I really just want to be a scholar

Chapter 846 The Imminent El Niño Crisis

The so-called El Niño phenomenon is an abnormal warming phenomenon that occurs on the surface of the equatorial central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

According to the international standard for El Niño determination, when the three-month moving average sea surface temperature in the key area of ​​sea temperature monitoring reaches or exceeds 3°C of the climate average, it can be declared to enter the El Niño state.

Although El Niño is a regional phenomenon that occurs in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, its impact will affect the whole world through the interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere. El Niño often brings extreme weather disasters such as high temperature, drought, and heavy rain.

The strength of the El Niño phenomenon is divided according to the index, specifically divided into five grades: 0≤ONI≤0.5 normal, 0.6≤ONI≤0.9 weak, 1≤ONI≤1.4 moderate, 1.5≤ONI≤1.9 strong, 2≤ONI very strong , 1.95 belongs to the "strong El Niño index", and the disasters caused will be more serious.

And the deduced 31% probability of occurrence is indeed very high, especially when it was deduced last month, the probability of occurrence was only 26%!
This means that the probability of a severe El Niño is getting higher and higher as time goes on!

It is very likely that by April, this probability will increase to more than 50%!

The biggest headache is that La Niña, which accompanies El Niño, is not a fuel-efficient lamp.

Although the El Niño phenomenon has inconsistent effects on different regions and different crops, the usual impact on the Xia Kingdom is mainly concentrated in large-scale rainfall, floods, high temperature and drought, etc., but Qin Ke judges that the superposition of the greenhouse effect, La Niña The El Niño phenomenon will appear for a long time due to factors such as the phenomenon and the current global climate variability, and the disasters it brings are mainly concentrated in high temperature and drought.

Qin Ke took a deep breath, took the research report submitted by Kuang Songlin and read it in detail.

Although Qin Ke still has confidence in the level of Kuang Songlin's team, and Qin Ke himself has made many suggestions on the forecasting model they are using, but this report is not trivial and may affect Xia Guo's future decisions. It took another half a day to review and re-deduce the entire forecast model and related data analysis.

Qin Ke finally signed the report, handed it to Kuang Songlin, and said gently: "Dr. Kuang, you and your team have done a good job. I have watched the whole deduction process. It is very good. There is no problem. Your progress It’s very big, after this report is signed by Academician Jiang and Academician Guo, it will be submitted according to the procedure, I hope you will maintain this momentum and continue to conduct in-depth research.”

Given Qin Ke's status at this time, such praise is more precious than money and makes people feel honored. At least Kuang Songlin feels a little lighter all over. Moreover, this recognition is not something Qin Ke said casually, but after The conclusion drawn after careful review gave him a sense of accomplishment.

Kuang Songlin said excitedly: "Academician Qin, don't worry, our team will continue to go all out to do our best and not let you down!"

He only paid attention to the El Niño phenomenon itself, knowing that it would lead to major climate disasters, but he was not really too worried. After all, similar floods and droughts had never happened before, so Kuang Songlin left Qin Ke's office with a smile.

After Kuang Songlin left, the smile on Qin Ke's face disappeared.

The fact that he remained calm and collected in front of Kuangsonglin did not mean that he did not understand the seriousness of the situation.On the contrary, it is precisely because he is aware of the seriousness of future climate change that he wants his team to maintain strong fighting spirit and confidence.

——This year's El Niño phenomenon is just the beginning. El Niño phenomena will become more frequent and more severe in the future. The temperature will further rise in most parts of the world. In the next five years, there is a high probability of record extreme high temperatures. Fresh water resources will be affected. The importance will become more and more prominent, and the fresh water crisis will be even more serious than the food crisis.

These are his conclusions based on the results of the project "Cause Analysis and Future Deduction of Extreme Abnormal Weather in China".

A world-class climate catastrophe seems to be unavoidable until the exact cause is found. It is necessary to prepare Xia and the whole world as much as possible, enhance the ability to adapt to climate change, and prevent and resolve the adverse effects of climate change. Impact and Risk.

Qin Ke walked to the window and saw the students in the distance still walking carefree on the school road, he couldn't help but clenched his fists secretly.

The child of him and Ning Qingyun will be born in just over four months. According to the "prophecy" in the mysterious message from the distant universe, it is very likely that the world will usher in a catastrophe in 30 or [-] years. The second sign", mankind will face a catastrophe.

