Beiyang reactionaries
Page 1272
"Tell me what you think."
Liang Huankui reported the current situation.
very urgent.
In Liang Huankui's view, it was very urgent.Because with the signing of a trade agreement with Japan, the resources China needs to export will increase significantly next year.This includes iron ore, coal, copper ore, and actually many other resources.
This is true for tungsten ore, antimony ore, and tin ore.
It also includes rubber and tung oil, which will increase.In an industrial country like Japan, resources are basically zero.The resources needed for industrial development must be imported.
"Prime Minister, the Economic and Development Commission (Economic Development Planning Commission) Committee has held a meeting to discuss this issue. We believe that the China-Japan trade agreement, as a whole, has a major role in promoting my country's economic development and industrial development, and will greatly promote China's economic development. Therefore, we should pay attention to the cooperation with Japan, and we must not have any problems in the first year of cooperation. We must not break our promises to sell things to Japan. Only in this way, what Japan promised us in the contract can be guaranteed. It will come as promised."
"However, after meeting the resource demands of European countries such as Germany, the Czech Republic, and Austria, and then selling the resources needed by Japan, it will greatly affect the domestic supply. Inflation in my country has been relatively serious in recent years. If the supply of raw materials There will be shortages in the market, and the price of raw materials will rise, which will cause another round of price rises for industrial products. If that happens, the inflation in the city will be very serious, and it is likely to cause big problems.”
Economic development is bound to be accompanied by inflation.
This is normal.
There can be no economic development without inflation in the world.However, in recent years, China has issued more currency for industrial development and to make up for the fiscal deficit.As a result, on the basis of normal inflation, some more have been added.
Inflation is serious.
It is only because the state has lowered the prices of agricultural products that everyone can still eat, so there are no major problems.But that doesn't mean inflation isn't scary.On the contrary, if the price of agricultural products encounters too severe inflation, it will also bring huge problems.
Therefore, at this time, there is a problem with the supply of domestic raw materials, which leads to an increase in the price of domestic raw materials, and the problem is very serious.Because the rise in raw material prices will be quickly reflected in the market.At that time, inflation will become very fierce.It's a pretty scary thing.
Everyone nodded at this point.
The cabinet members here have been in this position for several years.Even if they were not familiar with the economy before, after these years of training, they still have their own understanding of the economy.
Therefore, they all understood what Liang Huankui meant.
"So we believe that the supply of raw materials should be guaranteed first in any case next year. And next year's task will be very heavy. After all, many important raw materials need to increase by more than 30% according to the current situation. Such a scale of growth is for us. It is said to be a big test. In order to ensure the stability of the supply of raw materials next year, the Economic and Development Commission believes that the original plan will be adjusted. For some plans originally determined by the Economic and Development Commission, some will be cancelled, and some will be reduced. Including the suspension of some railway construction and road construction , put all the capital, manpower, and material resources into the most basic mining industry."
"kindness."
Duan Xun thought for a while and understood what the Economic Development Planning Commission meant.They hope to focus on developing the mining industry next year.But this will affect the interests of other departments, so they hope that the cabinet will make decisions and use these to appease those departments.After all, if the original plan cannot be completed, it will affect the assessment of other departments and the performance of leaders of other departments.
Duan Xun paused for a moment, then said to Dai Kan next to him, "Prime Minister Dai, what do you think?"
"Since the situation has changed, the plan should also change accordingly. We should not be clinging to the plans we have made, but learn to adapt to the new environment flexibly. Judging from the current situation, it is right to ensure the supply of raw materials. Many other investment plans have been cancelled. Or put it off, investing most of the manpower and force in the raw material industry is suitable for the current situation. After all, next year is the first year after we signed a trade agreement with Japan, and both sides need to adapt. We really shouldn’t have anything in this regard Problem. If we fail to complete the contract, or if there is a problem with domestic raw material supply after the contract is completed, it will be a big blow to the government’s credibility.”
Dai Kan spoke with certainty.
It can be regarded as a vote in favor of the proposal of the Economic Development Committee.After Dai Kan spoke, others also began to speak.Everyone's opinions are almost unanimous, and they all believe that the supply of raw materials must be guaranteed next year.
Duan Xun listened quietly to everyone's opinions.
industry, industry.
Speaking of which, although China has developed a lot, there are still many shortcomings, and there are many areas that need to be developed.But China's foundation is like this, the government's funds are limited, and it is impossible to invest in everything.
