Paranormal Investigation Notes

Chapter 186 Decision-Making Ideas
At this moment, Lu Ming deeply realized that under the current circumstances, whether he can find and arrest the doomsday organization is actually meaningless.

Whether the doomsday organization exists or not has little to do with the entire human civilization.The greatest significance of finding and arresting the doomsday organization is to confirm the authenticity of the doomsday prophecy, and use this to determine what kind of countermeasures the human world will take next.

But now, through these peripheral evidences, the veracity of the doomsday prophecy has basically been confirmed.Now that it has been confirmed, it doesn't matter whether people from the Doomsday Organization are arrested or not.

At this moment, the minds of several people were all removed from the doomsday organization and put on the doomsday prophecy.

At this moment, the atmosphere in the video conference room was as heavy as mercury.

Lu Ming sighed quietly and left his seat.

He came to the window of the hotel where he was staying.He opened the curtains and looked out the window.

It is night now.

This is a small city with no name.But even in a small city, the world outside the window is still flashing with neon lights, bright lights, and busy traffic.Open the window, even if you are at a height of dozens of floors, the noise from the surface world still pours in like a tide.

This powerful and prosperous human world, these hundreds of millions of ordinary people, this stable and peaceful world...is it really going to be destroyed?
Lu Ming clenched his fist tightly for a long time, and then slowly let go.

This is not something he can interfere with or even resolve.Not only him, even the entire operation department, the entire planetary security agency, and the entire human world are powerless to do anything about it.

It can only be arranged by fate.

Behind him, in the video conference room, Zhang Dingshan's voice came out.

"Anyway, let's report the latest progress to Director Li first."

He picked up his cell phone and dialed Li Wenhua's number.

"Director Li, there have been some new developments in the prophecy case. I think it is necessary to report to you."

He described his recent discoveries in detail.Then, on the other side of the microphone, Li Wenhua was also silent.

If the last time I received a report, the doomsday prophecy described in it could make my attention level 1, then at this moment, the level of my attention is 100.

The development of the matter made the situation worse and worse.

At this moment, even though he was well-informed and experienced countless strange and mysterious events, he felt that he was not real enough.

He always felt that Zhang Dingshan was joking with himself, and he always felt that the next moment, Zhang Dingshan on the other side of the microphone would laugh out loud, and then said to himself, I frightened you.

But rationally, this is impossible.

Zhang Dingshan is not a person who likes to joke.He didn't dare to joke with himself.

After a long time, he said in a deep voice, "Give me all the case information."

"Yes."

A document was quickly sent over.

"Received. Wait for the next notification."

"Yes."

After hanging up the phone, he immediately downloaded the case information, started from the beginning, and checked it carefully.

He is carefully analyzing every progress and turning point of the case, figuring out every train of thought in studying the progress of the case, studying and judging every logical connection, trying to find any flaws in it, so as to overthrow the astonishing surprise that Zhang Dingshan brought to him. in conclusion.

He knew in his heart that when it came to such a major event, the members of the second action team must be cautious enough.It is unlikely that there are any mistakes in this dossier.But he still wanted to give it a try.

So he was disappointed as expected.

There are no holes and loopholes.With the in-depth investigation of the second action team, at the current stage, it is natural and inevitable to come to this conclusion.

He sighed, and sent the dossier to the Operations Information and Support Team.

"Maybe I was negligent? One person's vision is always limited, and the analysis of a whole team can be comprehensive."

Two hours later, the head of the information analysis and intelligence support team sent a message.

"There are no loopholes in the dossier of the second operation team."

He shook his head, and the last trace of luck in his heart disappeared.Then, he also dialed a number.

"There is an emergency that needs to be reported immediately."

……

This night, Li Wenhua did not leave the office, not even his desk.He waited until late at night without falling asleep.It wasn't until he was extremely sleepy that he lay down on the table and fell asleep for a while.

That way, when a call comes, he can pick it up right away.

The call came around five in the morning, before dawn.When the phone rang for the first time, he got up immediately.When the phone rang for the second time, the last bit of sleepiness in his head completely dissipated.

He regained his sanity.

Picking up the phone, a dignified voice entered his ears.

"Currently, there are two options available to decision-makers.

One, limited mobilization.Among the possible safe areas of 600 million square kilometers calculated by your operation department in the previous simulation, select the best among the best, and select 1 places with better geological conditions, and carry out material reserves and limited supplies in these 1 places. personnel reserves.

Second, mobilize more vigorously.The world government will mobilize more than 1 million people, and also build underground bases among the 300 places selected in the first plan.Due to limited time, the underground base cannot be too large, but it can still meet the needs of earthquake resistance, seed storage, energy and food storage, fresh water storage, and personnel storage of no more than [-] people.

I'm here to ask for your opinion on behalf of the policymakers.Do you have any suggestions for these two solutions? "

Li Wenhua was silent for a moment, then said: "I think this question should probably be consulted with the team of scientists."

On the other side of the microphone, the man said: "This kind of thing, from a certain point of view, is not scientific."

An event that can be called unscientific, if you ask the team of scientists, what will be the result?
You must know that even up to now, the Asteroid Early Warning Center, as well as many other astronomical telescope bases that have also been assigned to the near-Earth asteroid search team recently, have failed to discover the existence of asteroids that are really enough to threaten the earth.

Science is a rigorous discipline.Scientists will only make judgments based on currently available data and theories.If no asteroids are found to threaten the earth, their suggestion must be to treat the doomsday prophecy as a rumor.Do not react to it.

Therefore, their opinions can only be adopted on a scientific level.In the final decision-making stage, we should consider the overall situation and consider more opinions.

Li Wenhua thought about these two plans carefully, and did not speak for a long time.

"You have a day to think."

