NBA Emperor: Kobe Bryant's Son

Everyone chatted about the finals, what are the chances of winning against the Celtics?Nick Young encouraged everyone and said that he would follow the Lakers to the end.

Diddy sighed: "The Celtics have a higher winning percentage than us, and I feel very uneasy."

Sean hurriedly said, "What do you mean?"

Didi: "They have the same number of championships in team history as the Lakers, but the chances of winning the finals are much higher than the Lakers. Something is weird."

The Lakers have entered the finals 32 times and won 17 championships. What is terrifying is the Celtics, who have won 22 championships in 17 finals.

Although it was nonsense, Didi's words caused an indescribably weird feeling to the group!

Harden frowned, and Westbrook had a Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtle expression.

Roy was furious in an instant! !

He grabbed the ice cubes on the table and pressed it on Didi's head, yelling: "What a bitch, I'll fucking cool down your feverish brain!!"

Didi struggled desperately: "Damn it, let me go!"

Roy roared: "Say the Lakers championship, eighteen times!!!"

Diddy compromised: "Lakers championship, Lakers championship, Lakers championship......"

Roy let go of Didi with a "hum".

Kobe said in a deep voice: "BJ, this season is very meaningful. Whoever wins the Lakers or the Celtics will be the team with the most championships in the NBA. If you win the championship, you will completely overwhelm Lukaku. If you lose, The wind will turn."

Sean nodded with a serious expression, drank the red wine in one breath, and took a sip of the cigarette next to Williams' mouth.

Seeing Sean's appearance, Catherine quickly said that a coin was tossed into the sky, assuming that the probability of landing is 50.00%.

Toss ten times, even if there are seven heads and three tails, the probability of No. 11 is still 50.00%, which is not affected by the previous data.

Harden felt relieved after hearing this, and smiled: "Catherine, what you said makes sense."

Sean smiled slightly at Catherine, and the group felt less awkward.

Nick Yang gave Catherine a thumbs up, and Anderson and others praised her.

The atmosphere eased.

Catherine blinked her eyes and asked tentatively, "Can I give you a math problem? Are you interested in listening?"

Westbrook sat up straight and said with great interest, "Oh? I'm interested."

Kobe waved his hand and said proudly: "Son, speak freely, don't worry about who likes to listen or not."

Tom thought to himself: Fart, do we dare not listen?

Roy's heart: Habits are domineering!

Catherine said happily: "Okay."

Catherine: Imagine you're on a prize show, and the host asks you to choose one of three doors: a supercar behind one of the doors; goats behind the other two.You choose a door, let's say it's door number one, and the host can see what the next two doors are, and open another door with a goat in it, let's say it's door number three.He asks you: "Would you like to choose door number two?" Is it an advantage for you to switch your choice?

Roy said without hesitation: "If you don't change it, it's a one-third chance if you choose one of the three. If the host removes a goat, it's a one-in-two chance. If you don't change it, it's a one-half chance. What's the advantage of changing to a machine gun? "

Anderson smiled and said, "I have the same opinion as Roy."

Harden, Williams, and Nick Young had the same idea and all chose not to change, saying that there would be no advantage in changing.

Vanessa: "I want to change, but I feel that there is no advantage. I just want to change."

Catherine put her chin in her hands and asked Westbrook, "What about you?"

Westbrook grinned, and said in an affirmative tone: "I will change, and I think there is an advantage."

Harden said speechlessly: "Please brother, are you drinking too much? Where's the bullshit advantage? You don't even understand such a simple question, you still study well?"

Westbrook smiled and said nothing. Although Westbrook's grades in school were not as mysterious as the outside world said, he was still considered a top student in the NBA. Compared with him, Harden was a scumbag.

Tom said seriously: "I've heard this question before, the correct answer is to change, and the probability will increase after changing. It's just that I don't know how to explain it?"

Roy said dissatisfied: "Narcissist, shut up! What are you talking about and don't know how to explain this kind of nonsense? Even if God comes tonight, it will be half, and it will be half if you change it or not. "

Harden and his group quickly agreed and supported Roy.

