Holy Roman Empire
Page 377
The Russo-Prussian War was the opportunity they were waiting for, and the strategy formulated by Oscar II was: whoever loses will be attacked.
This is the obvious question.If the Pubo Federation loses, the country might be gone, and naturally it cannot stop the actions of the Nordic Federation; if the Russian Empire loses the war, it will not be much better, and the Finnish region will definitely not be able to keep it.
It is also for this reason that the tsarist government is willing to take the Finnish area as collateral.Anyway, if you lose the war, you will not be able to keep Finland in the end. It is better to use it to stabilize the Nordic Federation first.
Francis: "His Excellency the Earl is too modest. With your country's economic strength, a mere 8 million kronor is not a problem at all.
As far as I know, your government's fiscal revenue this year is as high as 3.2 million kroner, and the liquidity in the Stockholm financial market alone exceeds 8.4 million kronor.
Your country's bank is fully capable to undertake this loan. "
8 million kronor is about: 8743 million Aegis, or 4371.5 million pounds.That's a huge amount of money for any country.
Francis proposed this figure, but also has a basis.Although Finland is not small in size, it is a bitter cold land in northern Europe after all, and it is a proper rotten land in this era.
There are many similar rotten Russians, if it is not of high strategic value, the tsarist government will not take it so seriously.
In this era of the strong eating the weak, the European continent is not very peaceful. Small countries have no sense of security at all. Everyone is trying to strengthen themselves as much as possible.
The Nordic Commonwealth is eyeing Finland, and in addition to the factor of nationalism, there is still no better choice.
Carla Valenti shook her head: "Your Excellency Special Envoy, loans need to be considered risky. Your government's financial situation has always been bad, and war may break out with the Commonwealth at any time.
Once the war breaks out, your country's debt repayment ability will definitely go wrong, and you can only rely on collateral to cover it in the end.
The Finnish region is too barren, and the fiscal revenue is only enough to spend.And if there is not enough minerals, it depends on selling wood. How long will it take to recover the cost?
100 years, or 200 years, we can't wait that long. "
It is no accident that they are rejected, and some talks are half-successful, indicating that the Nordic federal government is tempted.
Francis' task is to stabilize the Nordic Federation, not really how much to borrow.If you want to raise funds for the war, you can only find a way from the three countries of Britain, France and Austria. Other countries are too poor.
After the tentative inquiry was fruitless, Francis left, leaving Carla Valenti with a secret headache.
Although the pie that falls from the sky is good, it is also necessary to consider whether it is poisonous or not.The Russians are not easy to deal with. If they want to take advantage of them, they can easily be attacked.
……
In the palace, after receiving this good news, Oscar II's first reaction was not surprise, but shock.
After pondering for a while, Oscar II expressed his doubts: "What if the Russians won the war and finally refused to perform the contract?"
No way, the tsarist government has such a good reputation.If they lose the war, the Russians will definitely honor their contract, because they have neither the money to pay their debts nor the strength to keep Finland.
But winning the war is different. Although most of the tsarist government still has no money to repay its debts, they can't stand it and dare to default!
When the time comes, they will be dumbfounded when the tsar refuses to hand over Finland while refusing to pay the debt.
You can't use force to collect debts, right?
This is just an exclusive method for a strong country to collect debts against a weak country, and it is simply not feasible for a weak country to deal with a strong country.
Foreign Minister Carla Valenti said uncertainly: "Probably not! The Tsarist government is raising money for the war, not only borrowing money from us, but also borrowing money from Austria.
If the Tsarist government were to default..."
Before the words were finished, Count Carla Valenti no longer believed it.Borrowing money from Austria and borrowing money from the Nordic Federation are two completely different concepts.
To get rid of Austria's debt, the tsarist government has to think twice, and must consider the political risks behind it and the possible countermeasures that the Vienna government may take.
The Nordic Commonwealth is different, and it is also a matter of reneging on debts.At least Carla Valenti didn't find out what countermeasures they could use.
Needless to say, the risk of lending money to the tsarist government is simply too great, far exceeding the risk tolerance of the Nordic Federation.
After a long silence, Oscar II said, "Continue talking with the Russians, this is an opportunity no matter what.
We simply cannot refuse to be able to reclaim the Finnish region through economic means. The most important thing now is to reduce the risk.
Now that the Russians have asked for loans, there must be measures to reassure us.For example: a third party provides a loan guarantee.
If the tsarist government can persuade one of Britain, France and Austria to provide a debt performance guarantee, it is not impossible to consider. "
The tsarist government can not care about the credibility, that is their own credibility is not good.The three countries of Britain, France and Austria are different. The economic reputation of the three countries are all leveraged, but they cannot be bought with only 8 million crowns.
……
2 Chapter Twenty
The Tsarist government was in action, and the Berlin government was not idle either.Unlike the Russians who have a solid foundation and enough collateral, the Popo Federation will be much poorer.
