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Chapter 65: Ginseng cultivation has no future (please recommend)

Just as Mu Shanhe guessed, even if he left for nearly a week.To the nearby villagers, they had no idea that he had taken the time to visit the provincial capital, and they all thought that he stayed in the garden every day.

It's normal for me to come over occasionally and not see him in the garden.Compared with the chances of ginseng being dug up before the snow falls, the chances of digging up ginseng from other people's gardens after the snow falls is even harder than it is to take action.

When you stay in the mountains to guard ginseng in winter, you are not afraid of being dug up by others, but you are afraid of being harmed by animals in the mountains.There is no food in the mountains in winter, so many wild animals like to break into ginseng gardens and eat the ginseng buried in the snow.If no one is guarding the ginseng in the garden, it may be destroyed overnight.

After returning to his normal life as a keeper, Mu Shanhe remained calm as usual. On the contrary, Mu Youwang, who knew how much he had earned during his trip to the provincial capital, was worried for several days.

When he went down the mountain to go to the market again, he saw Mu Youwang's nervous expression. Mu Shanhe said with relief and helplessness: "Uncle Erwang, there is no need to be so nervous. I'm not worried. What are you worried about?"

"Go away! I'm worried about you. Is it wrong to be worried?"

"It's true that it's wrong, but if you do this, it will affect your life and work. If I had known that your mental endurance was so fragile, I wouldn't have told you that. Now, I am just a gardener, do you understand? "

"Okay! Since you kid doesn't care, then why do I care!"

With Mu Shanhe's relief, Mu Youwang also felt that he was indeed too nervous.In the past few days, many people in the station had noticed that he was worried, and thought he was reluctant to leave the town police station where he had worked for several years!

The situation was similar to last year's Spring Festival. Mu Shanhe still lived in the mountains until after the New Year, and then chose to return to the village to prepare for the New Year.Regarding his return, the people in the village didn't think it was a big surprise, it was just that there were fewer opportunities to meet him.

Occasionally, a villager said with a smile: "Shanzi, you have to take good care of your garden! There is only half a year left, and the ginseng will be ready. At the current price of ginseng, how much money will you make by selling those garden ginseng?" A household worth ten thousand yuan."

"Then I'll ask you for your good advice. If I really want to sell a few households worth ten thousand yuan, I'll treat you to dinner and drinks. If I can't sell it, then I'll sit in your house and beg for food. The market price of this garden ginseng will change every year. Next year No one knows what the price will be.”

"That's true! However, the prices of many things have increased this year, but our wages have not increased. Oh, if I had known that growing ginseng was so profitable, we would have followed suit when you rented ginseng land a few years ago. .”

Regarding such regretful words, Mu Shanhe also smiled and said nothing.At that time, the forest farm also responded to the call and tentatively released some remote sites for contracting. As a result, not many villagers dared to pay for the contracting.

Because many villagers in surrounding villages are worried about policy changes.In addition, planting ginseng requires a lot of manpower and financial resources in the early stage.If the price sold later is not high or something goes wrong, you will really lose all your money.

Only some people who are bold, or who want to change their own destiny and believe that policies will become more and more liberal in the future, choose to take the gamble like Grandpa Mu Shanhe.Now it seems that these people, like Grandpa Mu Shanhe, really won their bet.

The growers who followed up were full of expectations.But one more year of waiting is one more year of uncertainty.The most important thing is that as policies are gradually relaxed and clarified, the cost of renting orchard ginseng is also increasing.

It seems that the purchase price of garden ginseng is rising year by year, but the cost of planting is also rising!

When Mu Xingfu's family returned to the village one after another to celebrate the New Year, Mu Shanhe, who came down early this year to return to the village, was also invited to eat several pig-killing feasts.Mu Xingfu's family would kill a pig every year to celebrate the New Year.

Taking advantage of the opportunity to chat during the meal, Mu Youcheng, who had been the deputy director for a year, also asked at the right time: "Shanzi, after finishing the ginseng planting next year, do you want to continue planting? There will be many good ginseng fields in the forest farm next year. If you are interested, you can go and see look."