If there are key development projects, some projects will inevitably need to be ignored.
That's it right now.
After strengthening trade with Japan, China will need to export a lot of raw materials next year.This is a huge opportunity for China's mining industry, but also a huge test.
If this opportunity is grasped, then China's mining industry will inevitably rise to a higher level.But it is also a huge test. Once the output next year cannot keep up with the demand, there will be serious consequences at that time.
"Prime Minister Wang, after the great development of our mining industry, what if the demand decreases due to some economic factors?"
"this is nothing."
Wang Yongjiang answered very calmly.
Said: "Prime Minister, at present our country's resource consumption mainly depends on two, one is government investment, and the other is export. In fact, government procurement is the big one here, and domestic large-scale projects absorb the most resources, even more than exports. If the demand decreases , then the main reason is that exports have decreased. At that time, government procurement will be increased, and large government projects and investments will be used to absorb those resources. However, I think that in terms of the current economic development of our country, there will not be a situation where these resources cannot be absorbed.”
economist?
In fact, Wang Yongjiang really has never studied economics systematically, or in other words, he has not studied modern economics systematically, and he is not as good as those specialized economists in Europe and America.But whether it is Wang Yongjiang or other people in the government, they are all natural supporters of government investment.
Because China's thousands of years of history is like this cycle.
One is the inaction of Taoism, which requires the government not to interfere with social development or the private economy.There is also a very simple and natural "macro economy", which brings the national economy under the control of the government.Wang Yongjiang is not aware of the "Kenyon Theory" that emerged after the US financial crisis, but he understands that the main driving force for China's economic development is the government.At present, 90.00% of China's annual fixed investment is invested by government agencies.That is to say, China's current economic development mainly relies on fixed investment.
Therefore, Wang Yongjiang's method is very simple.
Once consumption is sluggish, use large government projects and large government investments to digest those things.As for how the money for the government's large investment comes from, that is Wang Yongjiang's business.
Duan Xun nodded slowly when he heard Wang Yongjiang's words.
Yes.
Government intervention in the economy will cause many problems, but it is also the best way under China's current economic situation.Duan Xun is worried about the world economic crisis in a few years.At that time, exports will definitely be affected, so how to digest those resources.
Of course, it is a big project to start.
Although such a digestive crisis, the sequelae will be great.But it is also the fastest and most effective way to get rid of the economic crisis.
"it is good."
Duan Xun finally nodded and said, "Prime Minister Wang, your economic and development committee will make a detailed plan. Let's see how to cut down those projects and increase the output of those resources next year."
"Yes."
517
"Minister Yan, please speak carefully."
The Economic and Development Commission's proposal to adjust the industrial plan for next year has been passed.The opinion of the Economic and Development Commission is to cut down several road projects and postpone the planned start-up of the chemical plant, and transfer manpower and material resources to the mining industry to vigorously develop the mining industry.Although the current mining industry is vigorously developing mechanization, many of them are still manual.As long as manpower and material resources are transferred to the mining industry, production can increase.
After passing this proposal, it is the proposal of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Because of the sudden U-turn between China and Japan, there are many policies that need to be adjusted.Many targeted policies that were originally targeted because of bad relations with Japan need to be changed.Therefore, in this meeting, many departments have made policy adjustments and have their own proposals.
"I'm sending you an official letter from the North Korean government to our Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Representatives of the North Korean government have made their demands several times. The nearly one-year war has severely damaged the Korean peninsula. Therefore, the North Korean government hopes to get my country's economic support."
The war stopped.
But there are still many problems behind.
The biggest problem is that the industry and agriculture of the Korean peninsula were severely damaged during the one-year war. It can even be said that the economy of the Korean peninsula has been completely bankrupt.The northern part of the Korean peninsula is an industrial concentration area, of course it is an industrial concentration area, but it is only relative to the southern part of the Korean peninsula.The mining industry, electric power industry, and even the chemical industry have developed in the northern part of the Korean Peninsula, providing Japan with many resources.Of course, all the factories are opened by the Japanese and adopt Japanese technology.
The southern part of the Korean peninsula has good agricultural development.
But after playing for a year, these are all gone.Agriculture in the southern part of the Korean peninsula has been severely damaged, and many farmers have fled. The production of agricultural products on the Korean Peninsula in 1926 dropped by more than 1924% compared to 40, two years before the war.Such is the devastation of war, and it hits agriculture especially hard.
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