Rebirth 2004 starts again
Chapter 508 Study how to bet
Lin Yu said with a smile
"If you bet on a goal, you may not be able to win or lose in one game? Because we may guess the same result, of course, it is also possible that neither of us guesses correctly, and the probability of not guessing is still very high, so it makes We have to go to the next game. But betting on winning or losing is different, because there are three results in a game, either losing, winning, or drawing. The results of our betting can still easily determine the winner. Of course, it is still As I said at noon, we write down the results of our own choices and give them to the four referees. They put the results in a safe place. After the game is over, they can take out the results for comparison, so that we can determine the winner or loser. ”
Wang Dongsheng also frowned. If it were a normal game, then what Lin Yu said was correct. It would still be difficult to guess the number of goals. This would easily make it difficult to determine the outcome of the bet. But for me, I already know the inside story in advance, so I will definitely win, but I can't say clearly that the winner will be determined. In this way, even if I win, Lin Yu will guess his side. Something fishy.
Wang Dongsheng said
"Mr. Lin, what you said makes sense, but if we are betting on the outcome of the game, then we may also write the same result. In this way, it will still be difficult to determine the winner."
Lin Yu said with a smile
"If there is no winner in one game, isn't there a second game today? If there is no winner in the second game, isn't there a third game tomorrow? There will always be a game to decide the outcome. Win or lose.”
Wang Dongsheng said with a frown.
"You have to know that every game is in the middle of the night. If we can't decide the winner in two days of competition, Mr. Lin is still young and can survive it, but we old guys can't. In addition, even if I We can live with it, but we can't let the four referees stay with us all the time! Besides, every time we leave this house, the contract we signed must be torn up and re-signed the next day, and the video must also be deleted. Recording again takes a lot of energy, so we should try to decide the winner today, what do you think?"
Lin Yu said with a smile
"What you said is indeed reasonable. The key is that I can't think of a complete method! Both your proposal and mine seem to have flaws. However, according to my proposal, the probability of repetition may be one-third. And if we follow Mr. Wang’s suggestion, the probability of repetition may be lower, but the probability of not guessing is ridiculously high, so it’s still difficult to tell the winner, so I think my method is better.”
If Wang Dongsheng couldn't convince Lin Yu, he would definitely have to bet on winning or losing, because what Lin Yu said was indeed reasonable. His betting method was better than his own, but Mr. Lucas said that the result of the first game was One hundred percent sure, because they participated in the manipulation, but it is hard to say for the second game, because Mr. Lucas did not participate in the manipulation of this game, which also caused him to have no way to accurately know the result of the game, but Luka Mr. Si still found a professional analysis team to analyze the results of the game, and got a game result that was relatively accurate compared to ordinary people. However, this was a prediction after all, and there were uncertainties in it. Therefore, we should try our best to place our bets on the first game and bet with Lin Yu on the number of goals scored. But how to convince Lin Yu?
While Wang Dongsheng was thinking hard, Cao Chong said
"I do have a good idea. It may be more perfect than what you two came up with. It may be possible to decide the winner in one game."
Wang Dongsheng asked in surprise
"what way?"
"Because the methods you just proposed have their own reasons, so I was thinking, can I bet on both the result and the number of goals scored in one game? Later I understood that it is completely possible. You guys Think about it! When Mr. Lin proposed betting on the outcome of the game, there is a one-third probability that the same result will be selected. Of course, it is also possible that both of them will not win the bet. I am only talking about the situation of selecting one result at the same time. Because once no one is selected, it is bound to be a bet on the next game. When both of you select the same game result, the bet is logically over, but if we bet a few more times, we will give priority to betting on the game. As a result, when the result of the game does not determine the winner, we will open the second method of betting, betting on the total number of goals. If the total number of goals is the same, then bet on the final number of goals scored by each team, so that You can use one game to bet three times in a row, and there will always be one that can determine the outcome, what do you think?"
Wang Dongsheng became excited when he heard Cao Chong's words, because he did not expect that Cao Chong was so smart that he could think of such a method. If he bet three times in a game, he would definitely be able to defeat Lin in the first game. If Yu wins, it will not be the second game of uncertainty. It seems that this time he can perfectly complete the task assigned to him by Mr. Lucas.
After hearing what Cao Chong said, the four of them all looked at Lin Yu, because they didn't know which game result Lin Yu was seeing, but they felt relieved when they saw that Lin Yu had no expression.
In fact, Lin Yu's original intention was to postpone the betting to the second game, because he knew that Cao Chong and the others only knew the result of the first game, and they were not sure of the result of the second game. This is why they wanted to wait for the first game. The reason why I bet on myself to score a goal during a football match. But it didn't matter to Lin Yu when he heard Cao Chong's method. After all, Lin Yu knew the results of all the games, so no matter how he bet, he would definitely win. But if they had to decide the winner in the first game, Then Lin Yu had to think of a complete strategy. After all, if the results of the three games were all the same, they would definitely be shocked, because they knew the results of the game, so it was not a problem to win all three games, and he was drinking Being able to guess once while drunk is considered lucky, guessing twice is considered stupid, and guessing three times will make them feel that they also know the inside story, and their second game has no inside information. In this case, They may not dare to make a second bet with themselves. After all, this is a bet worth 20 billion!
Lin Yu didn't plan to show his strength before, and then play the second game after the first game was tied, but now he couldn't do it anymore. He had to show his strength, and he had to hit it with one hit, and he had to ensure that he defeated them in the first game. Take it.
Lin Yu thought of this and said
"Mr. Wang, what do you think of Cao Zhong's proposal?"
Wang Dongsheng said with a smile
"I think it's pretty good. This way we can determine the winner in the first game. It's simple and clear. What do you think, Mr. Lin?"
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