Doomsday Paradise

Chapter 1291 There is only one piece of meat away from victory
After a few seconds of silence on the beach, Senping leaned over to Green and whispered a few words in Green's ear, and the pregnant woman spoke. "...I have to make a decision right now, or can I think about it first?"

Judging from everyone's expressions, it seems that except for Ji Shanqing, no one thinks this problem is a big deal-who should think about it?However, when Lin Sanjiu glanced at the gift bag again, he found that he smiled bitterly and whispered, "Oh, this is not good".

"You can think about it first," the chef bent down to take the meat, a round buttocks bulged behind the grill, and a voice came from below: "I'll start grilling first, you can say it when you think about it, and put it on the plate But you can't throw it away."

As soon as the chef said this, he helped Mori Ping complete his alliance almost instantly.

Everyone was not stupid, and they all figured out the meaning of Green's question without Mori Ping's further explanation—even Mr. Ito scolded "Asshole!".

The chef stated that one cannot get two "slices" of roast in a row; what he said is not that one cannot get two "pieces" of roast in a row.Although there is only one word difference, the meaning is very different.

Fatty Li Xing and Ge were in the last test, because two people stood on the sign at the same time, the whole round was invalidated, so one of them can continue to win the next round of barbecue.But if there is only one person standing on the sign, this round is not invalid because it conforms to the rules; but if Green decides to throw away the barbecue when he is about to get his hands, this unlucky person cannot continue to stay on the sign. Waiting for the next piece of meat.

Thinking about it this way, is it possible that Green will throw the meat of his allies?

"I join,"

The young woman who had been silent all this time suddenly yelled and walked quickly towards Sen Ping and the others.She looks about 30 years old, wearing ordinary short-sleeved and jeans, but it always makes people feel that she should add an apron; among the various women in the end of the world, it is rare to see such a woman—— —It seems that if she doesn’t hold a child by her side, or hold a spoon in her hand, she feels that she is missing something, and she always looks absent-minded and counts the days.

"There are still two people left," Sen Ping shouted, turning his eyes around Lin Sanjiu and the others.

Mr. Ito lived as if he had just swallowed a bag of roundworms, turning around in place, his forehead was covered with sweat.He obviously hoped that he could join the dominant side, but he was woken up by the gift package just now. At this time, it was like a thirsty person looking at the sea, anxious but helpless.

"Count me in too." Crane shouted immediately.

"Okay, how about you?" Senping shouted to the small group at this end.

The boy faltered for a while, and only waved his hands.Ji Shanqing looked around, but didn't answer, but suddenly found a silent person standing not far from the beach—"Eh? Why, why don't you go over?"

Villa owner No. 11, that is, the man with a gray complexion as if smeared with lead ash, stood like a ghost in the night, and he could be missed by a glance when he was not paying attention.

"I won't go," he seemed to want to smile, but before the smile reached his skin, his cheeks sagged again before they puffed up. "I see, you don't want to go either?"

Mori Ping himself didn't seem to expect that his allies were so short of one person.But he still looked as calm as before, just nodded and looked away; but the other six people kept looking at Lin Sanjiu and the others one after another.

The tall Ge didn't waste time, as soon as the little fat man left, he quickly stepped on the yellow sign.Under Mori Ping's command, the other five people quickly set up a human wall near the yellow sign, just in time to prevent the other four villa owners with a humanoid object.Their intentions were already very clear: until they got together four pieces of meat, the rest of the people would not even think about taking a step closer to the yellow sign.

"What should we do?" The boy was a little panicked, and couldn't help walking a few steps, "How can we get the barbecue now?"

Ji Shanqing was not in a hurry at all.He even took Lin Sanjiu and sat down in a seat where he could see everyone clearly—and asked the chef if he had any beer, as if he was entering a theater to watch a play—the other three villa owners followed suit. After following them, for a while, two opposing camps, one big and one small, seemed to form on the beach.

"He knows how to win," Ji Shanqing said slowly, "Let's see how he makes everyone get the same barbecue and learn."

"It's ready," the chef happened to pick up a leg of lamb at this moment and raised it to his head: "Here you are!"

Although Ge's expression could not be seen clearly, everyone could see the plate in his hand.Last time he got the leg of lamb and beef ribs, and this time he got another leg of lamb; when he turned around, he almost burst out with excitement, and stretched out a hand from mid-air , patted Senping on the shoulder and said: "There is yours!"

"He really knows!" Mr. Ito straightened his back, "Two people in a row have got two pieces of meat!"

Ji Shanqing glanced at him expressionlessly—Mr. Ito immediately asked: "Then tell me, how do you explain this?"

"That's a long story." Li Bao just leaned against his sister and muttered.

With Lin Sanjiu's glance just now, she felt that Sen Ping didn't expect that Ge could get together two legs of lamb—but the surprise disappeared from Sen Ping's face in just a flash, and he turned around. The head told Li Xing, "Eat your leg of lamb."

"Eh? What if it's leg of lamb next time..."

Mori Ping showed no signs of impatience, and just explained: "Then you have gathered two chicken sausages and two lamb legs, a total of four roast meats, and you can't get a fifth piece. So no matter what, you have to dismantle them." Lost a pair, and now I have a leg of lamb, what is the loss?"

Li Xing said "Oh", picked up the lamb leg and gnawed it.

Ji Shanqing straightened up slightly, pointed at the other side's camp and smiled: "The tall ones also bring one with each other, and Li Xing also brings one with each other. Tell me, why doesn't Sen Ping let the tall ones eat the beef ribs that have been ordered? Instead, let Li Xing eat the leg of lamb that was ordered?"

