I really just want to be a scholar

Chapter 912 The rainy day comes as expected
Winter turns to spring, and in the blink of an eye, a sound of spring thunder wakes up the dream of waking up from sleep, and also pushes the pace of time into March.

A new spring has arrived.

The continuous spring rain brought humid air, and re-embellished the Qingmu University campus with verdant green. The trees on both sides of the school road had long awakened from their winter slumber, stretching out their branches and leaves, and even the grass in the lawn was working hard. With buds.

On March 3, Arbor Day, the rain and fog dissipated, and the bright sunshine filled the earth. The light came in from the window, giving the office in the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory Building a somewhat lazy and leisurely atmosphere.

But in the office, Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun's expressions were anything but relaxed, and even a bit solemn.

They looked at the several reports in their hands and frowned.

Now basically all the staff in the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory of Qingmu University are involved in the national analysis and deduction of the causes of extreme climate. More than 800 highly creative and motivated scientific research elites under the age of 35 selected from across the country have joined forces, and NS Such a killer weapon as the general solution to equations has greatly accelerated the research progress on this topic.

In particular, Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun often guide them in mathematical analysis and modeling, and improve extreme climate theories, which makes the overall strength of the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory in climate research soar.

Although no new breakthroughs have been made in cause analysis due to the quality of climate data provided by the Xiaguo Meteorological Center, the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory is well-deserved to be the world's best in predicting the future of extreme climate, at least even with Europe, which has always been the leader. The scientific research team of the Meteorological Center has to come here frequently to "get advice".

The report in front of Qin Ke and his two colleagues at this moment is the prediction results of extreme climate in the past six months based on the collective efforts of the team.

The report states that starting from June this year, Xia will enter a period of extreme high temperature and drought at an extremely fast speed, lasting about 6 days.This is to be expected. Last year's first-generation extreme climate data analysis and prediction model was specially optimized for parameters related to high temperature and drought, and the accuracy rate has reached more than 95%.

In order to avoid the problem of failing to accurately predict continuous rainfall like last April, from the end of last year to March this year, Qin Ke and his team have been leading the team of the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory to add rainfall influencing factors and optimize A large model for climate data analysis and prediction was upgraded to "v2.0" in early March this year.

The reports now in Qin Ke's hands were generated by the "Xiaguo Extreme Climate Data Analysis and Prediction Large Model v2.0 (Four-Factor Warning Version of High Temperature, Severe Cold, Drought, and Heavy Rain)".

The forecast results of the report show that starting from early April this year, Xia State will usher in an extremely severe "spring flood" phenomenon. Most provinces across the country, especially most areas in the north, will experience warmer spring weather, melting ice and snow, and superimposed abnormal floods from Siberia. The chaotic alternation of warm and cold airflow caused by the cold wave moving southward will cause rainfall that will last for about a month, and some areas may even experience super heavy rain disasters. By then, more than 4% of the country's regions will face the threat of floods.

This is much more serious than the spring rain that lasted for nearly a month in April last year. At least it only almost caused floods at that time, but this time there is a very high probability of widespread floods.

Ning Qingyun said worriedly: "The climate is changing more and more extreme. The switch from flood to drought only takes about a month."

"Yes, and in the next three years, this trend will continue to intensify." Qin Ke put down the report in his hand: "Let's go and check and verify the deduction process of this report first."

It's not that he can't trust the research team he personally led, it's just that the matter is important and must be confirmed again and again.

Once the prediction results of this spring flood are determined, Xia State will quickly start to respond. Although in the past year or so, Xia State has built water conservancy irrigation equipment, dredged rivers, built reservoirs, strengthened water source management and other disaster prevention and response actions, It has not stopped, but it is mostly in response to drought and snowstorms. For example, the completion period of many reservoir repair plans has been pushed to around May.

If there is really going to be a heavy rainfall, the plan must be adjusted immediately, with priority given to completing all reservoir construction before the beginning of April, so that this heavy rainfall can be used to store fresh water resources and reduce the pressure of the flood peak. In addition, the reinforcement of the dams , and the promotion of "J-4 Breakwater" must also be stepped up to minimize the loss of life and property caused by floods.

In contrast, the promotion and implementation of other drought-resistant technologies such as drip irrigation equipment, sprinkler irrigation equipment, drought-resistant water-retaining agents, and sunscreen nets will be delayed.

It can be said that changes in the disaster response plan can affect the whole body, but Qin Ke will not treat it with the most rigorous attitude.

Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun spent nearly two days personally inspecting the entire "Xiaguo Extreme Climate Data Analysis and Prediction Large Model v2.0 (Four-Factor Warning Version of High Temperature, Severe Cold, Drought, and Heavy Rain)" and the imported shimmering light After processing the huge amount of climate data and confirming that it was correct, they immediately contacted Shen Yunzhang, director of the "Xiaguo Extreme Climate Disaster Response Command Center", to hold a remote meeting.

Soon, the "Xiaguo Extreme Climate Disaster Response Command Center" quickly released the latest disaster prevention and response plan.

"According to the predictions of the team of Academician Qin Ke and Academician Ning Qingjun, the technical general consultant of the Xiaguo Extreme Climate Disaster Response Command Center, my country will experience widespread extreme weather with heavy rainfall starting from April 4 this year."

"This heavy rainfall process lasts for a long time, has a wide range of influence, heavy rainfall, and many types of additional disasters. It is very likely to cause floods, flash floods, waterlogging, etc., and will have a greater impact on transportation, power supply, communications, urban operations, and energy supply. big……"

"Management departments such as railways, highways, and airports must strengthen road safety management to prevent slippery roads and local geological disaster risks caused by rainfall; water supply, power supply, gas supply, communications and other departments must be prepared for emergency repairs; please all localities Allocate materials in advance to prevent floods, and clear and clear stagnant water in the city in a timely manner; the education department arranges teaching activities reasonably; the city management department does a good job in ensuring safe operation..."

“Considering that heavy rainfall is likely to be accompanied by strong winds and lightning, all types of construction sheds, temporary structures, and dilapidated houses in cities and rural areas must be protected from wind, rain, lightning, and reinforcement, and all management departments must increase inspection efforts. , to avoid collapse..."

"Continuous rainfall will cause slippery urban roads, flooding, and poor visibility. It will also bring about cooling and low body temperature. Citizens are asked to pay attention to safety when going out and change dry clothes in time after being exposed to rain to prevent colds. Elderly people Pay attention to prevent cardiovascular, cerebrovascular and respiratory system diseases..."

No one in the country dared to ignore the warnings about the upcoming "spring floods" and heavy rains and floods issued by Academician Qin Ke and Academician Ning Qingjun, the general technical consultants, especially after experiencing the extremely hot and dry summer last year. The prestige of academicians in the hearts of the people is as high as that of scientists.

As a result, all parts of the country were mobilized and busy, and those who had money and strength contributed their efforts, just to prevent their homes from being invaded by floods. There were inspection experts and technicians everywhere on the dams.

The "J-92 Breakwater" and "J-93 Breakwater" solutions, developed by Academician Duan Yonggong's team and with the frame material reinforced by Qin Kening Qingjun, have the advantages of low cost, fast construction and strong solidity. It quickly became the first plan in countless counties and districts to renovate old river embankments.Some cities with relatively backward sewer projects have rushed to clear and dig drainage channels, even digging up intact roads; residents whose houses may collapse in heavy rains have also urgently evacuated and relocated; farmers have been working on their crops. In order to prevent flooding, greenhouses have strengthened wind and rain protection measures, and livestock and poultry farmers have increased their feed reserves...

It can be said that in mid-to-late March, the entire Xia Kingdom was busy. Countless manpower and material resources were concentrated on dealing with the heavy rains and floods in April. Nearly more than 200 billion in funds were quickly burned, turning into reservoirs, dams, and dams. A disaster prevention measure.

In particular, regions such as Northeast China and the Yangtze and Yellow River basins that were "keyly mentioned" in the early warning have suspended most projects and concentrated their efforts on flood control.

Not only Xia Guo, but after the European Meteorological Center upgraded their "European Extreme Climate Data Analysis and Forecasting Model" under the guidance of Qin Ke and his two colleagues, it was also found that nearly [-] member states will usher in severe weather in April and May. With heavy rainfall ranging from more than ten days to a month, these countries did not dare to neglect and took countermeasures one after another.

Suddenly, the entire Xia Kingdom and even most European countries were mobilized because of Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun's predictions, which also further expanded the influence of these two young Xia Kingdom scientists in Europe.

If some European people are unwilling to cooperate, the local department can persuade the people to cooperate in preventing heavy rain and flood disasters by saying, "This is the result of joint deductions by Academician Xia Guoqin, Academician Ning, and all researchers at the European Meteorological Center."

