The military-industrial scientific research system of the academic master.
Chapter 687 The Euro collapsed
Nowadays, Chang Haonan's statement, even if it is just verbal, is quite convincing to the Science and Technology Commission.
Therefore, after he said "wait half a month and see again", the other people basically accepted this statement naturally.
However, in any case, Chang Haonan and Ding Gaoheng initially made the decision to "secretly help behind the scenes". Their original intention was to take advantage of the opportunity to kill the American spirit. It would be best if they could achieve some more iconic results and let the whole world know. The world steps out a little from each other's shadow.
And this F117, no matter how it was damaged in battle, it must be of great use for this purpose.
Therefore, although the actual situation may be somewhat different from the original idea, the interest of several people in the conference room quickly returned to its original state.
Perhaps for this reason, today's briefing did not end hastily, but entered the next stage.
"Dear leaders, since the beginning of Operation Allied Force, there is some information other than military intelligence that deserves more attention."
While speaking, the new secretary who replaced Lan Xinzhi put a new piece of document paper on the projector, and a chart was instantly displayed on the big screen.
"The exchange rate of the euro against the U.S. dollar has fallen from 1:1.1800 to 1:1.0640 in the past three days, a drop of as much as 9.83%, and the decline has not yet stopped."
"The Foreign Exchange Administration of the People's Bank of China estimates that if the EU cannot inject confidence into the market through some strong means, the euro may further fall below 1:1 against the US dollar in half a month."
Looking at the shocking decline rate of the curve on the table, even if everyone in the conference room is not well versed in finance, they can realize that the EU is likely to suffer a serious blow.
As one of Europe's major trading partners, China will obviously also be indirectly affected.
"It seems that Europeans will inevitably lose a piece of meat in this round of events..."
Ding Gaoheng sighed:
"Furthermore, since last year, the contracts we signed with several European countries have stated that transactions can be conducted through the euro. But now that the exchange rate of the euro is fluctuating like this, it is not good news for us to build euro foreign exchange reserves. …”
If we only look at it from the perspective of a single buyer and seller, then the depreciation of the euro will be beneficial to China's imports and detrimental to China's exports.
However, trade between countries, or even just trade between companies affiliated to the Science and Technology Commission and Europe, is extremely complex and cannot be summed up in a simple sentence or two.
But in general, for a new currency like the euro, and a new currency with symbolic significance for European integration, it is best for the exchange rate to remain relatively stable.
Even a 10% increase in three days may not be a good thing, let alone a decrease now...
"We at Torch Group also encountered this problem..."
Chang Haonan said in a helpless tone:
"Recently, it is the peak period of the release of the official version of TORCH Multiphysics. Many of the orders signed before were paid in euros. There are also two Sugon 2000T and numerical calculation business sold, which may be in the thousands. The loan amount of 10 euros has now dropped by %, and it will obviously continue to fall, which is also a big blow to our business..."
Regarding the ability of the Torch Group to attract money, the other people did not show any surprise.
After all, it is a monopoly business to a certain extent.
"But from our standpoint, we should still let the euro hold on, even if our interests suffer some damage in the short term."
Huai Guomo, who has been responsible for foreign project cooperation for a long time, knows relatively well about these things:
"The current U.S. dollar is too strong in the international market. Although the Japanese yen also occupies a certain share of settlement, it cannot be regarded as a completely independent currency. The ruble has almost become waste paper, and the RMB has no voice at all."
"So if we want to break the dollar's monopoly, we can only support the euro to fight against them for the time being."
"Then we have to bite the bullet and continue using it?"
Lu Xiujun, director of the International Cooperation Department, frowned and felt a little headache.
In fact, at present, China's trade with Europe is generally in a relatively balanced state, but when it comes to the business of the Commission of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense, exports are still far greater than imports. Nowadays, the plummeting euro will naturally cause huge losses.
Ding Gaoheng waved his hand to signal the other party to calm down:
"The specific policy for the euro has not been decided yet. I will be notified that the second emergency response meeting will be held the day after tomorrow."
"I was not senior enough to go to the first meeting on the 25th, but presumably the main discussion at that time was security issues. After all, no one thought that the euro would collapse so quickly..."
