Super Shenhao Technology System

"This requires users to master a lot of professional knowledge, and the requirements for users will be very high. If you don't have this professional knowledge, you can't take pictures."

"But with the emergence of the point-and-shoot camera, it has extracted the amount of knowledge and transferred it to itself. It automatically adjusts the aperture, shutter, etc. for you. The user only needs to press a button, and a beautiful photo will come out."

"So stupidity is relative to the user, it is convenient, and the more convenient something is, the more convenient it is for the user."

"Furthermore, the phc2.0 of our future technology also has the same effect. From the perspective of the industrial system, the semiconductor industry is very complicated, and the software industry is also very complicated."

"But beyond this system, from the user's point of view, phc is more stupid than pc, users only need to use their hands to play, if they don't understand, just ask the artificial intelligence assistant to tell her what you want to do. "

"Then, isn't it the same in manufacturing?"

"So the development direction of the manufacturing industry, I personally think the accurate name is not smart manufacturing but fool manufacturing."

"Because the word intelligence is vague and ambiguous, it is easy to mislead people. What is intelligence? What is intelligence? It is difficult for you to explain this thing clearly, and it is easy to cause differences and disputes."

The first thousand and 340 chapters Li Linfei's unique speech (4)

"But everyone has no ambiguity about the standard of a fool. Everyone understands that you can easily play with it without using any brains."

"So the general direction of the future development of the manufacturing industry is to assist the rise of the tertiary industry, which incorporates a large number of other emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing, and cloud services."

"Use new technologies outside these industrial systems to replace traditional technologies with backward manufacturing intermediate production capacity on a large scale."

"That is to take out the technology of traditional manufacturing and replace it with these things, so that after making the whole manufacturing industry simple, anyone can easily use industrial manufacturing."

"What do you mean? If you are an ordinary person and you want to build a machine, the requirements are too high in the traditional sense. You need to know how to plan and grind pliers, read pictures, and operate the production line. How can ordinary people Can intervene in these, of course not."

"But in the future, because the manufacturing industry itself will become more and more stupid, and a lot of its internal knowledge will be replaced by other industries, making it highly intelligent and seemingly stupid on the surface."

"Then in this case, the threshold for manufacturing has been lowered. Anyone with a little genius and a small idea can put their ideas through a model like Industry 4.0 very simply."

"It means, let me tell you the data, what kind of accessories I need, and the 4.0 factory will automatically process and manufacture them for you according to your parameters and orders. You don't need to know machine tools or other knowledge in the manufacturing process at all."

"When the production is finished, it will be sent back to you. It has a taste of private customization. This is the development trend of the future manufacturing industry."

"The development trend of such a foolish manufacturing industry makes globalization as we all know it approach an important inflection point, and the trend and undercurrent of globalization are changing."

"Globalization in the traditional sense is basically driven by multinational companies as outsourcing business, but why is it possible to reverse this trend now?"

"That's why these multinational companies are going to re-evaluate and weigh. Before, why did they engage in outsourcing?"

"It is because the labor cost of the country is too high, while the labor cost of foreign countries is very low. Developing countries often pay a few tenths of their own wages, and traditional manufacturing requires a large number of workers, so the proportion of labor is relatively high."

"Manufacturing knowledge in the industrial process is stored in the heads of engineers and workers. Its marketing is done by manpower, and call centers and customer service are all done by people."

"So reducing labor costs can greatly increase its profits and market competitiveness. Industrial manufacturing has such a strong impulse and appeal, which drives it to transfer factories to other countries."

"The process accelerated in the 90s. At that time, the Internet was just born, but there was no big data, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, etc., and there were no such concepts."

"After that, the situation has changed, and various emerging technologies were born, but it should be noted that these emerging technologies are almost all born outside the traditional manufacturing system. A lot of knowledge replacement."

"As a result, the knowledge in traditional industrial manufacturing is constantly being lost. At this time, the manufacturing industry is becoming more and more stupid, and the cost focus of manufacturing is no longer on the human body, so this will also cause multinational companies to naturally re-evaluate global trade. risk allocation problem.”

Many people at the scene were still shocked after listening to it. The opening speech of the conference has continued until now, and the content of Li Linfei's speech has become more and more important in people's hearts.

Take future technology as an example, this is equivalent to using practical actions to correspond to the views he expounded.