The emergency mobilization of China and Europe has made the meteorological centers of the United States, Canada, Canada and other countries unable to sit still. People and media continue to ask whether floods will also occur in their countries and how to deal with it. They are stressed out.

They also intend to respond in advance, but even if they gather their own meteorological expert teams for emergency consultations, they can only roughly surmise that their country is likely to be affected by heavy rains and floods, but how serious the impact is, where it is most serious, and No one can say when floods will begin.

Under the huge public opinion, these countries can only tentatively turn to Xia Guo for help. To be precise, they turn to Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun's fluid mechanics laboratory for help.

The response from the Fluid Dynamics Laboratory was quick: "Our large prediction model is not optimized for your country's climate data, and there is no specific data source to make accurate predictions."

The meteorological centers of these countries suddenly became speechless. It was impossible for them to open their country's climate data authority to scientists from Xia State, even if the group of arrogant scientists at the meteorological center were allowed to completely obey those two The "guidance" of a young scientist from Xia State is also full of difficulties.

In the end, only the Eguo Meteorological Center was willing to accept a limited "strategic partnership" relationship with the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory of Qingmu University. The two parties will conduct limited discussions on meteorological satellites, meteorological monitoring equipment, meteorological monitoring theory, and meteorological data analysis and use. Cooperate and accept the "guidance and suggestions" from Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun.

However, Qin Ke didn't have the time or energy to help the National Meteorological Center. He just arranged for thirty high-level scientific researchers to cooperate and communicate with them. For other northern hemisphere countries, he only sent a friendly reminder email to explain. Most countries in the northern hemisphere will experience similar heavy rainfall for a month, so please take prepared measures in advance.

As for whether the meteorological centers of these countries take it seriously and how to respond, he has no control over it.

Qin Ke and his wife spent most of their working time during the day on this year's disaster prevention and response work.

Such a large-scale mobilization work has also made some elders and friends who care about Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun secretly worried.

If so much money has been burned and countless people's lives have been affected, but Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun's predictions are wrong, then the problem will be huge, and it is very likely to seriously damage the reputation and status of Qin Ke and his wife.

Time seems to pass slowly in this tension and anxiety, and April arrives as scheduled.

Tomb-Sweeping Festival is approaching, the rain is lingering, and the overall breeze is gentle and drizzle. It has a comfortable feeling like the willow wind blowing on the face without chilling the face. However, all the researchers of the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory of Qingmu University, including Academicians Qin Ke, Ning Qingjun, Jiang Weixian, and Academician Guo Weiyang did not relax. , all staff’s vacations were cancelled, and they all stayed in the office and worked overtime.

Everyone is busy optimizing the large model based on the latest data from the Xiaguo Meteorological Center to more accurately predict the next heavy rain disaster, issue the latest warning information in a timely manner, and do their best to reduce the losses caused by heavy rain. .

Yesterday, meteorological satellites detected the emergence of super strong convective clouds in the northern region. This convective cloud is likely to transform into a huge convective storm due to the interaction between monsoon water vapor and high-altitude jet streams, and then breed extremely violent rainstorms and strong winds. , thunderstorms, hail and other disastrous weather.

The Xiaguo Meteorological Center has officially issued a heavy rain disaster prevention warning signal, and people in the north and even the country are on alert.

On the morning of April 4, the atmosphere in the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory of Qingmok University became even more tense, because the window outside the window was visibly darkened, thick dark clouds were overhead, and strong winds were howling, indicating that a heavy rain was coming.

"It's coming." Qin Ke looked out the window and frowned.

"This damn weather will never end." A good-tempered old man like Academician Guo Weiyang couldn't help but curse softly, but then said: "Fortunately, God bless my country, Xia, you accurately predicted this a month ago heavy rainfall, and prepared response measures in advance.”

Qin Ke stared at the dancing branches and paper scraps outside the window, and sighed with some regret: "It is still difficult to achieve perfection in a month. Now I can only bite the bullet and accept the test."

Yes, I really had to bite the bullet and accept the test.

This heavy rainstorm was extremely violent. With the sound of thunder, the downpour suddenly fell with the power of heaven and earth. Then it ravaged the northern region in a thunderous manner in one day. From the next day, it swept across the Xia Kingdom from north to south. most provinces.

In the same few days, most countries in the northern hemisphere also ushered in the same large-scale heavy rain and strong convective weather as scheduled.

(End of this chapter)