I really just want to be a scholar

Qin Ke said patiently: "Qingjun and I originally set up an 'El Niño phenomenon research team' in the fluid mechanics laboratory, headed by a doctor named Kuang Songlin. Dr. Kuang led the team to conduct research based on our research plan. Many in-depth studies on the El Niño phenomenon are based on the meteorological data provided by the Xiaguo Meteorological Center. They can only judge that there is a probability of about 31% of the El Niño phenomenon in June this year. Later in February this year, the European Meteorological Center agreed After Qingjun and I shared all the data on climate variability and extreme weather, Qingjun and I decided to personally lead the Kuangsonglin team to optimize the original El Niño prediction model..."

At this point, Qin Ke sighed slightly: "I have to lament that Europe's meteorological data is much more detailed than that of our country. Thanks to the in-depth analysis of these huge abnormal climate data accumulated over decades, Qingjun and I discovered many new factors, and the prediction model we established became more and more perfect, and we finally achieved the current relatively accurate prediction results."

Xia State's research on meteorology and climate is not really advanced. Not to mention anything else, the number of meteorological satellites alone is far behind that of Western countries.

The United States has nearly 3000 weather satellites. The total number in Europe is slightly less than that of the United States, but the gap is very small. How many weather satellites does Xia have? 21!Even a fraction of others can't catch up.

Moreover, in terms of resolution, sensitivity, and reliability, the weather satellites of the United States and Europe also outperform Xia's weather satellites by many... For example, the third-generation imaging satellite launched by Europe at the end of last year acquired 100% of the data of the second-generation imaging satellite. times, the accuracy and stability of the images transmitted to the ground will be doubled compared to the second generation, almost achieving real-time refresh. It is also equipped with the first lightning detection device called a "Lightning Imager", which can identify serious Evolution trends of thunderstorms and other extreme weather and provide advance warning.

What about Xia Guo?The technology of the second-generation meteorological satellites has not yet been fully understood, and the third-generation meteorological satellites have just begun to "draw the blueprint"...

The gap in hardware is so obvious, not to mention theory. More than [-]% of the basic theories come from Western countries.

At least in terms of climate and meteorology research, Xia Guo still has a long way to catch up.

This is why Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun successfully predicted this El Niño despite the pressure of doubts from all over the world. CC1 excitedly interrupted the news to "show off".

——It is really too far behind, and it is finally possible to see the hope of overtaking in a corner. How can the country not be excited?

But if Qin Ke hadn’t established a good strategic cooperative relationship with the European Meteorological Center last year and had access to the massive data provided there, it would be really difficult for Qin Ke to make such accurate deductions and predictions. possible.

Of course, the fact that Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun were able to make such great progress in just two months is also related to the fact that the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory has recruited a large number of outstanding scientific researchers and provided strong assistance.

Ning Zongxun listened very carefully, and then asked: "Xiao Ke, have you and Qingyun written a detailed prediction report on this El Niño phenomenon? Including how to build the prediction model, and what you just mentioned in it factor?"

Qin Ke thought to himself that his father-in-law was indeed very concerned about climate anomalies. I wonder how in-depth his and his mother-in-law's research institutes were on this global climate anomaly?

But these highly confidential research materials will certainly not be shared with him.

Qin Ke doesn't really need it. He is even confident that his research results may have surpassed those of his father-in-law and mother-in-law's research institute.

If he guessed correctly, the core project that his father-in-law and mother-in-law led the research team in that mysterious research institute was the "Noah's Ark" and "Sky Fortress" that recorded the general design ideas and technical principles in that mysterious message, not the global climate abnormal.

Even if there is a team conducting research in this area, it will not be the main research direction. After all, as mentioned before, Xia State lags far behind in terms of meteorology. It is too difficult to find the root cause of climate variability. It is better to use relevant Blueprint information, researching "Noah's Ark" and "Sky Fortress" are practical and reliable.

While thinking about it, Qin Ke took out a thick document that had just been printed out and said, "Yes. This is a paper I wrote recently when I took the time to sort out the team's data and research results. It details the relationship between Qingjun and me about El Niño. The latest research results on the phenomenon.”

""Deduction of the Causes and Changes of the El Niño Phenomenon and Its Future Impact"?" Ning Zongxun curiously took it. The first one was Qin Ke, Ning Qingyun, and Kuang Songlin, and the second one had dozens of people. It is estimated that Qin Ke will use this The rest of the El Niño team is classified as second-guessing.