He didn't hide his words, and his voice was clearly transmitted to the ears of the opposing camp, causing several people to look back.The dark-skinned woman thought about it for a while, and then responded from a distance: "...Then what do you think is the reason?"

The chef just took out another piece of meat from the bag and put it on the rack, as if he didn't care what they were talking about, but Senping looked here, wondering what he was thinking about.

"I can guess what he wants to do."

But when it was time to explain, Ji Shanqing lowered his voice, and only spoke next to Lin Sanjiu's ear—even the gray-faced, young man, and Ito had to squat down and put his ear to the back of their heads , I heard a rough idea.

"Currently, the same piece of barbecue has never happened three or four times in a row, right? In fact, if you include the invalid one, so far everyone has taken a total of 26 barbecues, and only two barbecues are the same as the last time. There are also only two times, a certain piece of barbecue jumped in the middle, and then appeared again after a piece of other meat, such as the sheep, chicken, and sheep just now... These two situations each accounted for [-] points of the overall figure The ratio is one to one. Other than that, four kinds of barbecue are arranged in turn."

Except for Lin Sanjiu, the others all had a bit of surprise on their faces.The gray-faced man even asked back: "Don't tell me...do you remember every time you baked meat so far?"

Ji Shanqing didn't even answer—as if he took it for granted.

He said lightly: "So after scrapping a leg of lamb just now, Sen Ping's mental activities are very clear. He thinks that the probability of leg of lamb will decrease in the next few times. The frequency of occurrence is only once. For him, it is lower than the probability of two barbecues appearing in a row, so he did not take this situation into consideration. In the first round after the leg of lamb was scrapped, it did not appear Leg of lamb, but chicken sausage, right?"

"But Ge just got a leg of lamb..." the boy said hesitantly.

"Listen to me."

If it were a smart person, Ji Shanqing would not need to go on if he opened his mouth; it's a pity that including his sister, these people need him to break up the words and talk about them in detail. "It was an accident that Ge got the leg of lamb, because it was the second time in 26 times that the lamb, chicken, and lamb appeared every other time. But in this way, it is more guaranteed that in the next two times at least, The probability of leg of lamb is even lower. In the last two rounds, chicken sausage and leg of lamb appeared respectively, so now the probability of chicken sausage and leg of lamb appearing again is about 7%, and the probability of beef rib and skewered meat appearing again is 43% %about."

When he said this, he swept away.

At this moment, Mori Ping was standing in the middle of the group of people, whispering to each other for a while, as if he hadn't decided whose turn it was next.

"So you see," Ji Shanqing nodded, "he's going to do it by himself in the next round."

Almost as if following his instructions, Mori Ping pressed his hands vigorously into the air a few times, seemed to have finally suppressed the whispers of the crowd, and then walked onto the yellow sign by himself.

Li Xing, the little fat man, was still gnawing on the leg of lamb. Seeing that the bone was gradually exposed, he was about to eat up half a piece of meat; root skewers.

Even in Senping's camp, there was a small uproar, with surprise and excitement-this time, he got together three pieces of the same barbecue, and he was only one piece away from the safe end.

"Are we just watching them win like this?" Mr. Ito became anxious, and his voice was a little shrill: "He even guessed the odds of what he won, I think he really knows, but we don't seem to be counting yet !"

"Next, he will ask Kelan or the housewife who doesn't talk much to go up, because the chances of beef ribs appearing are now the highest. Both of them can touch beef ribs as a pair." Ji Shanqing said without hearing, "He's experimenting now to see if his guess is right, and if the next guy does get the prime rib, then he has a system for dealing with grilling."

Lin Sanjiu stretched her neck, feeling a little worried.Even the gift package said that beef ribs have the highest probability of appearing...

Sure enough, Crane was the next person to walk up to the yellow plate sign with a plate.

Seeing that this piece of meat was about to be cooked, Li Xing swallowed the last bite of lamb leg, wiped the oil from his mouth and said, "I'm done eating."

"Coincidentally, I finished roasting too," the chef picked up the roast meat, and it turned out to be a piece of beef ribs.

Amid the cheers from everyone in the Senping camp, he put the beef ribs on Kelan's plate with a smile, and said, "The effect he inspired just now is that you must eat the piece of roast meat you got right away."

Crane's smile, which had just risen, froze immediately.He originally had a cow and a sheep on his plate, and now he just got the beef ribs, but he didn't expect to eat it right away--he ended up with two orders.

"It doesn't matter," Mori Ping immediately comforted, "We already know how to order and get the meat. Occasionally, an unexpected situation will not affect the next plan."

Lin Sanjiu felt that what he said was very reasonable—she turned her head and asked, "Hasn't he already studied the probability of barbecues appearing? Even you admit that his method is reasonable."

"I didn't say his method was reasonable." Ji Shanqing pouted immediately, and said a little aggrieved: "I just said that the probability of certain barbecues appearing just now is the same as what he thought."

Isn't it the same?
Lin Sanjiu was a little confused by him, thought for a few seconds, and asked: "...Is his calculation method wrong?"

"No." Ji Shanqing smiled, stretched out his hand to grab a handful of sand on the ground, slowly clenched and loosened it in his hand, and let the sand fall from his fingers in clusters. "His guess so far can only be regarded as his luck. The data sample of 28 times is too small, and the summarized rules are not universal at all, which shows that he has not understood the real rules of beach barbecue at all."

"Did you see it?" Ito asked immediately.

Ji Shanqing nodded.He looked at the chef's expression, and suddenly said with a smile: "Give them a few more rounds, and we should break up this alliance."

　This chapter has been counted and counted repeatedly, and it feels (as if) (almost) (probably) right. Looking at the time, it has been so long...

　
(End of this chapter)