Tom: "......"

Sean tapped his hands on the table, and after a while, he said, "I'll change. My intuition tells me that the probability of winning is higher if I switch, but I can't figure out where it is right now? Give me some time to think about it."

Diddy, Tom, Manny and Sean had the same idea, and Harden and his group kept complaining.

Kobe stroked his beard, and his mind was spinning rapidly. This question aroused his damn desire to win.

Kobe calculated in his heart: at the beginning, there is a one-third chance of choosing one of the three. The host opens a door and a goat appears, and there must be a sports car in the remaining two doors. Logically, it is one-in-two, and it is one-in-two if it is the other way around. Roy, they should be right? ?

Kobe glanced at Roy and his group, and found that they were full of confused and confident expressions. He thought to himself: No... no, the question Catherine raised is not that simple. .Where is the problem?Damn, the brain cells are hot!

Catherine said, "Uncle, what about you?"

Kobe glanced at Westbrook, Didi, Marney, Sean, and Tom.

Think they have a higher IQ than another group of people.After making up his mind, he said to himself: "I will change, and I think the probability of changing is high, and I can still be sure that the bearded people are wrong."

Harden, Roy and others showed doubts, but no one dared to refute Kobe.

Although Kobe couldn't find the answer, he took a clever way-follow smart people.

Catherine "giggled" and laughed: "Announce the answer, if it is correct, the probability of winning will become two-thirds."

A group of crouching dragons and phoenix chicks in Harden yelled and refused to admit the answer!

"No no no...impossible."

"Catherine, even if you shot me with one shot, it would still be one-half."

"Me too."

Kobe pressed his palm and said sharply, "Quiet me!"

Catherine said softly: "Knowing the answer is nothing, what's amazing is that you can explain it to people who don't understand."

Westbrook rubbed his palms excitedly and said, "I know how to explain."

Sean suddenly realized, and slammed the table: "I see, brother, let me talk."

"Ok."

Kobe smiled and said: "I also understand everything, I have a pretty good explanation, forget it, bj, I'll give you a chance to perform."

"Thank you, Dad."

Subsequently.

Sean explained: "The contestant randomly chooses a door, the probability is [-]/[-], and the host can see the remaining two doors. There are two situations in it, two goats or a car and a goat. The problem is Here, everyone thinks that the host opens a door with a goat, which increases the probability of the contestants choosing the door. In fact, the host only opens the door with a goat in the two doors, which is equivalent to removing the wrong answer from the two doors. This is different from the competition The first choice of the contestant has nothing to do with it, it will not affect it, it will only increase the probability of the other door, the host is from the perspective of God, if the contestant must change, the probability of winning will become two-thirds."

Westbrook praised: "Cool, similar to my understanding."

Harden and his group fell into a state of deep thought.

Catherine makes a simple analogy: Take three poker cards and choose the one with the king to win the prize. A means that the contestant randomly selects one card, b means the host can see two cards, and b chooses the one that is not the king and discards it. Ask a whether to change it?

B has two cards at the beginning, and losing a card that is not a king does not mean that the probability of a will be high, because there must be two cards of b that are not a king, and they are just removed in advance. What does it matter to a?All the cards in b's hand must be changed.

Roy scratched his scalp irritably: "It's too fucking complicated, what are you changing, God's perspective, playing cards... Is it possible that the contestant's first choice is the car?? If you don't change it, you will win, but if you change it, you won't win." middle?"

Catherine smiled and said: "It's possible, but our question is whether there is any advantage in changing? It's not about luck, it's about probability."

Roy took a sharp puff on his cigarette: "I still think it's one-half."

Anderson said with a silly smile: "Me too, bj, I won't support you this time, maybe you are too smart and think too much instead."

Sean: "..."

Catherine was speechless, she opened her mouth and didn't know what to say? ?

Kobe waved his hand and said with a smile, "Catherine, don't mess with those two idiots."

After the party, everyone dispersed.

The Lakers will fly to Boston tomorrow afternoon, and the finals will start the day after tomorrow! ! !