When Lu Xiujun saw this, he could only smile bitterly and could not say anything else.
"In fact, it should be expected that the euro will be negatively affected..."
There was a hint of hatred in Huai Guomo's tone:
"Although the Euro is not used in the Balkans, it is called the European powder keg after all. Once chaos breaks out, it will inevitably affect the entire Europe. And the Euro happens to be a currency that was born under the issue of European integration. It has just been issued, and even in EU countries still have dual-track circulation of their own currencies and the euro, which is the most vulnerable time..."
"I'm afraid this is something that the superiors can't figure out."
Ding Gaoheng interrupted Huai Guomo:
"Logically speaking, there is no reason why those scheming old foxes in Europe can't think of problems that uneconomical people like you and me can think of."
"Since the Allied Forces Operation was initiated with their support, then according to our normal thinking, we must have had a response plan in advance... Who would have thought that we were really unprepared... Isn't this what we deserve..."
"Actually, this is not surprising..."
Listening to Ding Gaoheng's complaints, Chang Haonan suddenly remembered a joke, so he suppressed a smile and continued:
"If you pick out a single European country, they may all be old foxes for hundreds of years, but if you combine them into the European Union, they may not be able to perform at their respective levels."
"Just like I heard a saying, it's a typical EU organization. It has a British director-general, a French director, and an Italian section chief."
"The typical EU agency official combines Italian organizational skills, German flexibility, French humility, Belgian imagination, Dutch generosity and British sincerity..."
"puff--"
When Chang Haonan first spoke, everyone thought he was talking seriously.
It wasn't until he got to the part about "the flexibility of the Germans and the humility of the French" that he finally realized that this was a bad joke.
By the end, several of them couldn't hold back their laughter.
"In short, it is actually reasonable for such an organization to make some brain-dead decisions at critical moments..."
Chang Haonan concluded:
"And this should be an opportunity for us."
Everyone who had just laughed for a while also calmed down when they heard this, but they didn't answer. They just looked at Chang Haonan and motioned for him to continue.
Especially Ding Gaoheng.
Although the business of the Science and Technology Commission does not directly involve finance, almost all bulk commodities and orders in China's import and export to Europe are related to it, especially the equipment industry and aviation industry, which have broken the ice in relations with Europe in recent years. Top priority.
Therefore, when he goes to the meeting the day after tomorrow, he still has some say in trade.
Of course, on the other hand, as the head of the defense industry, he really has nothing to say on other topics... It would be better to listen to what Chang Haonan has to say.
Although the latter's ideas are often not mature and require further polishing and processing by Ding Gaoheng in details before he can continue to report, in terms of the openness of his ideas, no one can match him...
And Chang Haonan didn't need to be pretentious now in the Science and Technology Committee, and immediately said:
"As Director Huai said just now, the euro must be saved. Otherwise, letting the U.S. dollar dominate will not be a good thing for us to join the WTO, or for our trade after joining the WTO."
"Director Dante said that the European Union brought it upon itself this time... In fact, he is right. The Americans are indeed the main force in the Allied operations. However, when the situation has deteriorated to this point, the Europeans themselves are indispensable behind it."
"Now that the euro wants to save itself, there is only one way out, which is to find a strong economy to support the credit of the euro."
"This economy must first have strong production capacity, be able to provide industrial supplies to the EU in a long-term and stable manner, and be able to undertake European capital exports; secondly, it must have the motivation to strategically support the growth of the euro, and not be worried, or at least not afraid of standing still. On the opposite side of the United States; finally, it must be large enough and relatively monolithic internally. Only in this way can it withstand the pressure from the east coast of the Pacific and help the euro compete with the US dollar..."
Everyone is a sensible person, so what we have said is basically equivalent to making it clear.
An economy that satisfies the above three conditions at the same time...
Huaxia said it would be better to report my ID number directly.
"so."
Chang Haonan looked around half a week in front of him:
"Whether it's from the perspective of teaching them a lesson, or from the perspective of adding icing on the cake rather than providing help in the snow, there is no need for us to act in such a hurry..."
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