By then, my two children should still be in college, right?If you didn't skip a grade, you should be studying as a graduate student...

In any case, they cannot be allowed to experience such a terrible future.

We must let them, like these young students, live a carefree college life.

Ning Qingyun just came back from the teaching building, seeing Qin Ke frowning and thinking about something, she couldn't help asking worriedly: "What's wrong?"

Qin Ke was in a trance and didn't notice Ning Qingyun's return. He turned his head and smiled again, and went to support Ning Qingyun: "It's nothing, it's the El Niño phenomenon research team, that is, Dr. Kuang's group, It is reported that there will be a more serious El Nino phenomenon this year, and I am thinking about how to deal with it. My wife, how are you doing?"

Wei Jing, who had been following Ning Qingyun, nodded at Qin Ke, left the office, and joined Wei Feng who was standing at the door.

Ning Qingyun was very grateful for her husband's thoughtfulness. She sat back in her seat, took a sip of the warm water from Qin Ke, and said softly: "It's pretty good. I just answered some students' questions. There are also some students who have received manuscript replies from journals, and some will be nervous and worried before they receive them, so I gave them some guidance."

The final exam that Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun set for their students last semester was to divide them into several groups by drawing lots, work together to complete a topic, and complete a qualified essay before the winter vacation, which Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun received. The first draft of the thesis that is approved is considered as passing the exam.

In the end, all the students passed the final exam successfully, and some of the papers were quite high-level, such as "Having Hilfer Fractional Order Thoughts on the Solution of Boundary Value Problems of Impulsive Differential Equations", "Research on the Attenuation of Time Derivatives of Large Solutions of Three-dimensional Compressible Magnetohydrodynamic Equations" co-authored by Hua Manting, Yousef Dehn, Ximen Hui and Jiang Yunjing, master students of physics , can easily submit manuscripts in domestic core journals, and the papers of the other groups are also at an upper-middle level. Overall, Qin Ke is still very satisfied with the performance of the students.

After chatting with Ning Qingyun, it turned out that the first two papers to be submitted were the two papers above, which were to be published in "Xia Guo Theoretical Mathematics" and "Xia Guo Physics Journal", both of which belonged to the top core academic journals in China .

As for other students’ papers, they are still waiting for a reply.For most students, it is inevitable that they will feel a little anxious and expectant when they submit a work to a well-known domestic core journal for the first time.

In particular, Qin Ke and Ning Qingjun didn't even name the corresponding authors. Whether the paper can be approved depends on the quality of the content in it—even if it has passed the preliminary review by Qin Ke and the two of them, the students are still worried. What if the editor is mistaken?

Listening to Ning Qingyun mentioning the students' concerns, Qin Ke couldn't help but laugh and said: "We also had this kind of anxiety stage when we first submitted articles to top journals, and they will gradually get used to it. When our students publish papers in the future It won’t be a difficult goal to reach the top international journals.”

Ning Qingyun was more concerned about Qin Ke's expression just now, and asked, "Is the El Niño phenomenon really serious?"

"This year is not the most serious level, but the disaster caused should not be underestimated. Especially next year, it will become more and more serious..." Qin Ke has never hidden Ning Qingyun, not to mention that Ning Qingyun will know about these situations sooner or later, Then he said it in detail, and discussed the countermeasures with Ning Qingyun.

The report by Kuang Songlin just now contained only a description of the situation and relatively simple countermeasures and suggestions. The latter was relatively vague. Qin Ke planned to refine it and hand it to Uncle Yang Chengke alone.

Ning Qingyun also invested a lot of energy in the study of meteorological disasters. In addition, girls are more meticulous and came up with a lot of ideas. The two of them worked hard all afternoon before initially completing the "Five Suggestions for Coping with the El Niño Phenomenon" , mainly including improving the climate system comprehensive observation station network and climate change database construction, improving the ability to accurately predict climate change and extreme weather and climate events, improving meteorological disaster monitoring, forecasting and early warning capabilities and the whole society's meteorological disaster prevention and response capabilities, building meteorological disaster risk assessment and Decision-making information support system, efforts to strengthen the management of freshwater resources and saltwater desalination projects, etc., have almost [-] words.

If it weren't for Shimmer's ability to recognize lip language and record it automatically, it would take more than an hour just to type so many words.

