Great Power Technology

On March 18, 20xx, the engine ground test countdown was 64 hours.

On the other side of the sea, an emergency enlarged meeting was being held. In addition to everyone from the Strategic Analysis Office, there were also many experts and scholars in related fields who were also invited to participate.

Their meeting this time had only one topic, which was to analyze the latest decrypted project information of the Huaxia Sedan Project Team, formulate response strategies, and prepare for the upcoming negotiations on the Nantianmen Project.

The first person to speak was a scholar named Jenny in the expert group. He is over 60 years old and is a veteran expert in the field of aviation development. He is outstanding both in technology and overall vision. .

"Well, everyone is already aware of the situation. The other party's sedan project team has disclosed their latest progress."

"According to public information, they have completed the first phase goal of the Nantianmen project and the sedan project, which is to successfully trial-produce the first commercial aviation engine with a large bypass ratio."

"Currently, we don't know anything about the parameters and performance of this engine. However, based on the law of technological progress and the other party's inherent technical foundation, I have some judgments as follows."

After saying a few words, Jenny picked up the coffee cup and took a sip, then continued:

"First of all, I think the other party's engine is not a superficial project, but a mature industrial product that can actually be used and has even reached mass production. There is no doubt about this."

"I think everyone here may say that it is impossible to create a mature large bypass ratio engine in such a short period of time based on the technical strength of the other party, but what I want to tell you is that our intelligence system It is basically ineffective against China, so we don’t know how many bullets are loaded in the guns they hide in their pockets without showing anyone.”

"We should look at the most serious case scenario and assume that what they had in their pocket was a large-caliber Colt pistol loaded with six rounds of ammunition."

"Only in this way can we respond to unexpected situations that may occur later with the highest vigilance."

"Do you have any different opinions on this point of view?"

Jenny looked around, and just as he expected, no one in the entire venue shook their heads, which made him feel a little relieved.

In recent years, although our country's vigilance towards each other has been greatly improved, its technical contempt for them has never changed. Domestic scientific researchers always think that they still have the most advanced technology in the world. control the entire technology, but they never thought that this situation had quietly changed a long time ago.

But now, under the impact of the opponent's advanced technology several times, this situation has changed to a certain extent.

This is a good thing.

Only by recognizing your own problems can you continue to move forward.

After a moment, he continued:

"The above is my first inference. This inference is based on the non-technical level. What I will talk about next will be the technical level judgment."

"Currently, the other party has several main bottlenecks in the field of aero-engines. These bottlenecks are: materials, processing processes and techniques, assembly technology and simulation technology."

"As a scholar, from my technical experience, the most likely breakthroughs in these bottlenecks are materials and simulation technology. Breakthroughs in these two aspects will also greatly enhance their capabilities in the aerospace development field. technical level.”

"As we all know, the other party currently has a disclosed CJ-1000AX large bypass ratio engine project, and its target thrust is 25 tons."

"Then, after superimposing the impact of technological breakthroughs, I think the engine thrust of the other party's project should be between 30 and 50 tons, and the maximum will not exceed 50 tons."

"This is my judgment based on the objective laws of technological development. Although this thrust does not seem advanced, I would also like to remind everyone that our most advanced GE-9X commercial aeroengine has a peak thrust of only 80 tons. "

"It only took us ten years to break through from 40 tons to 80 tons."

"This means that the gap between the opponent's aviation technology and ours has narrowed from 30 years to 10 years, and the actual time they spent was actually less than 5 years."

"So, based on the above two judgments, my suggestion is that we should actively cooperate with each other within a limited scope and not mind the gains and losses in a short period of time."

"As long as we can reach cooperation, it means that we can at least develop in step with each other and keep the gap of the last ten years from shortening."

"This is my suggestion. Do you have any objections?"

Jenny looked around again, and this time, a hand was raised.

It's Eisen, the current head of the Strategic Analysis Office.

After confirming that he could speak, Eisen said in a low voice:

"Mr. Jenny, I respect and believe in your professionalism, but from my intuition, you may have underestimated the other party this time."

"Do you remember our failure last time on the chip? At that time, we also believed that the other party's technology would not be too far ahead. But what happened in the end? What they came up with was 3nm technology, and we were eliminated because of lack of preparation. The opponent was caught off guard.”

"We have lost so much market in chips, are we going to make the same mistake again?"

After listening to his words, Jenny sighed.

This Aisen was probably frightened by the other party.

He was still too young. After experiencing one or two failures, his mentality had changed, and he even started talking about so-called intuition in such important meetings.

This is definitely not what a decision-maker should do.

Thinking of this, Jenny said:

"Eisen, I understand your concerns, but I also want to remind you that aero engines and chips are completely different. The latter may also produce major development progress due to intensive technological breakthroughs for a period of time, but in aero engines Realm, absolutely impossible.”

"Like I said, they may have made a breakthrough in one aspect, but what about other aspects? Turbofan blade design, thermal insulation TBC coating, structural strength design, assembly process, and even tolerance control, thermal component design, These require extensive experience and technical accumulation to achieve.”

"Even if I hand them a blueprint now, do you think they can copy the engine? It's impossible."

"They have to have hot and cold dual-state diagrams, manufacturing documents, material distribution documents, and fan blade construction models. In short, there are too many indicators that affect the performance of an engine. I don't believe they can make a breakthrough at once."

“So, I still stick to my point of view, that is, the other party may have made great progress, but this progress will not reach the level that can affect our dominance, so we cannot presuppose too much for subsequent negotiations. resources and conditions.”

"Like I said, we can imagine that the other person has a loaded Colt revolver in his pocket, but we can't imagine that he has an M416 assault rifle in his pocket, because there is no pocket that can fit it. For rifles, this is an objective law.”

After listening to Jenny's words, Aisen shook his head again.

He wanted to say something to refute, but he couldn't find any evidence for a while, so he finally had to say reluctantly:

"Perhaps, they can not only take out pistols and rifles from their pockets, but even anti-tank missiles?"

As soon as these words were spoken, everyone in the venue laughed.

No one really listened to his advice. In the eyes of these people, he was like a fool who was worried that the stars would fall and that the ocean would roll back.

Eisen sighed and fell silent again.

He no longer has the spirit to argue with reason.

What he could say, he had already said in those few sentences just now.

Since no one listened, he had no other choice.

However, in his heart, he still firmly believed that the pockets of these rabbits were definitely not just revolvers.