Go back to 1990 to start a business

The reporter's question made Zang Hong next to him feel nervous. Don't make a joke. Xia Chuan doesn't know much about the United States.

On the contrary, Shiyun and Anna were full of expectations. They did not believe that Xia Chuan could not answer. Moreover, based on their understanding of Xia Chuan, they would definitely weave their own interests into it to benefit themselves.

Sure enough, Xia Chuan calmly said in fluent English:

"I think that in the next ten years, that is, from 1992 to 2001, the United States will enter the longest "new economy" growth cycle in history. When I say new economy, it is different from the original growth mode. There are several main ones. feature.

First, the economy continues to grow.

From the recovery in 1991 to 2001, the economy will continue to grow for more than 120 months, which will far exceed the average period of 50 months of continuous growth of the US economy after the war. It will become the third longest economic growth period in the US after the war.

The U.S. economy will be the first to get out of the global economic crisis in the early 90s, and its average annual growth rate will exceed that of major competitors such as Japan and Germany, thus reversing the situation in which the economic growth rate lagged behind Japan and Germany in the 80s and [-]s, and making the United States more powerful in the global economy. There has been a relative recovery.

Second, the number of employed people continues to increase and the unemployment rate decreases steadily.

With the adjustment of the U.S. economic structure and "corporate restructuring" with layoffs as the main content since the mid-80s, structural unemployment in the United States has become increasingly prominent and the employment situation has deteriorated sharply.I believe that the employment situation will continue to deteriorate in 1992, but starting from 1993, the employment situation will definitely begin to improve, and the unemployment rate will steadily decline.

Third, price growth has been kept at a low level, and the inflationary pressure that the government has faced for a long time in the past has been eliminated.

Fourth, the export trade growth momentum is strong.In the next ten years, the significant improvement in labor productivity and labor cost advantages of the United States will enhance the competitiveness of American products in the international market and regain the world's number one position in fields such as semiconductors and automobiles.

Fifth, the federal fiscal deficit has been reduced year by year and a fiscal surplus has been achieved.

This is the characteristic of the new economy in the next ten years. Why do you infer this? "

The reporter below was a little sluggish. Xia Chuan didn't mean to flatter him at all. He was as rational and calm as if God was giving guidance.

No economist in the entire United States dares to make such an extremely accurate prediction, and Xia Chuan not only predicted it, but also explained to you why?

Xia Chuan continued: "I won't talk about politics. My principle is not to get involved in politics. I will only talk about two key points from an economic perspective.

First, the wave of economic globalization.

Globalization of the world economy is an inevitable trend. If we want to set a starting point for globalization, I think 92 is more appropriate.It may not be noticeable at first, but this trend will become more and more obvious.

The wave of globalization will tear down the borders of various countries and integrate the global economy.Mainly manifested in the aspects of production globalization, trade liberalization and financial globalization.It will have a profound impact on the world economy, international finance, and the development of developing countries.

There is a word that may be more vivid: global village.

As long as there is no nuclear war and human destruction, economic globalization will be inevitable.People have realized the benefits of technology to their lives, so they will not stop using technology to improve their lives.

But technology is a complete industrial system from stone axes and bone needles to space shuttle chips. Carrying this industrial system requires enough "people with corresponding skills" and labor force. No country in the world has enough population and resources to accommodate this complete system. No country is exempt from the industrial system, so countries must cooperate and divide labor.

The more technology develops, the taller the tree of the industrial system becomes and the more people are needed.More than the population of any single country.Assume that there is a river originating in the Himalayas. As long as the water volume is large enough, it can flow in any direction and eventually flow into the sea.

As long as technology continues to develop, the process of globalization will not stop.The flow of global capital will eventually lead to a global wave of immigration.This is also a new driving force for economic growth in the United States in the next ten years.

Globalization and deregulation have loosened restrictions on the self-reproduction of capital, and economic development will continue to strengthen like technology, expanding like a virus to every corner of the earth.Of course, as the growth rate accelerates, the life cycle of the enterprise will also shorten.

The second driving force is the information technology revolution.

Not much to say about the Internet. Mobile phones will change our lives. Analog signals will be eliminated. Digital signals will soon appear. Phones will become smaller and thinner, become more and more popular, and then merge with the Internet. , pushing the Internet era to the second stage.

These are the strengths of the United States. Silicon Valley is the heart. Future development is driven by demand. Waves can be accidental and can be changed, but waves must be inevitable. Whether I say it or not, it will definitely go in that direction.

Therefore, the expectations of the new economy in the United States in the next ten years will definitely be realized.Okay, this reporter would like to ask a question. "

The reporter was listening with his brain cells firing and he was deep in thought. He was still a little uncomfortable with the sudden ending, so he quickly asked:

"Mr. Xia Chuan, does your technology company need chip support from Silicon Valley?"

Xia Chuan was startled. This person has such a keen sense of smell. He smiled and said: "I think it's a pity for you to be a reporter. You should start a business. Next."

Everyone laughed, and the reporter couldn't laugh or cry. This was obviously right, but Xia Chuan didn't want to talk about this issue.

"Mr. Xia Chuan, is it possible for you to immigrate to the United States?"

"It's possible for me to immigrate to Mars. If I immigrate to the United States, wouldn't I still be an Earthling? Next."

Everyone burst into laughter. They liked this answer so much. News is all about grabbing attention. Xia Chuan was so cooperative. They had already thought of the title of their report, which was: Xia Chuan is preparing to immigrate to Mars.

"What do you think of Hungry Ross in the next ten years?"

"For the common people, it has been a decade of dire straits. Inflation will wipe out all private wealth, sharply divide the rich and the poor, increase extreme poverty, and the economy continues to decline. In order to increase employment opportunities, I have launched the Vladivostok International Airport project. First, Let me fly back at any time. I will launch a large-scale infrastructure construction project every year for the next ten years, hoping to tide over the crisis together with the people of the Far East."

Everyone was suddenly in awe. This was a man of faith. That place didn’t even have a domestic airport. Why would he have to sacrifice his life for building an international airport?

The nine bodyguards guarding outside the conference room suddenly had wet eyes. They suddenly found the lost faith of Guo Po. At this moment, they made up their minds to follow Xia Chuan forever from now on, just to do this thing for you. , we will protect you for life.