Rebirth in 1985
Chapter 690 Ending
Chapter 690: Epilogue (Part 1)
Throughout the entire Asian financial crisis, and even all the financial crises he had participated in, Lu Shaohua provided data to Li Yunqing and others in advance so that they could grasp the right degree, which led to successful operations every time.
Gradually, Li Yunqing and the others had become accustomed to such rules, but now when they suddenly heard Lu Shaohua say that there was no data, how could Li Yunqing and the others not be disappointed? They always felt empty in their hearts, as if something important was missing.
Fortunately, Lu Shaohua finally said that he could provide some data for reference, which made Li Yunqing and the others feel relieved. Yes, Lu Shaohua finally decided to provide them with some data, and the data he provided were those in his memory of his previous life. In the end, he also explained that he only let Li Yunqing and the others refer to it, and the rest were free to play.
根据前世的记忆,俄罗斯中央银行在8月17日宣布年内将卢布兑换美元汇率的浮动幅度扩大到6.0~9.5∶1,并推迟偿还外债及暂停国债券交易。
As soon as the news was announced, Soros and his group launched a frenzy of attacks, and the ruble fell rapidly. By September 9, the ruble had depreciated by 2% compared to its previous value, setting a new record and creating the lowest point in the history of the ruble exchange rate.
The data that Lu Shaohua gave to Li Yunqing and others was this total range, a 70% decline, and asked Li Yunqing and others to grasp this degree. As for whether the range would fall below this, Lu Shaohua did not care and let Li Yunqing and others play freely.
However, to be on the safe side, Lu Shaohua solemnly gave Li Yunqing a death order, asking Li Yunqing and his team to seize the time and completely withdraw from the Russian financial market by September 1998, 9 at the latest.
An approximate figure was given for the amplitude. Lu Shaohua didn't know whether there were any changes in the meantime. However, since the trajectory of history had changed, judging from what had happened over the years, the deviation should not be too big. At least in terms of time, it had not changed, so Lu Shaohua felt at ease.
Yes, there is no change in time, which can be confirmed by the news coming from Russia. On the next day, August 8, the Russian Central Bank announced that the floating range of the ruble-dollar exchange rate would be expanded within the year, which is consistent with the previous life, at 17 to 6.0:9.5.
As soon as the news came out, Lu Shaohua received a notification from Li Yunqing immediately. He was now more determined to seize the time and regardless of the decision made by the data on the decline during this period, he asked Li Yunqing and others to keep a close eye on the situation over there.
There is more than half a month between August 8 and September 17. This period of time is also the operating time given by Lu Shaohua to Li Yunqing and others. Once the time limit is reached, Li Yunqing and others will completely evacuate Russia.
Half a month passed so quickly. In the blink of an eye, half a month had passed. When September 9st arrived, Li Yunqing called Lu Shaohua. During the call, Li Yunqing specifically mentioned that after the three of them discussed it together, they felt that Russia had reached its limit and it was time to take action.
There was only one day difference between September 9st and 1nd. Lu Shaohua would not care about one day and simply asked Li Yunqing to do as they had agreed and evacuate from Russia one day in advance.
By the morning of September 9, Li Yunqing and his team had completely evacuated from Russia. They once again came to Lu Shaohua's residence with the summary documents and asked Lu Shaohua to inspect the results.
The data from Russia is different from the previous ones. If it were the previous data, Lu Shaohua would only need to take a glance at the results. But this time it was different. Li Yunqing and others were allowed to play freely. In addition, facts proved that Lu Shaohua's original guess was normal. Soros used Russia as a punching bag.
Being listed as a punching bag, even a three-year-old child knows the power of Soros and his team's attack. The decline of Russia will definitely exceed 70%. Therefore, this decline is worth Lu Shaohua's careful look.
Coincidentally, every time Li Yunqing and his colleagues made a summary, they would always list the amplitude. This time was no exception. Li Yunqing also listed the amplitude, which was on the third page of the entire document.
Lu Shaohua flipped through it and quickly found it. After taking a closer look, he saw that it clearly indicated the total decline of 78.35%, which was eight percentage points more than the expected 70%.
Don't underestimate these eight percentage points. These eight percentage points are enough to increase Lu Shaohua's income by tens of billions of dollars. Lu Shaohua will naturally not underestimate it.
After seeing the total decline, Lu Shaohua felt very satisfied, so he turned to the last page to see the final total result.
At the moment the results were announced, everyone was secretly looking forward to it, and Lu Shaohua was the same. He was also looking forward to what the result would be. Even before he turned to the last page, Lu Shaohua had already secretly guessed it in his heart.
"Forty-five billion US dollars? No, that should be less. Fifty-eight billion US dollars, hmm, seems a bit too much. Hmm, fifty-eight and a half billion US dollars, right?"
