Welcome to the game of strength supremacists
Chapter 23 Probability
"Ding dong, congratulations to the black card player No. 949527 for being selected as the [Viewer]!"
Just after the stern long-haired woman raised her hand, the system's beep sounded above the island.
Huh? Doesn’t it take more than half of the players to agree to be selected as a [Viewer]?
He Xiao counted again. A total of 9 people raised their hands in agreement. Adding his own vote, there were only 1 votes. There was not more than half?
Is there a bug in the system?
This possibility is not impossible, but it is small enough to be considered non-existent.
That means someone secretly voted for He Xiao?
But now is not the time to delve into this. The countdown has entered the last minute. Using this last minute, He Xiao feels it is necessary to unify his thoughts with everyone.
“Everyone, why did we choose to participate in the Black Card Game?
It's for victory! To successfully pass the game, earn points!
Now, I have told you how to win this game. As long as you do what I say, we will definitely be able to win this game and get our points!
Finally, please believe me. I became a [Viewer] with the purpose of leading everyone to win. I have absolutely no selfish motives! "
After He Xiao finished speaking, he glanced at the man with glasses and found that he was no longer talking at this time, silently lowering his head and not knowing what he was thinking.
Now that the matter is a foregone conclusion, whether those who raised their hands in agreement before or those who did not raise their hands in the end can only choose to believe He Xiao.
They completely left their fate in He Xiao's hands.
At the last minute, 20 people each chose a small boat to ride on and waited quietly.
After He Xiao got on the boat, the color of his boat began to glow slightly red, which was not the case on other boats.
He guessed that this should be a characteristic of the [Viewer] ship.
Countdown!
3!
2!
1!
A subtle sound of electricity came from the thin line holding the boat. The boat with 20 people slowly sailed away from the island and gradually disappeared into the heavy fog.
During this process, He Xiao had been counting the time silently in his heart.
Exactly 60 seconds had passed since the boat left the island, until it was completely hidden in the thick fog that made it invisible, and the boat stopped.
In the thick fog, He Xiao couldn't see or touch anything, so he could only continue to count the time silently in his heart.
Six minutes later, He Xiao heard the sizzling sound of electricity and his boat moved!
After another 60 seconds, the boat approached the island and stopped.
He Xiao quickly got off the boat and came under the pavilion. Sure enough, he saw the bricks moving to the right.
It seemed that there was nothing wrong with the first step of the plan. He Xiao moved the brick from the right back to the left, and silently recorded the number "1" in his mind.
After finishing, He Xiao returned to the boat, and soon the thin line pulled the boat back into the thick fog again. The time was also 60 seconds.
The round trip time of the boat is 60 seconds, which is 1 minute, and the stay time on the island is also 1 minute. In other words, it takes each player 3 minutes to complete the entire island landing process.
The waiting time for He Xiao on the boat was 6 minutes, indicating that two players should have been sent to the island in the meantime.
He Xiao silently recorded this data in his heart.
Another 6 minutes later, He Xiao's boat moved!
He walked onto the island again and came under the pavilion. When he saw the bricks moving to the right again, he continued to add 1 to the number in his mind.
The next process went more smoothly and was extremely regular. He Xiao would be sent to the island every 6 minutes, and then move the bricks that had been moved to the right back to the left, while adding 1 to the number in his mind.
After landing on the island eight times in a row, He Xiao saw the bricks being moved to the right.
Everything went smoothly and everyone seemed to be following He Xiao's method.
But when He Xiao landed on the island for the ninth time, he found that Brick stayed on the left side and did not move.
In other words, during these 6 minutes, no new players were sent to the island.
Seeing this result, He Xiao frowned because this situation did not meet his expectations.
If according to his previous speculation, if two players land on the island during this 6-minute interval, the probability that both players have already been sent to the island is only 18%.
In other words, at this time, the probability that the brick will stay on the left side without being moved is only 18%.
He Xiao felt a little incredible that something with such a small probability could happen.
Unless... only one player was sent to the island during this 6-minute interval, then the probability of this player being a player who has landed on the island is as high as 42%.
But just a small probability event didn't mean anything, so He Xiao decided to take another look at the situation.
The next time, on the 10th landing, the brick was moved to the right.
This was in line with expectations. He Xiao silently moved the brick back to the left, and at the same time mentally increased the count by 1. The number of players who have landed on the island is now 9.
However, when He Xiao landed on the island for the 11th time, Brick once again stayed on the left without moving.
He Xiao frowned. If once was a coincidence, then twice would be enough to arouse He Xiao's vigilance.
Also based on the previous inference, if two players land on the island within a 6-minute interval, the probability that both players are already on the island is only 2%, which is an extremely small probability of happening.
And if only one player lands on the island during this period, the probability that this player is the one who has landed on the island is about 1%, which is about half the probability.
He Xiao already had some speculation in his mind, but further verification was needed.
When he landed on the island for the twelfth time, the brick was moved to the right. He Xiao was not surprised and gently moved it back to the left. At this time, the number of players on the island was 12.
The 13th time I landed on the island, Brick stayed on the left side again without any change.
At this time, He Xiao was completely sure that during this 6-minute interval, only one player should have landed on the island, not 2 players.
Because if there are two players, the probability of the brick being moved to the right this time is 2%, while the probability of the brick staying on the left is only 72%.
He Xiao remembers someone saying that when gambling in a casino, if three consecutive low-probability events happen, then you should leave the gambling table, because there is a high probability that someone is cheating!
But now, the same three events with a probability of less than 3% keep happening, which shows that the system is playing tricks.
With an interval of 6 minutes, it is clear that 2 players can be sent to the island, but why does the system only send 1 player?
Is the system trying to mislead?
He Xiao frowned deeply, not understanding what this meant yet, but he could sense that this game was not as simple as he thought!
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