Beiyang reactionaries
Page 1078
On January 1924, 1, Lenin, the leader who founded the Soviet Union, died.This is a big problem for the Soviet Union, because the Soviet Union was not established for a few years.
There were many powerful factions within the Soviet Bolshevik Party.
This is inevitable.
After all, the Soviet Union was established by one war after another.Counting from the beginning of the October Revolution, it took six or seven years for the establishment of the Soviet.
After playing for so many years, many powerful leaders have emerged.
This is formed by history.When fighting a war, centralization was needed. At that time, the Soviet had to fight against people in many directions, and centralization was needed in each direction, so there would be a powerful faction in a certain direction.
Even Lenin didn't quite get it under control when he was alive.But now that Lenin has passed away suddenly, it is difficult for those powerful factions in the party to settle down. Everyone wants to be Lenin's successor, and everyone wants to be the leader of the Soviet Union.The issue of successor is a big problem, and the competition within them will inevitably be fierce.
It will greatly affect the subsequent policies of the Soviet Union, including foreign policy.
And the next day, January 1924, 1, the results of the British general election came out.For the first time in British history, the Labor Party won. Ramsay Macdonald, the leader of the Labor Party, served as the British Prime Minister and Foreign Secretary.It also stated that its primary task is to reduce the consequences of the signing of the "Versailles Peace Treaty" in 22 and mediate the huge reparations since Germany's defeat.
This is a new government completely different from the original British government.
Foreign policy has undergone a 180-degree turn.Ramsay MacDonald has announced a lot of things he is going to do as Labor leader.One is to end the squeeze on Germany.
Sign a new contract with Germany, mainly to sign a new "commercial treaty".
Of course, this is also related to France's current growing strength.
France hopes to slap its old rival Germany to death, so that Germany can no longer affect France's hegemony in the European continent.But Britain is different. He doesn't want a hegemon to appear in the European continent.Because once a hegemon appears on the European continent, his strength will inevitably increase and he will start to compete with Britain for world hegemony.
The Anglo-French war lasted for a hundred years, and Britain could not see the strength of France.
British foreign policy is all about balance.
So Ramsay MacDonald decided to stop oppressing Germany and let Germany take a breather.Even if it can't restore the original powerful force, it should contain France.So change your foreign policy towards Germany.
The second is to prevent the current plan of the British military to build a large naval base and military base in Singapore.It is believed that the current UK does not have so much money to hand over to the military.
The military budget should be cut.
The third is with the Soviet Union.
Hope to end the current situation of hostility between Britain and the Soviet Union.
pragmatism.
British diplomacy is pragmatism.Britain hopes that there will be several powerful countries on the European continent to check each other, France and Germany will check each other, and the Soviet Union, France, and Germany will also check each other. It is best for them to fight on the European continent.In this way, Britain can watch the fire from the other side and adjust it in the play.
So prepare to improve relations with the Soviet Union.
"What do you think of the British Labor Party? How about Ramsay MacDonald? What should they think of their current proposition? Can we negotiate with the UK? Premier Yang, what do you think?"
The ruling party in the UK has changed, the prime minister has changed, and their foreign policy will also change accordingly.Although there are many powerful countries in the world at present, Britain is the world hegemon after all.
Even if Britain falls and is no longer an "empire on which the sun never sets", its strength in the Far East will also be greatly reduced.But the United Kingdom is still the controller of the current world order, and it is still the veritable world leader.Every move of British policy still affects the world situation.
There are even more issues that need to be discussed between China and the UK.
Because before the Japanese forces wantonly infiltrated China, the most powerful in China was the United Kingdom.In the first few years after the founding of the Republic of China, China's politics, economy, and military were all greatly influenced by Britain.
Including now, Hong Kong issues, concession issues, customs issues, and trade issues must all be negotiated with Britain.Only when the negotiation with the United Kingdom is completed, other countries will follow.