Lu Shaohua finally set a number in his mind, which was exactly 58.5 billion US dollars. However, whether the result was 58.5 billion US dollars or not, everything still needed to be confirmed by the results.
I have to say that Lu Shaohua's guess was somewhat reliable. Although the guess was high, the difference was not too much. The result was 57.8 billion US dollars, which was 700 million US dollars less than the amount Lu Shaohua guessed.
Seven hundred million dollars is a lot, but in front of such a big number, seven hundred million dollars is not enough at all, it seems a little pale and powerless, just a drizzle.
"Five hundred and seventy-eight billion dollars?" Lu Shaohua frowned and asked in confusion.
In fact, Lu Shaohua would ask this question every time, but in the past he was alone looking at the results and asking himself in his heart. But it was different now, as Li Yunqing and the other three were all here, so Lu Shaohua asked the question out of natural reaction.
The person who answered Lu Shaohua's question was none other than Li Yunqing, the commander-in-chief. He nodded slightly, smiling, and said, "Yes, there is a decimal point after this number, which I did not include."
This was Li Yunqing's habit. Every time he compiled statistics, he would actively ignore the last few digits, because Li Yunqing knew that Lu Shaohua did not like to look at the last digits and liked to omit them by rounding them off.
"Yeah." Lu Shaohua nodded in satisfaction, and nothing more happened. After a long while, he decided not to think about it anymore, and changed the subject, asking, "What's the situation in the eighteen countries?"
Now that the situation in Russia has ended, the last wave of the financial crisis will only involve the eighteen countries listed by Lu Shaohua. Once these eighteen countries are fully closed, it means that the financial crisis is over. But now it is obviously not over yet, there is still some time, and Lu Shaohua asked about the situation just to show some concern.
"Everything is normal, everything is falling, and the amplitude is the largest." Li Yunqing gave a very affirmative answer.
"Hmm." Lu Shaohua hummed again and said nothing more. He was thinking.
When Lu Shaohua made the list of eighteen countries, a lot of brain cells died and it took a lot of effort to come up with it. Those are the essence of the essence, and they are all the eighteen countries with the worst declines.
It is normal for this situation to occur now, and Lu Shaohua is naturally quite satisfied. However, what Lu Shaohua needs to consider now is when to take action. After all, it is already September 1998, and 9 is about to end.
As far as Lu Shaohua knows, with the end of Russia, after a period of turmoil in Europe and the United States, the financial storm that lasted for more than a year should also end.
"According to your estimation, when will this storm end?" Lu Shaohua suddenly asked another question.
This is the core issue, and it is also what Lu Shaohua is thinking about.
Why did Lu Shaohua think about this issue?
The reason is very simple. Lu Shaohua's hype about those 18 countries was based on the overall market index. Since it was an overall market index, the decline would generally not last too long. In addition, the situation in Russia had gradually stabilized, and the situation should have changed. Therefore, Lu Shaohua had reason to believe that the end was not far away.
"I think it's about time." Li Yunqing was the first to speak, and after a pause, he continued, "We came here today just for this matter."
In fact, Li Yunqing also realized that the situation was unstable, so he took the opportunity to gather together while delivering the summary data to see what Lu Shaohua thought.
Lu Shaohua heard the hidden meaning of Li Yunqing's words, nodded, and asked, "What do you mean?"
Now there are only two choices, one is to clear the warehouse, the other is to wait and see. According to what Li Yunqing meant, he should choose to clear the warehouse and take the safe route, but Lu Shaohua is always a little unwilling in his heart, thinking that there is still room for decline. Of course, Lu Shaohua is not so determined, he still wants to listen to Li Yunqing's opinions before making the final decision.
"Some time ago, you listed the reference data of those 18 countries for us. We studied it carefully and compared it with the current situation. We found that four countries have reached the critical point of the data you gave, but the market situation is very abnormal, as if there is a lot of room for decline." Li Yunqing was a little embarrassed when he said this, but he finally gritted his teeth and said, "It is precisely because of the abnormality that we feel it is very unsafe and it is necessary to clear out the warehouse and withdraw."
"Yeah." Lu Shaohua nodded, but he didn't rush to continue. He was still lost in thought, and after a long time he continued to ask. "You mean to clear the warehouse, I agree with this, but what I want to know is, do you want to clear the warehouse all or the four countries you just mentioned?"
Lu Shaohua participated in the entry of 18 countries this time, and the situations of the 18 countries could not be the same. But from Li Yunqing's words, Lu Shaohua heard some different meanings, as if he wanted to clear out the positions in those four countries, and it was a bit like clearing out all the positions, so Lu Shaohua had to ask for clarification.
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