Qin Ke nodded and said: "Yes, this is the Chinese version, as well as the English version and the German version. I just wrote it last night. After getting up this morning, I printed it out and checked it again. I plan to submit it to "Nature" later. and upload it to arXiv."

There is no particular reason why Qin Ke submitted his article to "Nature" instead of "Science". If he had to say it, his good relationship with Mr. Richard Lawton, the editor-in-chief of "Nature", should be regarded as a reason, right?
After the previous paper "Overview of the Green Lemon Topological Superconducting Vortex State Theoretical Model System" was published in Nature and recommended as a cover article in Nature, the editor-in-chief Mr. Richard Lawton sent emails to Qin Ke from time to time to request a manuscript. , and also promised to provide conditions including a manuscript fee of US$20, a cover article, and editor’s key recommendation as much as possible.

Relatively speaking, "Science" is not so low-end, so Qin Ke naturally chose "Nature" at this time.

Ning Zongxun wanted to say that this is a world-leading prediction technology, right? Isn't it okay to publish it as a paper?
But he thought of Qin Ke's sense of propriety, so he didn't say anything.

First, I briefly flipped through the paper in my hand. It has nearly 90 pages. It will probably take a day to read it carefully. It also contains a lot of content on the application of mathematical modeling and data analysis. Just the general solution of the NS equation in climate prediction. The application takes up nearly 5 pages.

Ning Zongxun flipped through it for more than ten minutes. He skipped many details of mathematical analysis before he had time to look carefully, and only looked at the key points.

From the point of view of the paper, the formation of the El Niño phenomenon itself is a coincidence of multiple factors in nature. Since it is the result of the combined action of multiple factors, there may be other factors that can also lead to the occurrence of the El Niño phenomenon.Atmospheric circulation is one of the main driving forces that govern atmospheric activities, and changes in atmospheric circulation are also one of the main causes of climate change. The emergence of El Niño is ultimately the result of the breakdown of the global atmospheric energy balance.

The key to judging whether the El Niño phenomenon occurs is whether there is a significant warming of the seawater in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific, rather than the so-called rise in global temperature, the strengthening of the westerly belt in spring, the eastward shift of the Walker circulation return point, and the Andes The "four main processes" blocked by the returning Walker circulation are not caused by the "southeast trade winds weakening or even disappearing the cold water overflow of the Peruvian cold current, and driving the equatorial countercurrent seawater with higher water temperature to go southward against the ocean current in the direction of the Peruvian cold current. Turning the Peruvian cold current into a warm current" is a symbol.Ning Zongxun nodded secretly. Indeed, most meteorologists are too accustomed to treating "experience" as "inevitability"!

The El Niño phenomenon should not be rigidly tied to the southeast trade winds, Peruvian cold current, Walker circulation, Andes, etc., but its most essential phenomenon should be analyzed directly.

All factors that may cause significant warming of seawater in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean will contribute to the El Niño phenomenon!
In his paper, Qin Ke used a large amount of data analysis to prove that under the scenario of extremely active sunspots, solar radiation changes abnormally, and the earth's rotation speed and the electromagnetic field of the North and South Pole have small changes, and these weak Changes, the periodic changes in the gravitational force of celestial bodies caused by the superposition of planetary motion, the arrival of astronomical singularities, the expansion of the mantle and many other factors jointly broke the global atmospheric energy balance, ultimately leading to this El Niño phenomenon.

There are factors such as changes in external heat and excess heat accumulation inside the planet, which cause the El Niño phenomenon to occur in advance before the conventional "four major processes of forming El Niño" are completed.

After reading it, Ning Zongxun was speechless for a long time. It contains detailed data and sufficient arguments, and it uses a variety of data analysis algorithms and mathematical operation methods based on the general solution of the NS equation. It is really impossible to find any flaws.

Of course, Qin Ke did not write down the modeling and calculation process in detail in the paper, so no matter how meteorologists and mathematicians around the world study this paper, they cannot inversely deduce the weather prediction model of Qin Ke’s team. The key prediction technology is still in the hands of Qin Ke's team. At most, they know more factors that will cause the El Niño phenomenon.

The "Future Impact Deduction of El Niño" mentioned in the title of the paper is described in detail at the end.Specifically, severe heat and drought will occur in the northern hemisphere this summer. During the same period, when the southern hemisphere is in summer at the end of the year, similar severe heat and drought will also occur in most areas, but the degree will not be as severe as in the northern hemisphere.

Ning Zongxun gently closed the paper.

