system, and he had always looked down on the hierarchical order in the officialdom. Even in front of the chief, he did not feel that kind of trepidation. Influenced person, and he hopes to use his ideas to influence the decision maker.

In the next 20 years, China will usher in a period of material demand blowout. We will build more than 100,000 kilometers of expressways, tens of thousands of kilometers of high-speed railways, and more than billions of square meters of residential and commercial buildings. Construction requires hundreds of millions of tons of steel, cement, and an equally large amount of glass, building ceramics, aluminum alloys, and polymer materials. The demand for these materials can only be met by expanding domestic production capacity. If it is provided, it will be controlled by others, which is very passive. Qin Hai said.

In the past two or three years, the domestic production capacity of steel and cement has increased rapidly. I have read the report provided by the Planning Commission. The national steel production capacity has reached 150 million tons. Do you think this is considered excess production capacity? the chief interjected. .

Qin Hai shook his head resolutely, and said: There is still a long way to go. According to the calculation of our group, if there are no special circumstances in the country's economic development, according to the current development speed, by 2005, the domestic steel demand will reach More than 400 million tons, the existing 150 million tons of production capacity, there is still a gap of more than 250 million tons to meet this demand.

Why, do you also think that there is a domestic demand of 400 million tons of steel in 2005? the chief looked at Qin Hai and asked.

The iron and steel industry is an important pillar industry of the national economy, and the chief minister is naturally very concerned about this industry. The Ministry of Machinery, the Planning Commission, and the Academy of Social Sciences have all done analysis and forecasts on steel supply and demand. Qin Hai's statement that the steel demand in 2005 will reach more than 400 million tons has also been seen by the head of the government. However, most institutions dismiss the figure of 400 million tons, and their boldest predictions are limited to less than 200 million tons. According to this figure, the current domestic steel industry is developing too fast.

Hearing that Qin Hai actually supported the statement of 400 million tons, the chief was a little surprised. Although he had only had direct contact with Qin Hai once before, he usually heard a lot about Qin Hai, and he also knew that Qin Hai was not a person who just talked about it. If Qin Hai believes that there will be an annual demand of 400 million tons of steel products in the future, it means that many relevant national policies on the development of the steel industry need to be reassessed.

In the mid-1990s, China was on the eve of economic take-off. State-owned enterprises were undergoing unprecedented major adjustments. Private capital had just shaken off the barriers of the old system and was boldly pouring into various fields. The reform of the housing system has just started. Unless it is the most imaginative person, no one can foresee the frenzy of real estate development that will appear in a few years. When people stand in 2015 and look back, they will be shocked by the earth-shaking changes that have taken place in the past 20 years. At this time point in 1996, even a wise elder like the chief executive did not dare to have too high an estimate of the speed of China's economic development.

Just as the chief asked Qin Hai before, most people are worried about the development of the domestic steel industry in recent years. They worry that steel production capacity will grow too high and that there will be an oversupply in the future. Serious overcapacity will lead to a sharp drop in steel prices, affecting the development of the entire national economy. However, Qin Hai's point of view is contrary to everyone's. He believes that China's current development of the steel industry is too slow and lacks sufficient foresight, which will hinder the entire economy.

Our group has done detailed demonstrations and judged that by 2005, the demand for steel products in the domestic market will reach more than 400 million tons. I can ask the research department of the group to sort out the relevant research models and calculation processes and submit them to the head. Currently, There are misunderstandings in the country's understanding of this issue, and there will be a relatively passive situation in the future. Qin Hai said.

After experiencing the initial surprise, the chief's expression has become peaceful. He didn't comment on Qin Hai's assertion, but asked calmly: So, in your opinion, what should the country do in terms of steel production?

Qin Hai has thought about this question well, and he said fluently: First, according to the future steel demand, we need to consider the source of iron ore. China lacks high-grade iron ore. Once steel production increases sharply, iron ore Ore is bound to rely on imports. In order to avoid being passive in imports, the country should take the initiative to acquire or invest in some large-scale iron mines in Australia, Brazil, Bolivia and other countries, so as to ensure that the supply of iron ore can be controlled in its own hands.”

Iron ore. The chief wrote a word on the note paper in front of him, then nodded and said, What about the second one?

Qin Hai went on to say: The second is the development of steel equipment, the formulation of steel technical specifications and personnel training. In the future, our steel must not only ensure the quantity, but also ensure the quality, and also be environmentally friendly and efficient. This requires us to Master advanced steel production technology and improve the competitiveness of the steel industry.”

The second is technology. The chief wrote another word. Whether Qin Hai's conclusion on steel demand is correct still needs to be further demonstrated, but the problems Qin Hai raised about the development of the steel industry will have to be faced sooner or later, so the chief listened very seriously.

The third point is to limit and eliminate backward production capacity and reduce pollution. Qin Hai said.

Pollution? The chief's pen landed on the paper, but he didn't write down the word. In his view, the issues of raw material supply and iron and steel smelting technology are all strategic issues that deserve his attention. The issue of pollution is only a matter of tactics. It is enough to be managed by environmental protection departments in various places. How can it be the turn of a leader of his level to personally intervene?

Yes, it is pollution. Qin Hai said seriously, Chief, don't underestimate the problem of pollution. At present, the industrial pollution in our country is showing a trend of increasing, but generally speaking it is not serious. But with the industrial pollution With the further expansion of the scale, especially the large-scale expansion of heavily polluting industries such as steel and cement, the pollution problem will soon become a big problem affecting the overall situation.

At present, among the 150 million tons of steel production capacity in our country, more than 50 million tons come from small and medium-sized enterprises with relatively backward technology. If the production capacity is to be expanded to 400 million tons in the future, it is very likely that more than 200 million tons will come from such enterprises. Iron and steel companies with outdated equipment are major air polluters, and the pollution caused by 200 million tons of outdated production capacity will be unbearable for China and the entire world.

Industrial development will definitely bring pollution. It is a bit difficult to require industrial development without polluting the environment, right? the chief said half inquiring and half refuting.

Qin Haidao: Chief, I specially invite you to Jintang this time. The purpose is not only to invite you to participate in the large-scale ethylene feeding ceremony, but also to invite you to inspect Jintang City's pollution control in the chemical industry. Achievements, if possible, can give us affirmation. The practice of Jintang shows that economic development and the maintenance of green mountains and green waters can be fully balanced.”