With an annual revenue of trillions, among Internet companies known for their high profits, their labor scale should be 3.55, while that of Future Technology is 10. It would be even more exaggerated in the manufacturing field, at least there must be 10,000+ or ​​even hundreds of thousands.

"On the one hand, labor costs in emerging market countries have been rising for more than 20 years. It used to be called labor arbitrage, but now this space has become smaller or almost gone."

"The focus of cost is no longer on the workers, but it will not disappear out of thin air, but shifted. Where did it go?"

"Of course, more and more investment is being made in new technology R&D and knowledge costs. As a result, transnational corporations' books and accounting methods will inevitably change.

At the same time, the costs brought about by other risks are constantly rising, such as geopolitical risks, policy risks brought about by some countries opposing this kind of globalization, exchange rate risks and other risks are gathered together , to far exceed the risk of labor costs.

When it came to this point, many people in the room slandered in their hearts that the so-called certain countries were actually old-fashioned.

That afro is now all over the world, quitting the group, rejecting globalization, and playing his own game wholeheartedly.

Li Linfei's current influence can be said to radiate to the whole world. This kind of name-calling seems to have no IQ, and everyone understands it. After all, he will do business in North America in the future. Such name-calling hurts others It's a bit unreasonable.

"Multinational companies are also worried about the possibility of problems in the process of outsourcing production all over the world, and finally returning to assemble? This possibility certainly exists."

"The Boeing 787 is an example. More than 50% of all outsourcing is provided by global suppliers. I won't go into details here because of limited time. You can find all these."

"So, these all illustrate a problem that deserves attention."

"That is, the thinking of multinational companies, especially multinational giants, may have changed. That is to say, these risks are not estimated by you before. You think that if you go on the road of globalization, industrial subcontracting, and relocation, you can bring you huge profits."

"But later you will find that after the emergence of these risks, the cost has not been reduced, but it has increased. Instead of making money, it has lost money, and it has also damaged the long-established brand reputation."

The first thousand and 340 chapters, the end of the speech

"These two forces are ebb and flow, that is, the ability of a fool's manufacturing industry is getting stronger and stronger, its cost, manufacturing cost is falling, and on the other hand, the cost of integrating overseas production has become higher. The combination will drive multinational corporations and multinational giants to rethink and rebalance the pros and cons.”

"And these people have significant decision-making influence on some developed countries, whether it is foreign policy, or his transnational trade policy, or tariff policy will bring great influence."

"Of course, we cannot jump to the conclusion that the trend of globalization has begun to reverse."

"But we can already clearly see a trend, that is, from the perspective of the general law of manufacturing development, the manufacturing industry itself will become more and more foolish, and the threshold will become lower and lower."

"When everyone can easily use the manufacturing industry, its convenience and cost will evolve towards better and better cost performance."

"In other words, future products will become more and more affordable. This is a general law and trend."

"Then developed countries in the future, especially those with high-end manufacturing, may be more and more inclined to return these industries to their homeland. I think this may be a trend in future development."

"Although we can't make a conclusion yet, it is said that the high-end manufacturing industry has returned, or it has already started."

"But judging from the trend, there are already many signs and symptoms. If the foolish manufacturing in developed countries, German Industry 4.0, and advanced manufacturing in the United States gradually start to operate, it will further reduce the cost of the entire manufacturing industry. It will become more and more powerful."

"At the same time, the surrounding risks, the risks arising from overseas, and the rising costs it brings may be difficult to avoid, such as the labor costs mentioned earlier, the risk of geopolitical conflicts, and the risk of exchange rates."

"Including the risks of product quality from the entire manufacturing industry to the final integration point, these risks will rise."

The participants off the court thought: Risks and opportunities coexist, and I can't bear to let my children not be caught by wolves.

"So these two trends ebb and flow, and the final result may be that one day we will see signs of the return of high-end manufacturing in the US, Europe, and small books.

"The arrival of that day will affect the overall pattern of globalization and its future development trend, and this is no small challenge for global multinational companies and transnational trade."

"When we talk about the manufacturing industry and their development models, such as China's 2025, Germany's 4.0, Laomei's advanced manufacturing, and the development strategy of the manufacturing industry that Xiaobenzi is working on, big countries are competing to manufacture Industry."

"But who can finally stand out from the crowd, I think we have an old saying that makes sense: kung fu is beyond poetry!"

"So when we pursue a strategic breakthrough in the manufacturing industry, the real breakthrough point is no longer within the manufacturing system, but outside the manufacturing system."