Take resources as collateral?
Sorry, the Mineral resources of the Commonwealth of Pow are limited, and the most valuable ones are probably the agricultural products of the Polish region.
It is a pity that the agricultural crisis has not completely passed, and the international agricultural product trading market is still in excess of supply and is worthless at all.
If it's just a price issue, it's not negotiable.Capital seeks profit, and discounts are still negotiable.
The key is that the security cannot be guaranteed. Once the Pubo Federation is defeated, it will all be lost, and the Russians will not recognize these loans.
Resource mortgage is no good, so what about territory, taxation, railways, and ports?
In theory, these things have collateral value, provided the bankers are willing to buy them.
The amount of funds involved is too large, unless the consortium can be persuaded to take over, or even the support of various governments will not work.
No way, no one can be sure that the Popo Federation can win the war.Losing the war, all the promises of the Berlin government were empty promises.
Unlike the Russian Empire, even if the war is lost, the country cannot be destroyed.Now the tsarist government took out the collateral, even if the Commonwealth of Pubo won the war, it would not be able to occupy it.
The Pubo Federation is different. Their family assets are limited, and once they are defeated, they will all lose money.
No one doubts the appetite of the Russians, even if they can't swallow the Popo Federation, they can still use it to pay off their debts.The Vienna government had no interest in Poland, but its ambitions for the Prussian region were well known.
The slogan has been shouted for a long time, and the fake has become the real.Franz's Great Deutscher Plan, which has been shouted for so many years, has long been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.
With the exception of a limited number of people at the top of the government, the rest of the Austrians fought to unify the German regions.
It is impossible for the Berlin government, and it does not dare to take its core territory as collateral.Otherwise, before the Russians came over, the Junkers aristocrats in the country would have made a coup first.
Don't talk to them about the overall situation. If the Junkers aristocrats had the overall concept, the original time and space Germany would not be so tragic.
In the Berlin Palace, William I asked expectantly: "Is there a bank willing to take over?"
The best way for international loans and bond issuance these years is to first secure a bank consortium, and let the banks come forward to settle the government.
As long as the agreement is signed with the bank, it can basically be approved, which can save a lot of political additional conditions.
Foreign Secretary Jeffrey Friedman: "So far, only five banks have expressed interest.
These are all small banks, and if they want to gamble, even if they are negotiated, they will issue bonds worth tens of millions of marks at most.It is far from our expected goal. "
(1 mark is about 0.358 grams of gold)
There will never be a shortage of gamblers in this world. Even if the outside world is generally not optimistic about the Popo Federation, there are still people who dare to take business.
After a moment of silence, William I slowly said, "Contact the Jews! As long as they are willing to issue bonds or provide loans for us, they will support their independent statehood."
William I disliked Jews, but now had to work with them.Because of the anti-Semitic relationship of the tsarist government, the Jewish people in Russia were bloody slaughtered, and the relationship between the two sides was very bad.
The enemy of the enemy is the ally.In this era, Jews have no sense of security. Especially after the outbreak of the anti-Semitic movement in Russia, Jews must fight back for their own safety and let the world see their strength.
In the Russo-Japanese War in the original time and space, the Japanese government was able to support it. In addition to the support of the British, Jewish capital also made great efforts.
Foreign Secretary Jeffrey Friedman: "Your Majesty, this is probably not enough. It is true that Jews are anti-Russian, but Jewish capital is more focused on practical interests.
Only a part of ordinary Jews advocated independence and founding a state, and their own right to speak was not high.Even if they were willing to work with us, they couldn't afford to take on many bonds. "
The voice of the Jewish people for the founding of the country is not high these days. The Jews scattered all over the world are still scattered and not united.
Jewish capital has no concept of a state, and is only loyal to its interests. It has been rejected by European society, and its situation has not been very good.
Most Jewish capitalists are worried about the establishment of a Jewish state, and they will be suspected or even suppressed by the government of the country where they are located, and they have always opposed the establishment of an independent state.
The anti-Semitic movement of the tsarist government really shocked many people.It's a pity that it's useless. Most of the unlucky people are ordinary people. Capitalists rely on the power of capital to receive the news early and run away.
"Hey!"
After sighing, William I said helplessly: "Try it, raise as much money as possible. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs is ready, I want to visit Europe."
The reality is cruel. Even if you don't want to, in order to raise enough war funds, you have to send it to your door to be slaughtered.
……
Prime Minister Mooch: "Your Majesty, I just received the news that at 8:15 this morning, Marshal Albrecht von Rohen passed away."
The house leak happened to rain overnight, and at the moment when the Russian-Prussian war was about to break out, another Optimus Prime of the military fell.
Albrecht von Rohn is the least well-known of the three Prussian heroes, but his contribution to the Kingdom of Prussia is not low at all.
