I'm Really Not Faye

Chapter 217: True and False Stories

“What do you mean?” Several apprentices in the field asked persistently, “If the information waterfall and the herd effect are the same thing, there is no need to use the same term.”

The “herding effect” they know clearly refers to a common phenomenon in the market behavior of some companies in management, and is used to describe the psychology of economic individuals to follow the crowd.

Herd mentality can easily lead to blind obedience, and it generally appears in highly competitive industries. And there is a leader (the leader) in this industry that takes the main attention, then the entire flock will continue to imitate the leader’s every move, where the leader goes to graze, and where other sheep go to pan for gold.

Whenever a new legendary mage appears in a school, the number of new students of that school in the middle of the next year will automatically rise upward.

“This is the truer school.” Chen Shikun sighed helplessly as he looked at the people who were following Lynch and couldn’t help asking.

Just like the reasoning process in some classrooms, there are often simple deductions such as “obvious” and “easy to see”, while the truer school has the spirit of breaking the casserole to the end, and deeply pursues the points in the teaching materials that the teachers feel are irrelevant. .

“In fact, it’s not a big deal.”

Lynch, who understood the whole logical link, smiled at the corner of his mouth.

“Information waterfall, strictly speaking, should be an art of’rumors’.”

His tone was full of self-confidence and scheming.

Once, when Lynch spoke in front of a large audience, he could not help but tremble slightly, and even his brain would fall into a blank space, but he could quickly control his recovery.

But now in just a few weeks, even if these rely on the memory palace and the time dragon, they have cultivated a strong confidence in him, allowing him to talk to everyone.

Success is the fastest way to develop self-confidence. Even if you are a scumbag, you can quickly develop self-confidence and become a fan of a subject as long as you do the low-grade problems of dimensionality reduction.

“If you’re on the street and you see someone looking up at the sky, you might also watch it together. At this time, the third person passing by will see the movements of the two of you, and you might follow. Eventually, the whole street will meet There was a group of people looking at the wonder of the sky with only white clouds drifting across. In fact, the first person was just a nosebleed.”

“On the rankings of some works, even if the two works are of similar quality, as long as the other is rated by one level higher, then people will tend to give high praises and high scores later.”

Speaking, Lynch’s gaze gradually deepened, staring at the “transformer” who was tied up by the five flowers and only walking with his feet.

“Our judgment will be affected by the judgment of others, even if we don’t know the reason for their judgment.”

“Can you prove it?” Wang Ruoling instantly noticed the problem.

Lynch smiled at the corner of his mouth, “We just assume a hidden information a of 0 or 1, and then everyone is sorted by the queue. Everyone has a private information b that is also 0 or 1, and is independently distributed.”

“If the private information b is consistent with the hidden information a, it is considered correct, and the inconsistency is wrong. The only condition we know now is that the probability of everyone’s private information being correct is p, and the probability is greater than half.”

“Next, in sequence, everyone will write down their guessed 0 or 1 as public information. Everyone can see other people’s public information, but they cannot see that the probability of being correct is greater than the general private information. ”

“So if the public information written by the first two people is 1, how will the third, fourth, and fifth people write it next?”

Listening to Lynch’s slightly slurred remarks, the apprentice below slowly woke up.

“Even if I have 0 in my hand, I will choose to write 1.” Chen Shikun muttered to himself.

“Yes, because I know that everyone’s correct rate is greater than half, so my audience’s point of view is.” Liu Kai also understood.

“As long as the number of people is large enough, everyone will give the same guess?” Wang Ruoling also looked at the shapeshifter sideways.

Lynch nodded, silently spread out the paper on the information waterfall in the Palace of Memory, and set out the specific mathematical proof process according to the text.

“When two people in the queue announce the same guess, the third person will give up own information and choose the first two people. This is not the herd effect and blindly following the trend, but based on probabilistic judgments, so the third person owns private information. It can no longer affect the transmission of information and is completely irrelevant. Therefore, no matter how false the rumors are, only two extras are needed.”