In other words, as long as the negotiation with the United Kingdom is successful, it will be much easier to negotiate with other countries.So Duan Xun wants to discuss, discuss with everyone, share the current British government, and analyze the current policy changes in the UK.
"I think so."
Yang Yongtai nodded.
Although Duan Xun identified Dai Kan among Dai Kan and Yang Yongtai, he believed that Dai Kan was more suitable to be on his own, and he would be more suitable to be the prime minister in the future.But it doesn't mean that Duan Xun neglected Yang Yongtai.
Because Yang Yongtai also has his abilities.
Looks great, lots of ideas.Leave him alone, he may be indecisive and lack some decisiveness.But if it is placed elsewhere, it is definitely a powerful person.
"Prime Minister, judging from the slogans put forward by the Labor Party, Britain is preparing to ease the tension in the world after the end of the European War. After the European War, relations between Britain and Germany, Britain and the Soviet Union were very bad. But the performance of the Labor Party this time , They hope to ease relations with Germany and the Soviet Union. There are reasons for the UK to balance its diplomacy, but it also has something to do with them not wanting to create tension. These should be related to the current bad economy in the UK.”
"kindness."
Yes.
After the end of the European War, the world situation did not get better because of the end of the European War.On the contrary, relations between many countries are still very tense.The relationship between those allies in the European War has always been bad.
For example, Britain and France have completely different attitudes towards Germany after the defeat, and even quarreled very fiercely because of Germany's problems.France hopes that Germany will completely decline, while the United Kingdom hopes that Germany will have some strength to contain France.
There are also great contradictions between the United States and Britain and France.As a rising industrial power, the United States hopes to change the current world order and the current colonial system.But the current colonial system is to safeguard the interests of Britain and France, how could they listen to the words of the United States.Without breaking the current colonial system, the United States will never be able to become the boss.
Not only did the United States have conflicts with Britain and France, but Japan and the United States also had a bad relationship for the hegemony of the Far East.Even after the end of the European War, Japan and the United States regarded each other as their greatest enemies.
And China and Japan are even fighting each other.
Not to mention, the relationship between Britain, France, the United States and the Soviet Union is even worse.
"Also, Britain is shrinking its sphere of influence."
"Shrinking the sphere of influence?"
"Yes. Prime Minister, although the European War was a victory for the Allied Powers, and Britain and France are still the world's hegemons. But the European War has dealt a great blow to the European powers such as Britain and France, and greatly reduced their strength. Originally, the British military proposed that the war be held in Singapore It is a normal request to build a naval base and a military base. If Britain wants to exert influence in the Far East, it is necessary to build a naval base in Singapore. But the newly appointed Ramsey McDonald refused this request because the British The current strength has been greatly reduced, and the domestic economy is not good. Although the Labor Party is in power for the first time, it may not be able to stay in power for a long time, and it may step down soon. But from their slogans, it can be seen that Britain has really declined. "
Yang Yongtai read a lot.
A lot of problems can be seen.
Several types were analyzed.
"Britain's strength has been greatly reduced. It can only shrink its sphere of influence and dare not expand its influence like before. Since the UK wants to shrink its sphere of influence, it will not show toughness towards us. Of course, the UK does not have enough strength now, and It’s as tough as before. So as long as we show some goodwill with the UK and meet some of the UK’s conditions, I believe the UK will agree to our conditions.”
"kindness."
Duan Xun nodded.
Yang Yongtai's analysis is quite right.
The European War dealt a heavy blow to Britain, and Britain had no choice but to keep shrinking its sphere of influence.Obviously, the Far East is the main area where Britain shrinks its sphere of influence.
Britain is really down.
Although China is not rising strongly at present, it is slowly getting rid of its previous weakness.At this time, as long as Britain does not want to fight China, it will definitely give in on some issues.
"What do you think? If we negotiate with the UK, what steps should we take? Is it a one-off negotiation of all conditions, or is it sequential?"
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