Simply leading the reform of the military system and establishing a powerful Prussian army is enough to leave a mark in history.
Ron held a pivotal position in the Prussian army, acting as a lubricant in the power struggle between the military and the government.After the Russo-Prussian War, the Berlin government was able to achieve a stable excess of power, and he took great credit.
William I said in a deep voice, "Prepare for a national mourning!"
It can be seen that he is in a very bad mood now.As early as two months ago, Ron's was already in bed, and William I was ready.Now that it really happened, he still couldn't accept it.
The anti-strike ability of politicians is strong.William I soon came out of his grief and began to consider the impact of Ron's death.
Balancing the power of the military and the government has never been an easy task.After Ron died, a new replacement had to be found to act as a lubricant.
This person is not easy to choose. He must have enough prestige in the army to convince everyone. At the same time, he must also have sharp political judgment.
William I first thought of Mao Qi, and quickly ruled it out.Mao Qi's prestige in the army is indeed enough, but unfortunately his political vision is really not good.
It is precisely for this reason that Mao Qi was able to become prime minister.If it were replaced by a master with super political ability and influence in the army, William I would not have dared him to be prime minister.
Sovereign power and prime ministerial power also have to compete with each other, and the matter of meritorious power is the same in the East and the West.It is not enough to kill the hero, if the ability of the subordinates is too strong, checks and balances and suppression are indispensable.
After hesitating again and again, William I decided to stabilize first.The Russian-Prussian war was imminent, and the Berlin government could no longer be in trouble, and no matter how big the problem was, it could only be discussed after the war.
He couldn't take care of the sequelae it brought.If you win the war, you need to solve it; if you lose the war, you are all in exile, and it is no use to worry about it.
Chapter 221 Sharing Risks
London is still foggy.Stepping into this fantastic city again, William I was in a very different mood.
The relationship between the British and British royal families is still good. The two sides are in-laws, and the son of William I married Queen Victoria's daughter.
William I's visit was naturally received by the British royal family with a high standard of reception.However, the enthusiasm of the British did not make William I feel any warmth.
No way, there were no high-level officials of the British government in the reception crowd.There is no doubt that the London government did not take his arrival very seriously.
This is a common method used in diplomacy to express political positions and exert pressure, but it is still very effective.
Different from the first Prussian-Russian War, the London government contributed money and efforts, in order to offend the Russians to block the Baltic Sea, laying the foundation for Prussia to win the war.
The Russian Empire, now in decline, could no longer threaten Britain's interests.Instead, there are two new threats from Fao, and it is no longer necessary to continue to suppress Russia.
Perhaps in the eyes of the London government, the Russian-Austrian alliance has broken down.Keeping the Russian Empire to maintain a certain strength can contain part of Austria's power behind it, preventing them from fully investing in the European hegemony, which is conducive to maintaining the balance of the European continent.
The Pope Federation wanted to gain the support of the British in the war. There was no international situation to take advantage of, and it could only speak with interests.
The welcome banquet was held as normal, and the banquet was attended by a group of nobles, and the high-level British government still did not appear.
A Cabinet meeting is taking place in the Downing Street Prime Minister's Residence.It's not that the London government is inefficient, it's mainly that William I came too quickly.
When the Queen does nothing, the British cabinet has a lot of power, and the workload is naturally very large.
The new round of the Prussian-Russian war, the London government does attach great importance to it, but after all, it has not yet started.
War is no child's play. According to normal circumstances, it is normal to drag on for a few months, or a year or two.
Prime Minister Benjamin: "William I has arrived, and the Crown Prince of Russia will arrive next month, and we need to make a choice now.
For the sake of Britain, I hope that you will analyze rationally and obtain the greatest benefit for the Empire. "
The outcome of the Russian-Prussian War this time is not as crucial to the London government as it was the last time.No matter who wins and who loses, the pattern in which the three empires dominate the world will not change.
Eduardo, the foreign secretary: "It is Austria that should be most concerned about this issue now, and the outcome of the Russian-Prussian war will determine who their potential rivals will be in the future.
Prussian confrontation with each other is actually a good choice.Now that the Austrians let the Russian-Prussian war break out, it seems that the Vienna government is not content with the status quo.
In recent years, Austria's strength has grown very rapidly.Especially economically, the performance is particularly prominent.
In addition to military strength, Austria has fully surpassed France.If the French cannot digest the Italian region for a long time, the strength of France and Austria will be out of balance sooner or later. "
Now France and Austria are the enemies of Britain, nothing to do with other powers.France and Austria have the power to threaten the British and are enemies of the London government.
Britain, France and Austria formed an alliance for the common good.There is a covenant that can restrict everyone's behavior, reduce colonial conflicts, and save a lot of military spending.
An alliance is an alliance, and suppression and restrictions are still necessary.Limiting the power of France and Austria has become one of the core strategies of the London government.
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