To the surprise of the Mu family, Mu Shanhe shook his head and said, "I shouldn't be interested in continuing to grow this garden ginseng. Uncle Cheng, haven't you noticed that the area and scale of garden ginseng planting have been growing rapidly every year in the past few years?" "

<divclass="contentadv">"Isn't this normal? Nowadays, the price of garden ginseng is very good, and people must want to grow it! What's the problem with this?"

"Now it seems that there is really no problem. But once the amount of ginseng is increased, can all of it be sold in the future? For example, the market for ginseng now has [-] tons per year, but we only grow [-] tons. That kind of output There is definitely no need to worry about selling the garden ginseng.

But if that day comes, the quantity of garden parameters produced every year is greater than the quantity that can be sold, what will happen to the price?Also, who will sell those extra garden ginseng to?

In the past, state-owned factories unified procurement and pricing, but now that there are more buyers, it seems that garden ginseng sells better.But in the future, there will be more ginseng on the market every year, but the number of acquisitions will be less. What will be the consequences?

Maybe this is just my overthinking, but I still know to some extent that cheap grain hurts farmers.Now not only our county is vigorously planting garden ginseng, neighboring counties and even neighboring provinces are learning how to grow ginseng. Who will sell so many garden ginseng to in the future? "

As Mu Shanhe said these words, Mu Youcheng thought for a while and said: "This shouldn't be a big problem! Our garden ginseng products have now won awards overseas, and good-quality garden ginseng has begun to earn foreign exchange for the country. .

As long as the sales market gets bigger, our garden ginseng will definitely sell better.Not to mention our forest area, many units in the city are now renting ginseng land from our forest farm and asking people to help their units plant ginseng! "

Seeing that Mu Youcheng seemed to be very happy when he said these words, Mu Shanhe smiled bitterly and said: "Uncle Cheng, I have heard about these situations you mentioned. It is precisely because of knowing these situations that I did not want to continue planting ginseng. .”

"Shanzi, are you worried about the price of garden ginseng falling in the future?"

"A price drop is a trivial matter. As long as the garden ginseng can be sold, some of the cost will eventually be recovered. What I am really worried about is that if the supply of garden ginseng planted in the future exceeds demand, who should the extra garden ginseng be sold to?

We at the forest farm all know how hard it is to grow ginseng.If a family has worked hard to grow ginseng for six years, and finally finds that the ginseng grown cannot be sold at a price or no one buys it at all, what do you think this family will do in the future? "

Although it was just a hypothesis, Mu Xingfu fantasized about this scenario and felt that this family might be in despair.Not to mention that six years of hard work have been wasted, it is terrible that all the cost invested before has been lost!

Seeing that Mu Youcheng didn't seem to agree, Mu Shanhe didn't say much. Instead, Mu Youwang asked after the meal: "Shanzi, do you really think it's impossible to rent land to grow ginseng now?"

"It's not that it's not worth it, but I think the risk will be very high. Uncle Erwang, you should know that the situation of garden ginseng is different from that of wild ginseng. Wild ginseng can't be sold for a price, so it doesn't matter if you keep it for a few more years. But what about garden ginseng? When six years are up, it's Must come out.

Nowadays, those who grow ginseng are like a snowball that is getting bigger and bigger, but can those who buy or eat ginseng keep up?Once the supply exceeds demand, prices are bound to plummet, and it is inevitable that those who participate will suffer heavy losses. "

It is clear that in Shuangdian today, in addition to the agriculture and forestry economy, garden ginseng is undoubtedly the county's pillar industry.The problem is that other counties with mountain forest advantages and planting resources are now following suit to plant large areas of ginseng.

In the short term, the output of garden ginseng will still remain in short supply, so the price of garden ginseng is bound to rise.Because the acquirer must pay a high price to receive more participation.What if there are too many ginseng in the garden?How can the acquirer not lower the price?

If the price just drops, the growers will earn less at most.The really devastating scene is that no one will buy it even if the price is reduced.Who will the extracted garden ginseng be sold to in the end?

After six years of hard work, all the previous investment was lost, and the ginseng that had to be raised could not be sold.Even if it can be stored for several years after processing, what if there is a pile of unsellable garden ginseng? To the growers, these ginseng will be worthless?