He knew that with Qin Ke's team successfully predicting the huge aura of this El Niño phenomenon, after this paper is released, I am afraid that no country in the world will dare to despise it, and may even regard it as a guideline, and vigorously strengthen the reserves of fresh water resources, Accelerate the development of water resources desalination technology.

"Xiao Ke, based on the current research results, do you really deduce that a global freshwater crisis will occur in the future?"

Qin Ke nodded: "This will basically happen with a high probability."

Ning Zongxun was silent for a while and then asked: "Xiao Ke, can you deduce what kind of climate changes will occur in the future?"

"It's not possible at the moment. It's not easy just to predict this El Niño phenomenon and its impact this year more accurately." Although Qin Ke knows the mysterious message from the distant universe, he knows that it will appear in the future. The catastrophe caused by climate change cannot be mentioned in front of his father-in-law.

After all, this should be the top secret of the Xia Kingdom. Qin Ke can't say that he has obtained another most critical "salvation seed" - the God of Learning to Save the World System, right?

He said matter-of-factly: "Qingjun's team and I can only roughly speculate that the El Niño phenomenon is likely to continue to occur in the summer next year, and the summers in various countries around the world will become hotter and drier. , the world will fall into a situation of shortage of fresh water resources; and the winter may usher in long and cold extreme weather. In general, the summer will be hotter, the winter will be colder, there will be droughts in the summer, and there will be droughts in the winter. Snow disasters will have an increasingly serious impact on agriculture and the world economy..."

Ning Zongxun couldn't help but think of the description in the "First Sign" - "The 'first sign' of the collapse of the world is the extremely abnormal climate. Winter will become unprecedentedly cold and long, eventually forming a terrifying coldest In winter, the north of Xia Kingdom will be flooded with snow, and even the southernmost part of the country, which never snows, will see heavy snowfall. Summer will become hotter, fresh water resources will be in short supply, sandstorms will become more frequent, and deserts around the world will The area will continue to expand due to lack of water, and food crises and energy crises will appear one after another and become more severe..."

Qin Ke's research results are actually quite consistent with the mysterious cosmic information!Is the emergence of the "first sign" really inevitable?Can humanity really only lead to a terrible future of near-annihilation?
Ning Zongxun asked subconsciously: "Then can you deduce when these situations will become most serious?"

Qin Ke still shook his head: "I can't do it for the time being. I can only give a time by patting my head now, maybe six or seven years later. But currently, members of our 'National Extreme Abnormal Weather Cause Analysis and Future Deduction' research team have conducted a large-scale Expansion, Qingjun and I will devote more energy to this and strive to study the real cause of climate anomalies within two years."

Ning Zongxun nodded silently, which means that the "first sign" may appear six or seven years later...

Now he had some confidence in the answer given by his son-in-law.

But now that desert sweet potatoes have emerged, the expansion of the desert should be greatly curbed, right?That is, the shortage of fresh water resources will intensify...

"By the way, Xiaoke, I heard that you have made a new breakthrough in water desalination and purification technology?" Ning Zong said with hope.

"There are still some shortcomings in seawater. After all, the situation of seawater is more complicated, and there is also the problem of nuclear sewage to be solved. However, Qinghai Lake's saltwater desalination and purification does have a relatively complete integrated technical solution." Qin Ke will arrange for a team to be stationed there Qinghai Lake, he talked about speeding up the construction of the desalination plant and striving to provide fresh water resources to the northwest region by July, and then continued:
"The only problem is that it may affect the ecological environment of Qinghai Lake to a certain extent, but compared with the harm caused by the freshwater crisis, I think the cost is worth it. After the pilot project in Qinghai Lake is successful, Qingyun and I plan to Promoting this integrated technical solution to inland saltwater lakes in China and around the world as soon as possible can be regarded as a contribution to the world's freshwater crisis. Of course, if you want to truly and completely solve the freshwater crisis, you can only rely on seawater desalination and water purification technology. .”

Ning Zongxun looked at Qin Ke blankly for a while, then stood up and patted his shoulder and said: "Xiao Ke, work hard, your research results may really save the world. Your mother and I will always regard you as our Glory!"

"Save the world?" Qin Ke blinked and pretended not to understand.

Ning Zongxun did not answer, but lowered his voice and said: "The cause of climate change is of great importance. I still say the same thing. If you are really likely to achieve any key and important results, you must grasp the scale and stop it soon. The follow-up work will be handed over to your mother and I to avoid affecting your normal life."