At this time, Wei Feng knocked on the door and came in to remind the two of them to go back for dinner. Qin Ke realized that it was getting late and it seemed that there was no way to play basketball today, so he picked up the printed report with one hand and held Ning Qingyun's little hand with the other and went downstairs. , and got into Wei Feng’s car.

At the end of February, spring green had appeared in the suburbs of the capital city. It was relatively comfortable to take a walk back to the villa, but at this time it was drizzling, and Wei Feng prepared a vehicle to pick him up.

Seeing Qin Ke and Ning Qingyun rubbing their eyes after getting into the car, Wei Feng couldn't help but ask: "Academician Qin, Academician Ning, are you tired from work today?"

"It's okay." Qin Ke was not used to making people around him worry, so he quickly showed his usual smile and reached out to massage Ning Qingyun's shoulders and lower back.

Expectant mothers are most likely to feel tired and sore in these two positions.To their delight, the latest pregnancy test last week showed that both babies were very healthy and developing well, showing no sign of the usual delay in development of twins compared to singletons - which, of course, Let expectant mother Ning Qingyun add some burden.

The two discussed the countermeasures in the car for a while, and after confirming that there was nothing to add, Qin Ke asked Shimmer to send the file to Uncle Yang's mailbox through an encrypted email.

Qin Ke first contacted Uncle Yang Chengke's secretary Lu Xinping, and after confirming that Uncle Yang was not in a meeting or meeting anyone, he called Uncle Yang: "Hi, Uncle Yang, I'm Qin Ke, I have something to ask you Report..."

Qin Ke recounted the situation he knew: "This is the situation. I have asked the fluid mechanics laboratory to report the formal report, and the specific countermeasures and suggestions have also been sent to your encrypted mailbox. This matter has been resolved. There is no need to delay, and please submit it to the higher-ups as soon as possible to see if it can be studied and implemented as soon as possible."

Qin Ke is not in a hurry. Their suggestions are more countermeasures. To be implemented, various departments need to study and deploy, and the El Niño disaster is imminent, and a more serious El Niño phenomenon will usher in June. Prepare as much as possible, and it will cause greater losses, especially if the crops will suffer severe reductions, and the hard work of farmers throughout the year will be in vain.

Uncle Yang listened very carefully, nodded and said: "I will deal with it immediately." If these words were spoken by others, it might be alarmist, but when Qin Kening Qingyun said them, it would be different. Uncle Yang is still the state, and now he attaches great importance to the suggestions of these two young scientists.

"Thank you, Uncle Yang."

"In addition, the 'Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant' has been approved to use [-] mu of land in Qinghai Lake." Uncle Yang asked again: "Qin Ke, can you really solve the problem of salt water desalination in Qinghai Lake? Salt production? You know that because of the sudden change in the international situation, sea salt may not be used in the future, so the lake salt of Qinghai Lake is particularly important. If it can be made into table salt during the process of salt water purification, the safety of table salt can be guaranteed by the way.”

Qinghai Lake itself has three salt lakes, with a total salt storage capacity of more than 600 billion tons, but currently it is mainly used to make potash fertilizer, which is famous all over the world.

However, Qinghai Lake is rich in salt minerals. The total salt is mainly composed of chlorides, sulfates, carbonates, etc., of which chlorides account for more than 80%. If salt can be produced while desalinating salt water, there will undoubtedly be Greatly improve the supply security of lake salt.

"At present, a preliminary technical plan has basically been formed, and there are still some technical difficulties that have not been broken through, which makes cost control unsatisfactory. The optimization of the plan will be completed in the first half of this year. This plan also contains sodium chloride, potassium chloride, The recycling of magnesium chloride and other inorganic salts, that is, salt production, the cost of this part of recycling is almost zero, and the output is not low. About 0 million tons of edible salt."

Uncle Yang immediately breathed a sigh of relief: "Great, now the pre-construction preparations for the 'Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant' are ready, and I look forward to your salt water desalination and purification plan coming out."

According to the agreement between Qin Ke and Uncle Yang, the "Qinghai Lake Salt Water Desalination and Purification Plant" will be jointly constructed by the state-owned assets department designated by the state and Lime Technology. The Yuanzhou Research Center only needs to provide the patent authorization of the technical solution and provide technical support, and the profit is divided into [-]-[-].

In this way, the technical advantages of Lime Technology can be maximized without worrying about management. After all, there are too many things to deal with in daily operation and management.

(End of this chapter)