After hanging up the phone, Li Wenhua was in a daze.

The doomsday prophecy first broke out at the Operation Department.It is also normal for decision-makers to ask for opinions from the Operations Department.

Then... It's normal to ask the second action team for their opinions.

After all, this was the first thing they discovered and told themselves.

They have participated in the whole incident and know the whole details of the case best.The judgments they make have the most reference value.

He picked up the phone.

After that, in a certain hotel, tossing and turning in the middle of the night, Lu Ming, who had just fallen into a deep sleep, was awakened by a sudden ringing of the phone.After connecting, Zhang Dingshan's dignified voice came out.

"Enter the video conference room immediately."

"Yes."

After wiping his face, he recovered a little sobriety, before he even had time to brush his teeth, Lu Ming quickly sat down in front of the computer.

Zhang Dingshan and He Wei were already waiting inside.Lu Ming was the third to enter.Half a minute later, Lu Qingliang's figure also appeared in it.

People are already here.

"Director Li has already reported this matter. The decision-makers are asking for his opinion. However, Director Li believes that it is most appropriate for our second team to make a judgment on this matter."

Zhang Dingshan recounted the incident in detail.

Hearing the two proposals from the decision-makers of the world government, everyone felt extremely solemn.

"Everyone can discuss, what kind of judgment should be given to Li Chu?"

There was a long silence in the video conference room.

Everyone knows in their hearts that every decision made by the decision-makers must take into account all aspects of opinions and suggestions, and maximize the overall risks and benefits.This is an extremely complex process.

It is impossible to make a major decision based on the advice of one source alone.

Just like now, the decision-makers must also consider all aspects, not only the tolerance of the human world, but also the scientific and technological capabilities and engineering capabilities of the human world, not only the consequences of the doomsday prediction being false, but also To the consequences of its being true, and so on and so on.

but……

Suggestions and judgments from the second action team are almost certain to occupy a considerable weight in this set of decision-making mechanisms.That is to say, the judgment of the four of us at this moment can greatly affect the final decision of the decision-making layer, and indirectly affect the future fate of the human world.

This burden is not without weight.

After a long silence, Lu Qingliang opened his mouth.

"I don't think I have the ability to make judgments on such a major issue. I abstain. No matter what decisions and judgments the three of you make, I support them."

He Wei sighed, and shook her head: "My mind is in a mess now, and I can't make a clear judgment. I also abstain."

Then, only Zhang Dingshan and Lu Ming were left.

Zhang Dingshan lowered his eyelids, tapping his fingers on the table unconsciously.After a long time, he also said: "I also abstain. Lu Ming, you can make this judgment on behalf of our second action team."

Lu Ming was silent.

"Lu Ming, no matter what kind of judgment you make, it will be the collective judgment of our second operation team. At the same time, Director Li also told me that no matter what judgment our second operation team makes, it will also be the collective judgment of the entire operation department. , the collective judgment of the entire planetary security agency."

The pressure Lu Ming felt was even heavier.

He never thought that there would be such a day when his own judgment would actually occupy a major weight in the decision-making of the decision-making layer, and could affect the fate of the entire human world and the future direction of all mankind.

A slight mistake in judgment may result in the death of tens of millions of people, or the loss of untold wealth and resources, and the waste of efforts of hundreds of millions of people.

In essence, to some extent, I am deciding how to write the history books in the future—if there is still human civilization in the future.

He felt a little out of breath.

But he knew that this was his inescapable responsibility.

The decision-making layer asks the opinion of the operation department, the operation department asks the opinion of the second operation team, the second operation team asks its own opinion, and the pressure is finally on itself layer by layer. This is normal, and it can even be said to be inevitable.

Because I was in the second action team, and I played such a role.

I have the obligation, and at the same time, I am most likely to be able to make the final judgment on this issue.

He shook his slightly dizzy head and murmured, "I thought the decision-makers would either not do it or do it."

Either completely disbelieve in doomsday prophecies and do nothing.

In this way, the human world will not be affected at all before the end, and the greatest benefits will be won.

If the doomsday is coming, you are willing to gamble and admit defeat, and there is no way to perish in the end.

Either completely believe in doomsday prophecies, mobilize the power of nearly [-] billion people in the world, and devote all resources to the cause of the continuation of human civilization.

In this case, if the end does not come, the world will be in chaos for a while.If it comes, it can maintain the greatest probability of continuing human civilization.

As a result, the final choice of the decision-makers turned out to be what it is now.

Zhang Dingshan shook his head: "Only gamblers will bet all their chips on one possibility. A group must bet on multiple parties and take into account various possibilities. In the human world, the world government can accept a certain degree of Waste and loss, even if such waste and loss are inevitable, cannot accept total loss even if there is only a small probability."

If the world government were a human being, his strategy would be like this.

If he has a total of 100 yuan in his hand, then he can accept 20% losing 30 yuan, or even 50 yuan, [-] yuan.

But he couldn't accept the possibility of throwing away all 10 yuan even if there was only a 100% probability.

Because even if you lose 20 yuan, 30 yuan, or 50 yuan, as long as you have money left in your hand, you can always make up for the lost money.But if all 100 yuan is lost, it will be completely finished, and there will be no chance of turning over.

The decision-making idea of ​​the world government is, in any case, no matter what the future situation is, it must ensure that all the 100 yuan cannot be lost, and it must retain the hope of turning around in the future.

A larger degree of mobilization and a smaller degree of mobilization are the concrete manifestations of this decision-making thinking.

The only difference lies in which strategy to adopt can best take into account two different futures and minimize losses to the greatest extent.

Lu Ming said silently, "I understand."

"You have one day for thinking. Within one day, be sure to make a final judgment."

"Yes."

　Trembling for subscription and ticket support. . .

　
(End of this chapter)