“If the first two people announce different things, then the third person will choose to believe in themselves and become the new information sequence number one, and continue to wait for the formation of an information waterfall.”

This is “The Emperor’s New Clothes”!

To stop, only when the little girl appeared, she looked at the private information 0 of own, and looked at the series of 1s formed, and resolutely announced the private information 0 of the own, that would interrupt the spread of the entire sequence.

“Student Lin Qi, do you mean that the information waterfall is a model of rumors?” Guo Sifei in the corner of the station was excited, and he seemed to have grasped the key points.

Lynch smiled, having to say that the three people left behind by the ancestors who became tigers did make some sense.

“That’s not right, then it’s impossible for the rumors to be refuted.” Another apprentice asked rhetorically.

Lynch shook his head, “Our model is based on the fact that the accuracy rate is equal and greater than the average. This is also the key to the success of future generations. This is a strong criterion. Real rumors do not satisfy this point.”

Lynch slowly stretched out his hand and pointed at the apprentices next to the Shapeshifter.

“If someone firmly believes that the 100% accuracy of the private information in his hand is the ultimate truth, then he will also break the sequence of 1 and tell everyone the fact of 0.”

“If you take away You Silui, you can stay and sign and we can reach a certain underground tomorrow. There is no need to leave a shapeshifter to pretend to be a corpse.”

“Even the deformation ability of the Shapeshifter itself is enough to turn into You Silui’s appearance, there is no need to pretend to be the appearance of peeling off the skin.”

The apprentices who thought something was wrong, their eyes widened, and they looked at each other suspiciously.

“this?”

“Is it possible?”

“Yes.” Lynch said loudly, “According to Occam’s Razor Law, if it is not necessary, don’t add entities. Transfiguration is an example of 0 and 1 for the information criterion. The first apprentice who proposed the story gave a guess 1 , The second apprentice who should agree also gave Guess 1.”

“Naturally, all of us, in front of the corpse of You Silui who has skinned in front of us, will imagine this terrifying legend and connect it in series.”

Suddenly several people couldn’t help but yelled, “Why is this?”

Standing on the side, Wang Ruoling also looked indifferent, “It means that the other party deliberately rooted the story of’Faceless Senior Sister’ in our hearts!”

“So it is very likely that the apprentices who have spoken out to prove the existence of the story are also Shapeshifters!”

Suddenly, a terrifying sense of suspicion and fear exploded among the many apprentices.

They completed the group early last night, so for the target candidates who spoke out, the members of the group instantly recognized them.

Along with their identification, the apprentice crowd put in the rippling water ripples, constantly regrouping and condensing into a new circle.

Everyone was shocked to realize that the people who should have been with the “Story” had got together last night, and they were tightly surrounded by the shapeshifter who had been tied up by the Big Five Flowers.

Gradually, their skin looked like a melting candle, and the outer skin was removed to reveal the original shape of the deformed monster, and their whole body was pale and ugly.

“You guessed our strangeness from a little bit of inconsistency, guessed that we deliberately rooted this story, and the apprentice mage did this. If you become an official first-level mage, how terrible it will be. ?”

The headed Transfiguration sighed with emotion, and with a light stroke, immediately unhooked the rope that was bound on his body that was tied up last night and fell down.

“What kind of spell is this?” Seeing this scene, the young apprentice in the inner circle couldn’t help taking a few steps back, chilling in his heart.

After the apprentices went deep into the misty forest according to the established plan, their first destination was the Falling Creek Canyon in front. At this moment, they were still in the woodland surrounded by towering giant trees, not an open field, and it was difficult to launch a large-scale charge.

“I’m mainly curious, why did you do this?” Lynch asked rhetorically, “What is the reason for this story?”

“Because these are the prerequisites of spells.”

The shapeshifter headed laughed sharply.

“Believing is the most basic criterion of Illusion Art.”