Go back to 1990 to start a business

1992 was a disastrous year for Hungry Ross.

The Soviet Union collapsed, the Russian Federation became independent, and Ye became the boss.

However, it is difficult to be a poor family.A large number of half-dead enterprises, plus 1 trillion rubles of domestic debt and 1200 billion US dollars of foreign debt, keep him awake at night and restless.

Ye believes that the reforms since the 20s have been piecemeal and patchy, ruining Su Xin's future.

After learning from the painful experience, he should avoid making the same mistakes again. He should no longer be an old lady with small feet. He should take drastic measures and carry out profound changes.

At this time, Gaidar, who was only 35 years old, followed his fancy and concocted a radical economic reform plan, and vowed that it would succeed.

In early 1992, a "shock therapy" reform was fully launched in Russia.

The highlight of shock therapy, which is also the first step, is to liberalize commodity prices.

俄规定，从1992年1月2日起，放开90%的消费品价格和80%的生产资料价格。

Then, prices soared like a kite with its string broken.

The original intention was to stabilize prices through state-owned stores, but unexpectedly, black market vendors colluded with state-owned store employees to resell the goods and make huge profits.

Gaidar's wishful thinking came to nothing, and the market order was in chaos.

Due to the premature liberalization of fuel and raw material prices, corporate production costs have increased sharply, the consumer market has continued to be sluggish, and weak demand has in turn suppressed supply. Companies have reduced production one after another, and market supply and demand have entered an infinite loop.

The tax burden is too heavy, business production has further shrunk, and the number of unemployed people has surged. Relief subsidies and direct investment have to be increased, and the fiscal deficit has risen instead of falling.

The government was forced to loosen monetary policy and issue an additional 18 trillion rubles of currency. What does this number mean?

It is 1991 times the circulation in 20!

Amid the roar of the money printing press, the policy of fiscal and monetary tightening failed.

On July 7, the official exchange rate was 1 rubles per US dollar.

This is not over yet.

The third step of shock therapy is coming, large-scale privatization.

Gaidar believes that the reason why reform is full of dangers and crises is that state-owned enterprises are market players and the competition mechanism does not work. Price reform is like a tower built in the sand. It will collapse when it encounters any disturbance.

In order to speed up the privatization process, the method adopted is to give away free of charge.

Free gift!

According to expert assessment, the total value of small businesses in Russia (excluding large and medium-sized enterprises) is exactly 1.5 trillion rubles, corresponding to a population of 1.5 million.

In the past, property belonged to everyone, but now it is distributed to individuals, and everyone must be fair and impartial.

The plan is that every Russian will receive a 1-ruble privatization security and can freely purchase shares based on the certificate.

This is a real gluttonous feast, and it is this feast that created the seven major financial oligarchs.

When the feast is about to begin——

Xia Chuan is back.

……

At night, Mosque Airport is brightly lit.

As soon as Xia Chuan walked out of the passage, he saw Fei'er in a black dress and greeted her with a smile and open arms.

"Wow, I miss Fei'er so much!" Xia Chuan also opened his arms.

However, Fei'er called out: "Sister Shiyun!" Then the two women hugged each other and exchanged greetings as close as sisters.

It seemed that no one saw Xia Chuan's confused face, his arms still open, messy in the summer evening wind.

Damn it, this is unscientific, it was the first time they met.

Zang Hong next to him looked amused, and the nine bodyguards turned their heads to hide their smiles.

Ahem, cough, cough, Xia Chuan cut off the two women's words and criticized him seriously: "Fei'er, you have learned to pretend now. You clearly want to hug me in your heart, but you pretend to force yourself to hug my sister. You are..."

When he didn't say anything, Fei'er interrupted with a smile: "I just pretended that you bit me?"

The poem is smiling.

Xia Chuan said solemnly: "Fei'er, you will always meet such a person in life. He accompanies you for a journey, but cannot accompany you for a lifetime; he is someone else's scenery, but it wets your eyes. The difference with you is that, Everyone you meet is like this, you must be open-minded.”

Zang Hong trembled.

Feier's cheeks turned red with anger, and Shiyun punched him angrily: "What nonsense are you talking about."

Xia Chuan smiled and opened his arms: "I just want a hug, come on, Fei'er."

"I won't hug you!" Feier said proudly.

"Then I will continue..."

"Okay!" Shiyun quickly interrupted: "Look who's coming."

When Xia Chuan turned around, he saw the coward's face turned into a smile.

"Xia Chuan, it's great to have you back."

"Hahaha……"

The two truly embraced each other warmly, and their alliance was made public.

The drunk driver laughed and said, "It's too late today. I won't take up too much of your time. Just get in the car with me and sit for half an hour."

"No problem." Xia Chuan followed the drunk driver into a bulletproof Volga.

The driver of the original car got out of the car immediately, leaving only two people.

"Let's talk about more important things first," Drunken Driving said straight to the point, "Gaidar plans to privatize securities. What do you think?"

"You don't think there's a chance of success, do you?" Xia Chuan asked.

"No, I just want to know the specific consequences. The more detailed the better." The drunk driver said frankly.

"The consequence is that the ruble collapsed. Now it is 1 rubles per US dollar, and it will be 125 rubles per US dollar in less than ten months."

Drunk Driver's face turned serious. He was a little unbelievable, but he had to believe that Xia Chuan's foresight had been verified countless times and had never been missed.

Moreover, Xia Chuan respects his reputation and never tells lies to anyone.At most, he doesn't speak.

Drunken Driver was silent for three seconds and sighed: "The price of this reform is too high. 90.00% of people will fall into abject poverty."

"But you have to pay." Xia Chuan said seriously: "There is no second way now. The old system is too stubborn, so we can only completely smash it and rebuild it, and this smashing process is still very long.

Because this kind of rapid privatization is just the privatization of state property by the powerful class and the conversion of power into capital. It is not so much about solving economic problems as it is about solving political problems. It is "5% economy plus 95% political governance."

For Russia, in order to create a new bourgeoisie, the most important thing is to destroy the economic foundation left by Su Zhengquan.Even if this road leads to gangster capitalism. "

There was a trace of pain in the drunk driver's eyes, and he asked slowly: "I heard that China is planning to relax prices on September 9st. Do you think it will not follow in the footsteps of Ross?"

Xia Chuan said: "Inflation is certain, but it is essentially different from Russia. Hunger is released based on the extreme shortage of living materials, so the collapse of the ruble is inevitable. But China has always developed light industry, and the basic materials of life are not considered It will not be a lack, and it will be a step-by-step letting go.

For example, the pricing power of most products is handed over to enterprises, and the prices of a small number of products are delegated to provincial price departments, which represents the end of the dual-track price system.

But there are still many dual-track systems, such as coal and electricity, compensation, pensions, medicine, salt, labor, land, capital, property rights of state-owned enterprises, etc., which are still under the control of the state.

Overall, the cost is only high inflation in the next two years, and the RMB-USD exchange rate will change from 1:5 to 1:8.Then it enters a healthy development track. "

The corner of Drunk Driving's mouth twitched slightly, thinking about the same starting point, even the foundation of the hungry country is better, but now it is 1:125 rubles, and in the next ten months it will become 1:1000, he is simply in extreme pain.

Finally, the drunk driver gritted his teeth and said: "Since it must be divided, it is better to divide it into your hands. At least it can create value and make the people of the Far East live a better life..."